Friday, October 30, 2020

The Path From Here

Charlie Cook’s argument is pretty much the one I’ve been making. The only difference is his analysis of the polling information. Otherwise he understands what I do: you can’t contest an election in court that isn’t close. Even an SC bench that includes ACB, Kavanaugh, Thomas and Alito won’t overturn an election just because Trump loses. And the Court can’t overturn an election where the outcome doesn’t rest on one state. Cook’s argument is that Biden will get the states Clinton won in 2016, giving him 232 electoral votes. Texas alone would give Biden 270 votes in that scenario. There really isn’t a path for Trump, and without that path, he has no path to the courts either.

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