Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Congratulations, American! You Did It!

The first internet troll 🧌 to be a heartbeat away from the Presidency!*


*Yeah, I know, but honestly, Trump’s too stupid to be a troll. He wouldn’t last two minutes.

Or Churches That Aren’t MAGA Enough?

This Is When MTG’s Constituents Find Out…

To the paid Democrat protestors planning to show up from across the country tonight, stay outside. This is not your event. And Donald Trump is still your president.
...that they’re really Democrats. 

And that their First Amendment rights to disagree with their representative doesn’t mean shit to MTG, who will brook no disagreement.

This should be fun. 🤩 
Clearly Democrats. Throw ‘em out! They don’t matter ! It’s the Republican thing to do!

“But That Was In Another Country…”

 This is:

1/4. On the White House’s theory, if they abduct you, get you on a helicopter, get to international waters, shoot you in the head, and drop your corpse into the ocean, that is legal, because it is the conduct of foreign affairs.
How El Salvador "disappeared” people. They just sort of voided habeas corpus. And inconvenient stories about prisoners. It was legal because it was the conduct of a military dictatorship.

2/4. The entire practice of the Holocaust of the Jews involved zones of statelessness. It is easier to move people away from law than it is to remove law from people. Almost all of the killing took place in artificially created stateless zones.
We don’t have to let this happen:
3/4. If we accept the idea that moving a person from one place to another undoes rights and disempowers the judiciary, we are endorsing the basic Nazism practice that enabled the killing of millions.
The Supreme Court has, in fact, specifically rejected that. Which means the courts have rejected it. And arguably, even Pam Bondi understands that:
The president was musing about sending some of the most horrible people in this country down to that mega prison," said Watters, later asking, "Is that legal to do? Is that something you're allowed to do?"

"Well Jesse, these are Americans that he's saying committed the most heinous crimes in our country. Crime is going to decrease dramatically because he has given us a directive to make America safe again. These people need to be locked up as long as they can, as long as the law allows. We're not going to let them go anywhere. If we have to build more prisons in our country, we will do it."

"Right," Watters replied with a chuckle. "That's what I thought."
Even Jesse Waters understands that. I think even Congress understands that. Watters and Bondi think it’s okay to ship off immigrants; but citizens is another matter. (It’s a distinction without a difference when the administration is deporting without due process anyway, but it’s a starting point.)

The fight for Garcia, and the others, goes on. But the fight to make this acceptable, to make it the new normal, is going to be very uphill, indeed. Ideally we’d be arguing the rule of law, but I remember how that worked under the Warren Court. A great deal we take for granted now (Miranda warnings, for one) were wildly controversial (“technicalities” that “let criminals off the hook.” The entire character of “Dirty Harry” was a reaction to Warren Court due process decisions.) for a very long time. The Niemoller argument really doesn’t rally people against inchoate injustice that doesn’t yet touch them. 

Making it very, very clear they are next, is another matter.

Monday, April 14, 2025

Mao Zedong Couldn’t Have Said It Better

This is some seriously messed up shit.

(It was late last night, I meant to include the rest of what she said:
Stefanik: "There is so much opportunity across this country for the next generation, whether it's in the workforce, whether it's in this manufacturing renaissance that's going to happen under Donald Trump, whether it's community college or trade schools, vocational programs -- that is a pathway to success. Higher education has fundamentally lost its way and it's increasingly out of touch and the tuition rates go higher and higher, so we need to defund across the board."

I Think There’s A Hearing In The Garcia Case Tomorrow

I expect that statement to show up there. 

I also want to see this done:
I’d like to know what cute excuse Bukele will give them for not releasing Garcia to them. Maybe he’ll mention his contract. That won’t help Trump in court, either.

But I really want to see if Trump reacts:
Odds are he won’t.

Salvadoran President Who?

 

Bill Kristol:

Four R senators and four R House members could announce they're caucusing with the Dems for now, and will vote for Schumer for Majority Leader and Jeffries for Speaker, because the threat to the rule of law is dire. Meanwhile, they'll work with Democrats to construct guardrails against dictatorship.
I guess Rep. Kimble is not likely to be one of them? (“President Bukake”?)

We’ll Always Have The Onion 🧅

Salvadoran President Claims He Lacks Humanity To Return Wrongly Deported Man
During a visit with President Donald Trump at the White House, El Salvador’s president Nayib Bukele claimed Monday that he “lacks the humanity” to return wrongly deported legal U.S. resident Kilmar Abrego Garcia back to America. “How can I return an innocent man to the United States when I don’t have the ability to feel empathy or compassion?” said Bukele, explaining that he’s consulted with his top advisors about the 29-year-old Maryland father being held in a Salvadoran prison, but none of them could find it in their hearts to care at all about the man’s situation. “Do you hear how ridiculous it sounds to expect that I could see myself reflected in another human being’s experience? Even if I wanted to, there’s no way I could acknowledge the plight of someone who is suffering because I am completely numb to the pain of others. My hands are tied because I’m totally dead inside.” At press time, President Trump had publicly thanked Bukele for his use of cruelty to project a facade of strength.

As Senator Murphy Points Out…

...we don’t have to wait until Trump sends bona fide U.S. citizens to El Salvador.

The administration crossed that line some time ago. And a 9-0 Supreme Court said it couldn’t be done.

So, here we are. Now: where’s Congress?

Then There’s This

The way the question needs to be framed to Bukele is: “So if the Trump administration requested the return of some prisoners, you would refuse?”

If the public framing leans into the excuse—that Trump really doesn’t have the POWER to get them BACK, and El Salvador doesn’t have to listen to him—they’ll be on a plane tomorrow.

He’s so giddy at the flex of defying the Supreme Court that I don’t think he’s really processed that the public excuse for that defiance is that Trump is impotent. He would find it intolerable if that were taken seriously, rather than treated as the obvious lie it is.
Julian Sanchez has a point. Bukele was too cute by half. Need to ram that down his throat, either by a journalist (not gonna happen) or Dems in Congress.

Whatever it takes to piss Trump off and make him assert his authoritah!

📺

Well, First Amendment says you can’t sue CBS  for what they say about you, unless you can prove actual malice. I know of no cause of action for a news program taking a political stance or showing a political preference; otherwise FoxNews and Newsmax and OAN would already be out of business. And you certainly can’t slander a country, or its political leader. Or rather, you can’t slander this country and, by association, its leader.

And CBS doesn’t hold a broadcasting license. It doesn’t broadcast. Its affiliates do.

Honestly, it’s embarrassing Trump is this ignorant.

As I Was Saying…

HEMMER: Is Gitmo sill open?

STEPHEN MILLER: It's wide open

HEMMER: Can you tell me how many immigrants are there?

STEPHEN MILLER: No, I cannot. That's operationally sensitive information. But I want to be very clear. We've been living through a hoax. Nobody has been mistakenly sent to El Salvador.
I want the DOJ to take up Miller’s “arguments” in open court.

Miller can say fuck-all. He’s got a First Amendment right to be venal and stupid in public. I won’t begrudge him exercising it.

But I won’t take it as anything but stupid until a court upholds it. And a 9-0 Supreme Court just refused to, so…

(Oh, and courts can get read in on “operationally sensitive information” in the course of a hearing or trial. That’s not the magic shield the administration imagines it is.)

We’re Gonna Need…

 Professor Vladeck:

If the U.S. government is going to take the position that, once removed from the United States, folks can’t be brought back, then it sure seems to me that federal courts should be reflexively and categorically barring *all* removals until they’re 100 percent certain that the removals are lawful.
...a bigger U.S. Marshal service.

Yeah, I Know

Stephen Miller is not the USAG, and he’s not standing before a court of competent jurisdiction.

I wanna see the DOJ make that argument in court. BTW, Miller is leaning heavily on the thin teed that the Supremes sent the case back to the trial court so it could clarify the word “effectuate” in its order. The court did. It amended the order and dropped the word. Yeah, sometimes it’s as simple as that.

The Court can (eventually, many steps from now) ban Trump from sending prisoners to El Salvador. But Congress holds the whip hand: they can cut off the funding for prisoners sent to El Salvador. That’s where I want to see the effort. The courts are a last resort in this matter. Congress is the first resort, and they need to understand this is as bad as fucking up the world economy.

“Follow The Money”

Cut off the funding Trump promised him and see just how fast he finds the power. This actually requires Congressional approval. Maybe we could get joint session and have someone read Article I to them?

But Trump Is Playing 12-Dimensional Chess!♟️

Morgan Stanley’s Global Macro Strategist is not MAGA.

MORGAN STANLEY: “.. Investors should prepare to be fooled many more times. If a master plan exists, .. it's unlikely to work in the way the US administration envisions.”

Vitamin A Is Beneficial

A few Dems have stumbled on this. But the Times, like other pubs, is doubling down on an absurd argument that u can't decry Trump's massive, ruinous & likely legal [illegal?] tariffs agst every country in the world if u think tariffs might sometimes have a role in trade policy.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/13/us/politics/democrats-trump-tariffs-policy.html
Vitamin A in excess can be toxic.

Any questions?

Department Of Government Inefficiency

 ew:

DOGE already has cost tax payers money (at the very least $500B/year in IRS revenues, but that's before other huge costs are accounted for).

And as I keep noting, Elon's $150B/year estimate is what some of the IGs who got fired were finding--w/o cutting services.
And she brings receipts.

While I have ew here: the presumption of regularity, which I recently noted the Supremes granted the government, is starting to fail in court. It’s failing faster in the economy.

Congress could, and should, do something about this. So far, it simply won’t.

Still Meddling With Primal Forces

He really doesn’t know what he’s doing. Not without Congress he won’t. And invading a NATO member? Even the House GOP won’t allow that. Consequences are consequences.
Scoop: There is significant division inside the @WhiteHouse over @howardlutnick ’s comments on the temporary nature of the tariff exemptions, an apparent 180 from where the world thought the trade negotiations were going, sources tell me. Of course the only opinion that really matters in the president’s but I am told plenty of people really believe he is “off message” of trying to create a trade regime that involves negotiations even with China and actions that don’t roil the markets including the all important bond market. This story is developing
There is certainly significant confusion in the White House. It emanates from Trump, who only understands press coverage. This really isn’t going anywhere but down.
BREAKING: The exemptions just handed out to @Apple and tech companies should spark, as one tech investor just told me, “a rally for the ages” at least in the Nasdaq and at least on Monday. This is not a prediction but what I’m hearing from him and others. There are things that could counter the move to the downside, of course. BUT as the investor put it: “a Black Swan event has been taken off table.” What he means is that the tariff plan as rolled out would have crushed @Apple and all of big tech — some of our biggest companies— because of how they produce their products and source them in China. What’s remarkable is that the plan as described by @howardlutnick etc was largely aimed at tech ie to bring back all tech manufacturing to the US from China and Asia. They literally just threw in the towel on most of their tariff plan. Every CEO and investor I speak to says with this 180 the administration losses credibility by keeping Lutnick and @RealPNavarro as spokesmen for the plan going forward given their past statements. Trump’s famous loyalty will be put to the test
Still meddling with primal forces. With no idea what to do about it. And we have no idea when Congress will say “Enough!” 

A week ago, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was 4.01%. On Friday, the yield shot as high as 4.58% before sliding back to around 4.50%. That’s a major swing for the bond market, which measures moves by the hundredths of a percentage point.

Among the possible knockoff effects is a big hit to ordinary Americans in the form of higher interest rates on mortgages and car financing and other loans.

“As yields move higher, you’ll see your borrowing rates move higher, too,” said Brian Rehling, head of fixed income strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. “And every corporation uses these funding markets. If they get more expensive, they’re going to have to pass along those costs customers or cut costs by cutting jobs.”
So there's that, apart from what tariffs are going to do.
Bonds are supposed to move in the opposite direction as stocks, rising when stocks are falling. In this way, they act like shock absorbers to 401(k)s and other portfolios in stock market meltdowns, compensating somewhat for the losses.

“This is Econ 101,” said Jack McIntyre, portfolio manager for Brandywine Global, adding about the bond sell-off now, “It’s left people scratching their heads.”

The latest trigger for bond yields to go up was Friday’s worse-than-expected reading on sentiment among U.S. consumers, including expectations for much higher inflation ahead. But the unusual bond yield spike this week also reflects deeper worries as Trump’s tariffs threats have made America seem hostile and unstable even to longtime allies.

...

The instinctual rush into U.S. debt is so ingrained in investors it even happens when you’d least expect.

People poured money into U.S. Treasury bonds during 2009 Financial Crisis, for instance, even though U.S. was the source of the problem, specifically its housing market.

But to Wall Street pros it made sense: U.S. Treasurys are liquid, stable in price and you can buy and sell them with ease even during a panic, so of course businesses and traders would rush into them to wait out the storm.

Yields on U.S bonds quickly fell during that crisis, which had a benefit beyond cushioning personal financial portfolios. It also lowered borrowing costs, which helped businesses and consumers recover.

This time that natural corrective isn’t kicking in.
So, what?
Another explanation is that a favored strategy of some hedge funds involving U.S. debt and lots of borrowing — called the basis trade — is going against them. That means their lenders are asking to get repaid and they need to raise cash.

“They are selling Treasurys and that is pushing up yields — that’s part of it,” said Mike Arone, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors. “But the other part is that U.S. has become a less reliable global partner.”

Wells Fargo’s Rehling said he’s worried about a hit to confidence in the U.S., too, but that it’s way too early to be sure and that the sell-off may stop soon, anyway.

“If Treasurys are no longer the place to park your cash, where do you go?,” he said. “Is there another bond out there that is more liquid? I don’t think so.”
And if you need a bit more information from someone in government who does know what she’s talking about (which sets her apart from anyone in the administration):
Warren: So understand this about treasuries. Whenever there’s a crisis anywhere in the world—terrible things happen—and investors, people who have money they can afford to invest in different places, you know what they do? They go to U.S. government treasuries. It’s called a flight to safety. In other words, when there’s economic danger in the world—a war has broken out, there have been massive earthquakes that will disrupt the economy—what happens? Investors go to the United States government treasuries, because damn, it just doesn’t get any safer than that.

Except with Donald Trump as president.

And what we watched happen on Wednesday was that investors around the world, for the first time, really, started easing back—right in the middle of the chaos—saying they weren’t so sure they wanted their money in the United States or held by the U.S. government.

That is not just a flashing red light. That one—you can hear the sirens going off, and you can feel things taking a really sharp dive down. That’s part of the cost of the Trump chaos from the tariffs—and it really is a reminder: he’s driving this economy over a cliff.
So maybe the bond market doesn’t implode. It’s still going to be bad. We’re still gonna pay a helluva price for voting the incumbent out for the cheaper eggs we still don’t know have.

Sunday, April 13, 2025

Palm Sunday Evening

 


The preacher on television this morning recounted the atonement theory of Christian salvation right down to the last dotted "i" and crossed "t".  I wasn't having it, but I was in the other room anyway.  The Lovely Wife asked me what I thought, and I ended up handing her my copy of Paul Among Jews and Gentiles,  by Krister Stendahl.

I still owe you all a post on Stendahl.  I'll get back to it in Holy Week.  Pinky swear.

Anyway, the idea that God is too holy for humankind, and humankind too sinful for God, is not a universal one nor even a core Christian belief.  Julian or Norwich had visions of Jesus who told her "all shall be well, and all shall be well, and all manner of thing shall be well."  Hardly the harrowing of souls at the end of time.  In my own church's traditions, German immigrants came here and set up orphanagaes and a hospital and a mental care facility and a place for river workers on the Mississippi to go at the end of the journey, rather than to bars and bordellos.  The preacher assured me that faith alone (sola fides, as Luther put it) would save us, and that works were not a path to salvation.  The old Protestant complaint about indulgences, which were pretty much dead by Luther's time, anyway. To put it bluntly, nowhere in the gospels (well, John, but that's why I'm not fond of John), so nowhere in the synoptics, does Jesus say "No one comes to the Father except through me."  John was fighting with the Hebrews, later Jews, in the early 2nd century.  It was a family fight.  Jesus in the synoptics stresses "works," as in caring for the sick and the helpless (women and children in a patriarchal society), and taking care of each other.  "The first of all will be last and servant of all."  The power of powerlessness.  Works without faith is dead; but so is faith without works.  The preacher emphasized evangelism, as in telling people "about Jesus" in order to save their souls.  My German spiritual ancestors let their deeds speak for them.  No translation into English needed.

Which brings me around to "Jesus Christ Superstar," still a major subject in my faith history.  A personal one; don't worry yourself with it.  The great controversy about “JCS” when it was released was that it treated Jesus as human. An ironic complaint, given that Holy Week is the church’s annual remembrance that the Christ was Jesus: was arrested, whipped, tortured, and executed in one of the most brutal and inhumane ways ever devised. And then died. Yes, “executed” incorporates “died,” but Christians have to remind themselves of that. They aren’t uniformly good at it.

The tenor of the times, the reason, I’d argue, for the controversy, is contained in the title song, sung by Judas just after the whipping and just before the crucifixion ends the opera. The repeated chorus says “Don’t you get me wrong/I only want to know.” The song is addressed to God, who supposedly would be offended by such questions. Ironic, that, since theologians and church leaders and Biblical scholars have been asking such questions for 2000 years. But among congregations and “ordinary people”? The status quo of religious belief is to be preserved at all costs. God knew what God was doing 2000 years ago, and don’t question it now.

“O that you would come down!” Yeah, nobody was reading that part of Isaiah to me in high school. AFAIK, I first read it in seminary a good 20 years later. It wasn’t pointed out to me before seminary how many times people question God in the scriptures, or how many times God demands they question God. Judas’ questions and proviso seemed pretty sensible to me. It would take me another 10 years out of seminary to realize the problem with Judas’ situation in “JCS” was not that God intended Judas to be damned for all time (we get that through Calvin, actually. Or rather, through mixing Calvinism (which ain’t all Calvin all the time) and Greek fatalism (via Greek tragedy). It’s a bad combination.), but the doctrine of the atonement that says Jesus had to die. I think now even Paul would at least mutter “You stupid Galatians” over that one.

Pauline theology was that Jesus became divine because of his absolute faith in God, and at the time of the resurrection. After death, in other words. It’s no coincidence Paul has virtually nothing to say about the life of Jesus (or his sayings). That alone poses a problem for the gospel writers, who don’t want to leave the reveal to the end. Mark manages it (no nativity story, and no encounters with Jesus after finding the empty tomb), but Matthew and Luke and John push the godhood in Jesus of Nazareth back further and further, and the nature of the man qua man becomes more difficult to interpret. The atonement theory, Christ was born to die on the cross, was meant to be a solution to that problem.  Jesus had to be human to die, but God in order to atone. But the central conflict of “JCS,” that Judas was born to play his role in making the crucifixion happen, raises a new problem. Do we thank Judas for his timely betrayal? Or damn him for all time? And what kind of salvation scheme is this, anyway? One that depends on a particular person being damned so the rest of us can step over him like a bridge to our salvation?

Thank you, Judas?

I should not be understood by this to be denying the mystery of the Holy Trinity. I’m not going Unitarian on you. I just think the atonement theory has outlived its usefulness, because the truth is, we are always struggling to understand ourselves and God and the revelation not just of God but of the creation and our own humanity. Theories change, in other words. That doesn’t mean God does, anymore than the universe does because our theories about it change. But we do, and what and how we understand does. God does change, in fact, even as we do. But mutatis mutandis, we remain who we are.

Consider it another mystery.

But JCS is mired in the atonement Christ, and caught in that theory is the human Jesus of Nazareth. The value of this is that it reminds us the Easter morning we take as an inevitability was impossible to even imagine during the original (un)Holy Week. Part of the purpose of Holy Week is this remembrance, and the effort to live it over again as if we don’t know the outcome. Palm Sunday and Passion Sunday used to follow each other in the last weeks of Lent, opening Holy Week by remembering the crucifixion, which itself is observed on Good Friday. Good Friday itself was actually the beginning of Triduum, and the Easter Vigil which lasted until Easter morning. Sunrise services on Easter were an echo of the Great Vigil (the other vigil on the liturgical calendar was Christmas Eve, the remnant of which is the midnight service that welcomes the birth of the Christchild. One vigil sits up with the dead and the mourners; the other waits with the expectant parents). 

The Great Vigil was a service of four services, recapitulating the salvation history of scripture (I haven’t abandoned soteriology, just relocated it). They are: a service of light (Christ as light of the world); a service of water (Christ as water of life, and recalling baptismal vows); a service of the word (Christ as logos); and a service of bread and wine (Christ as the Eucharist).I used this service as my Easter service, starting in a dark worship space and introducing light, and then music. The scriptures began with the Exodus story, ending with the resurrection story. The service ran from darkness to light to baptism remembered to a joyful Eucharist.

JCS is about the week before the victory was known or expected. It's not presented as a great celebration, despite the Hosannas of Palm Sunday in the beginning of the second act. Judas reflects the Pauline theology: Jesus is not God before Easter morning. “You’ve started to believe/the things they say of you/You really do believe/This talk of God is true.” And a twist on Paul, who seldom mentions what Jesus said: “You’ve begun to matter more than the things you say.” I often think of that line when I’m in the presence of people who emphasize salvation over servanthood.

The enemies of Jesus don’t see him as God; they see him as human. All too human, and dangerous for it. And here is where JCS clearly follows the gospels, rather than history. It’s unlikely the religious authorities (it’s anachronism to even label them “Jewish” at the time if Jesus, even though John uses the term some 75 years after the first Easter Sunday) were upset enough by Jesus of Nazareth to want him dead. Crucifixion was a Roman form of execution, reserved for political prisoners, the greatest threat to the Pax Romana. Pilate probably executed Jesus without a second thought. In fact, he was removed as governor of Judea because he crucified too many, too freely, even for Rome. Most of the gospel stories of Pilate dithering or arguing with Jesus or washing his hands in public, or even agonizing over the decision to execute Jesus, are pure invention. The gospel writers wrote that so Rome would not look harshly on them.  They weren't that sure about their resurrection.  Jesus was executed for being the guy who caused so much trouble in the Temple the week before Passover. It took a while to identify him, but when they did, Pilate didn’t need priests and Sadducees asking to rid them of this troublesome prophet. He probably didn’t care what they thought in the first place.

Whether that took place on "Palm Sunday," Christians commemorate it on this day. It is the beginning of the darkest week on the liturgical calendar, one traditionally concluding with a music-less service of word and prayer on Good Friday, with the church draped in funereal black.  At least, that's the way I used to do it.  In the Episcopal practice, the altar was cleared of all adornment and paraments, and ritually washed.  All in silence.  It is not a celebration in any sense of the word.  Some churches leave the sanctuary open on Holy Saturday, for vigils and silent prayer.

The gospel writers cared what Rome thought, though, they blamed their enemies: local religious leaders who were opposed to their religious movement. Rome had the power to do to them what it did to Jesus. Even Herod couldn’t do that. As I say, they weren't that assured of their own resurrections.  Who can blame them?  They were only human.

But JCS reminds us Jesus was human. Luke says he sweated blood in Gethsemane. He was truly afraid of death, the Synoptics agree. JCS presents this as part of God’s plan, as John does, but I think that lets us off the hook. We killed Jesus. People like us. Human beings. JCS hits this, too. It’s the chorus, literally the Greek chorus of a tragedy, the voice of the people affected by the decisions of the tragic hero, who demand Jesus’ death. This I find more likely. What Jesus says becomes a burden. First shall be last? The first of all shall be last and servant of all? The sheep are the ones who served others, the goats are the ones who served only themselves? And the sheep are ushered into the presence, the goats left out where there is wailing and gnashing of teeth? No wonder salvation is about "letting Jesus into your heart.” No wonder that matters more than the things Jesus said. It’s so much easier on us.

JCS reminds us that Holy Week, especially, was about Jesus being fully human. And that we are fully human, too. Capable of the humanity of Mary Magdalene (Yvonne Elliman was justly praised for her love song in the opera, but her brief passage gently rebuking Peter for denying Jesus literally throbs with sorrow, confusion, and heartbreak. Her character represents all the women who are Jesus’ disciples in the gospels. That portrayal is very true to the gospel stories.), as well as the blunt cruelty of the crowd demanding Jesus’ head.

Who killed Jesus? We did. Why was Jesus resurrected? In spite of us. What should we do about it? Do justice, love mercy, and walk humbly with our God. And love one another, as Jesus loved us . Because, after all, Jesus was one of us, too.





Palm Sunday Ain’t Holy Week, Is It?

Trump wouldn’t know, anyway.

I Can’t Even…

 


Jesus ate and drank with tax collectors and prostitutes, and told his disciples “Whoever is not against us, is with us.” Trump wants to counter the Trans Day of Visibility, which happened to fall on Easter last year.
With what? The grandiosity of Trump? An “extraordinary Holy Week” for only his evangelical Christian supporters? He only proves again he has no idea what Holy Week is about. Will he wish us all a “Happy Good Friday!” again?

Will he remind us that whoever is not with him, is against him?

1840

A native of the United States clings to this world’s goods as if he were certain never to die; and he is so hasty in grasping at all within his reach that one would suppose he was constantly afraid of not living long enough to enjoy them. He clutches everything, he holds nothing fast, but soon loosens his grasp to pursue fresh gratifications.

In the United States a man builds a house in which to spend his old age, and he sells it before the roof is on; he plants a garden and lets it just as the trees are coming into bearing; he brings a field into tillage and leaves other men to gather the crops; he embraces a profession and gives it up; he settles in a place, which he soon afterward leaves to carry his changeable longings elsewhere. If his private affairs leave him any leisure, he instantly plunges into the vortex of politics; and if at the end of a year of unremitting labor he finds he has a few days’ vacation, his eager curiosity whirls him over the vast extent of the United States, and he will travel fifteen hundred miles in a few days to shake off his happiness. Death at length overtakes him, but it is before he is weary of his bootless chase of that complete felicity which forever escapes him.

At first sight there is something surprising in this strange unrest of so many happy men, restless in the midst of abundance. The spectacle itself, however, is as old as the world; the novelty is to see a whole people furnish an exemplification of it.

Their taste for physical gratifications must be regarded as the original source of that secret disquietude which the actions of the Americans betray and of that inconstancy of which they daily afford fresh examples. He who has set his heart exclusively on the pursuit of worldly welfare is always in a hurry, for he has but a limited time at his disposal to reach, to grasp, and to enjoy it. The recollection of the shortness of life is a constant spur to him. Besides the good things that he possesses, he every instant fancies a thousand others that death will prevent him from trying if he does not try them soon. This thought fills him with anxiety, fear, and regret and keeps his mind in ceaseless trepidation, which leads him perpetually to change his plans and his abode.

If in addition to the taste for physical well-being a social condition be added in which neither laws nor customs retain any person in his place, there is a great additional stimulant to this restlessness of temper. Men will then be seen continually to change their track for fear of missing the shortest cut to happiness.

It may readily be conceived that if men passionately bent on physical gratifications desire eagerly, they are also easily discouraged; as their ultimate object is to enjoy, the means to reach that object must be prompt and easy, or the trouble of acquiring the gratification would be greater than the gratification itself. Their prevailing frame of mind, then, is at once ardent and relaxed, violent and enervated. Death is often less dreaded by them than perseverance in continuous efforts to one end.
--Alexis de Tocqueville 

Chaos Is Not A Strategy

Chaos is not a plan.
Dasha, you cover the White House," host Manu Raju prompted his guest. "Where does the president see this going on tariffs? Or is it just sort of every day is another adventure?"

"Well, he said this week it's all about his instinct, right?' she replied. "Look, remember how much we were reporting at the outset of this administration that chaos is the strategy? That's how he's going about what he's doing with DOGE. That's how he's going about so many aspects of his agenda."

"He's doing that with tariffs as well," she elaborated. "He wants to keep everyone off balance, he wants people to come to the table and negotiate and wonder, you know, how they're going to do this with the White House."
Chaos is not a negotiating tactic. As Heath Ledger’s Joker said to Harvey Dent in the hospital: “Do I look like a guy with a plan?” Chaos works in fiction because it can be made to seem to serve an end (the writer is always in charge of the plot). But chaos in real life is simply the complete absence of order.

Trump is not chaotic because he’s in charge or strategic or enacting the “art of the deal.” He’s chaotic because he’s incompetent.

Nothing more.
Not a strategy. Not a plan. Just bloody fucking incompetence.

Dems In Disarray?

KARL: So you're saying that the big tariffs on things like smartphones and laptops, all those iPhones built in China, that those tariffs are temporarily off but they're gonna be coming right back on in another form in a month or so?

LUTNICK: Correct. That's right. Semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will have a tariff model in order to encourage them to reshore.
So, get ready to pay more for your drugs? We already pay more than the rest of the industrialized world, but that’s not enough for Big Pharma?

The campaign ads will write themselves.
In fact, they already do. Oops.

I guess nobody’s come up with a good alliteration for Republicans like “Dems in disarray.” Yet.

NYT Pitchbot

 


NYT Pitchbot:

News Analysis | Trump realized that other countries, unlike the US, still had civil servants who could actually administer tariffs.

What A Hellscape They Imagine

This guy makes Jack Chick look like Little Mary Sunshine. 🌞 

Can We Stop Saying There’s A Strategy Here?

 Or even dementia, and just admit it’s worse? It’s just rank incompetence.

Trump exempting computers & phones from the tariffs today means that Chinese-made laptops now have lower tariffs than European Cars, Mexican Steel, & Canadian Lumber.

Also means Vietnamese-made laptops have a lower tariff than Ethiopian coffee, Indian tea, & Guatemalan bananas

Import Chinese battery: 145% tariff Import Chinese battery inside Chinese laptop: 20% tariff Import Chinese battery inside Vietnamese laptop: 0% tariff

Fuckin brilliant. A+ work here team. I am so glad there are such smart people working on our trade policy.
As Paul Krugman puts it:
“For electronics, at least, we’re now putting much higher tariffs on intermediate goods used in manufacturing than on final goods. This actually discourages manufacturing in the United States.”
My dreams of screwing in little screws comes crashing to an end. (Although why robots wouldn’t be doing that kind of thing to keep high school kids employed in robot maintenance was never fully explained.) (“We were in a time of conflict” is desperately trying to justify Presidential “emergency powers.” Which works when you ship innocent people to the black hole of El Salvador. This is, after all, America. But you don’t fuck with the markets, because you don’t fuck with the money. This is, after all, America.))

(The whole concept of international trade was that international trade would ameliorate the need for international conflict. And China has used it to expand its soft power, as the U.S. did since WWII. But Trump is stuck in the 1970’s. He’s still, IOW, fighting the last war.: the war for American manufacturing dominance. We lost that war. But Trump wants to be Hitler leading Weimar Germany out of the disgrace of the punishment for WWI. Maybe Vonnegut was right, and the U.S. is going to end up Balkanized so it can no longer be a danger to the world.)

Saturday, April 12, 2025

Economic Anxiety II: Electric Boogaloo

 JMM notices:

Good way to see the current tariffs, as of literally today, is no tariffs on high value [and] manufactured goods marketed to middle and upper middle classes. Massive tariffs for cheap consumer items which amount to the biggest economic privilege of working class/middle class life in US.
And a little clarity (sans charts):
Here's an updated look at all Trump's 2nd-term tariffs, accounting for today's exemption for phones & computers

The overall US tariff rate is now 25%, down from 29% pre-exemption but still 10x what it was before Trump took office (1/3)

Accounting for the exemptions on phones & computers, US tariffs on China are now 111%, down from 134% pre-exemption. Yet that is also still 10x what it was before Trump took office (2/3)

Today's exemptions caused the tariff rate on computers to drop from 41% to 5% & the rate on phones to drop from 65% to 10%

Cars remain the largest tariff-affected import, with goods made primarily in China (batteries, toys, game consoles) being hit with the highest tariffs (3/3)
That last category is what most of us will be buying, and noticing becoming much more expensive. Xmas is still screwed. But if you’re in the market for a new cellphone or computer…rejoice!

I don’t think the bond market is going to dance a giddy dance, however.

Loose Lips Sink…Legal Arguments

Trump speaks:
Looking forward to seeing President Bukele, of El Salvador, on Monday! Our Nations are working closely together to eradicate terrorist organizations, and build a future of Prosperity. President Bukele has graciously accepted into his Nation’s custody some of the most violent alien enemies of the World and, in particular, the United States," Trump wrote. "These barbarians are now in the sole custody of El Salvador, a proud and sovereign Nation, and their future is up to President B and his Government. They will never threaten or menace our Citizens again!"

This statement, according to multiple experts, is a "retreat" from his earlier position.
It also doesn’t do what he wanted to do.

The prisoners being sent to El Salvador aren’t being dumped at the border and arrested under Salvadoran law. They are being shipped to El Salvador under an arrangement with the U.S. government, an arrangement negotiated and made by the Trump Administration. Trump even says here the two governments are working together. That means Trump could obtain the release and return of any prisoner sent there by the U.S. 

The trial court has to establish that this is the situation. Trump just did that. With no countervailing evidence from the DOJ, the court can take this on judicial notice and conclude that the government can “facilitate” the return of Mr. Garcia. (The DOJ has screwed up any defense or contrary evidence by refusing to answer the judge’s questions.  They can’t now say “Oh no, there’s nothing we can do. That first guy was just stupid, we now know what’s going on!”) Even a majority of the Supremes can see what’s going on. 

This is a joint agreement. Bukele is taking prisoners from the U.S. on our behalf. It would be a small matter for Trump to ask the return of one if the Supreme Court tells him to.

The alternative is Trump dropping anyone he wants in that black hole and saying “Nothing to be done about it now!” Which, despite the ambiguous language of the Court’s order, is hardly consistent with their ruling.

Except When He Wavers

Did we wait for China to call, or nah? uh-huh.
Like he understands the Chinese economy needs to ship smartphones to America? Except for electronics? That would be the same President who folds like a cheap suit every time he’s shown the status of the bond market? Because he is unwavering? Except when he wavers?

What A Difference A Day Makes

 


Speaking of the people left on Twitter: 

This is really just for the headline:

Why Beijing is not backing down on tariffs
“Because they don’t have to?” (I mean, this ain’t rocket science.)

What a difference a day makes.

All Because We Didn't Want a Black Woman Behind The Resolute Desk

NYTimes:

Adolf Hitler's “Mein Kampf” is still on U.S. Naval Academy shelves. “I Know Why the Caged Bird Sings” and “Memorializing the Holocaust” are not.

An order by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s office led to a purge of books that are critical of racism — but preserved volumes defending white power. 

“Walk It Off, You Suckers And Losers!”

RFK, Jr says vaccines cause disease, because the FDA is not to be trusted. 

But a guy with no medical training and a brain worm, is. 🤷🏻‍♂️ 

😈

Malinowski: The point is all of these countries saw what happened and that he is the one who now desperately needs to strike dozens of deals with dozens of countries in 90 days to justify what he did to the American economy.

If I'm the European union and they see this, I would drive a very, very hard bargain right now. So these are not going to be great deals for the United States if they happen at all.
Uhhhh... 😈😈😈

(I read quotes from a report on this “announcement” to the Lovely Wife and she said, quite seriously: “Oh, that’s not ‘The Onion’?” 😹)

Someone Showed Him The Bond Market

And he shit his pants.

(We import a lot more than electronics from China.
Just sayin...)

The State Department of Gilead

There was a professor in seminary who posted all manner of ads and comics on the wall outside his office door. Things like pictures of Jesus playing soccer with little blonde white kids, or the picture of Jesus I’m gonna post on Easter Sunday (no, I won’t show you yet!). And comics making light of several Christian doctrines, most of them both popularly held, and heretical. Pretty sure the State Department of Gilead would turn him out for displaying “anti-Christian bias” for his mockery of some people’s ideas of Jesus.

This is as blatant a violation of the First Amendment as there can be. If anyone in the State Department was caught reading my blog, for example (as if!), they could be accused of “anti-Christian bias.” (Pretty sure just my use of “Xmas” would be enough.) All Christians are equal, but some are more equal than others?

Yes, Americans voted for this, whether they meant to or not. But I’m pretty sure they didn’t vote for a complete abdication of Congressional oversight. For the moment, we have to rely on the courts (Trump still hasn’t so much as publicly noticed the 3 million people in the streets recently). But we need to remember Congress’ responsibility, and vote accordingly.


Is That 24 Hours In Year-Round DST?

Or something? Because it’s been at least 48 hours in “regular time” since she said that.

I’d really like to know what she thinks the charges would be. Or why it’s ethical to announce a case like that.

“Legacy”

 Not gonna do any better than this, today.

Friday, April 11, 2025

🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

 Well, of course:

An alert sent out to shippers from U.S. Customs and Border Protection "notified users of a glitch in the system that is used to exempt freight from tariffs, including shipments from China that were already on the water at the time of this week’s whipsaw in tariffs policy, and any trade from nations now under the 90-day pause put in place by the Trump administration," reported Lori Ann LaRocco. "The alert explained that U.S. Customs discovered that the entry code for U.S. shippers to use to have their freight exempted is not working and 'the issue is being reviewed.'"

"Normally, when a U.S. importer pays for their freight, they file both the cargo release forms and their financial papers, so they can pay for their cargo. To keep the cargo moving, Customs is advising importers to file the cargo release form now, and file the financial form later, once the glitch is corrected," said the report. "For now, that means the tariffs are not being collected by the U.S. government."
Well, the bond market is still completely fucked, and merchants still don’t want to place orders for Xmas because they have no idea what inventory will cost when it arrives, so…

…we’ll always have that.

What a pack of idiots.

😹😹😹😹

So It Was A Metaphysical Exam?

I didn’t know Walter Reed could test for that. Congratulations, you did. No one can believe what you’ve done to the economy. Uh-huh.
The bond market sell-off escalated Friday to cap off one of the most volatile and unusual trading weeks in recent memory as President Trump's tariff whipsaw sent yields surging and investors fled safe haven assets.

Long-term Treasury yields skyrocketed, with the 10-year yield (^TNX) surging to its highest level since February to trade as high as 4.59%, a massive 72 basis point swing from Monday's low of 3.87%. Shortly after the closing bell, yields pulled back to around 4.49%.
The bond market is almost literally shitting bricks. What was that cognitive test again? Sure you did. Nobody understands what you’re doing because it doesn’t make sense and you can’t explain it and you change it every 24 hours. Besides:
The mighty dollar, ordinarily a safe haven during times of market-based stress, is falling apart, and its ongoing year-to-date slide is pointing to a much bigger problem for all U.S. assets.

That’s because the weakening greenback has been accompanied by a dramatic selloff in U.S. government debt and whipsaw action in all three major stock indexes on Friday, following a historic rally and big selloffs in equities over the past week. Such coinciding moves — falling dollar, bonds and equities — like the ones seen recently are “rare, ugly and worrying,” according to a team at Evercore ISI, a research arm of New York-based investment-banking advisory firm Evercore.
Gee, why all those “coinciding moves” at once?

You really are just dumb as a post, aren’t you?

I Thought She Shut Down The Education Department

Why does she still have a job?

BTW: computers became ubiquitous in the classroom in this century.  IIRC, our school district started supplying them to students after the Golden Child graduated high school, so circa 2010. PC’s, as we used to call them, had been around for quite a while before that. 

I know why people are pushing AI for everything (and no, I don’t just mean Elmo): they want to be in on the next Microsoft/Apple. Best way to do that, they think, is to invest in AI and promote the hell out of it. Pretty much the way they did with Tesla, because electric cars were the next Macintosh.

And then it turned out Elmo wasn’t the next Steve Jobs.  (I’ve been seeing a reference to an article on how Jobs invested in his people and company, rather than contract, in the 2008 financial crisis. He brought Apple out of that to greater success with the iPad. Elmo laid off almost everybody at Twitter, and then forced Tesla to make his vanity project: an ugly thing he mockingly called a truck, and not enough people want one to even cover the investment in making them. None of his other cars have changed a whit, either. Apple has made, sold, and discarded more types of products than Elmo has ever sold.)

AI will be what it will be, but its place in the classroom won’t be clear for decades. I was the generation that took standardized tests (to this day I’m an expert at filling in the bubble); learned to speed read with machines (a useless skill I no longer have); watched “film strips” (“DING!”) and movies (“Our Friend The Atom”), stared at screens illuminated by opaque projectors and overhead projectors, and even cleaned chalk dust from erasers (without masks!😷)

My daughter wouldn’t recognize any of that, or really know what I was referring to. Most of it was a legitimate attempt to improve education. “Smart boards” were the new thing last I looked (but not in the college where I taught for 20 years).  A lot of the technology we used in public schools was just to keep us quiet and entertained across the absurdly long school day. The more time I spent teaching, the more I thought the school day was mostly for babysitting. College has you in class a few hours a day. So do the early grades of school. But then we decide students need to spend 8 hours there. Why? So they can stand it in an office? I still don’t have a better reason than that.

AI may have a place in the classroom someday, but not now. I’m encountering AI in my daily life, and I can smell it a mile away. It isn’t thinking, it’s just aping human communication (poorly) to keep people from doing such grunt work (or rather, to not have to pay people). AI in the classroom would not be much better than having first graders helping in college lecture halls; except AI wouldn’t get bored. 

It wouldn’t think, either. So, what’s the point?

In Case There’s Any Doubt What It’s Always All About

Adding:
CNN's Boris Sanchez asked anchor Jim Sciutto about his "perspective" on how the White House was handling the situation, specifically the fact that Trump is demanding Chinese leader Xi Jinping reach out first for a phone call, and not the other way around.

"Can you get any more high school in matters of state? It's ridiculous," Sciutto scoffed, while anchor Brianna Keilar mocked, "He's gotta call me, Jim!"

Sciutto continued, "The Chinese impression is that they are willing to at least negotiate — not necessarily on Donald Trump's terms — but to talk. But their impression is that the U.S. is not open channels and not made an effort to open up channels to allow that. So, now you have the U.S. president saying, 'Well, you know, I'm not going to open those channels, China has to open them first.' It's kind of ridiculous at the end of the day, because you are playing with the interests of of American consumers, Chinese consumers, et cetera."

Sciutto added that in President Xi's statement, he claimed China would not go higher than 125 percent "because this is getting a little ridiculous."

"That's both a signal to say we're not going to get caught up in this tit-for-tat to the degree that the president is, but it's also an opening to say, okay, we're are capping this for now, and that perhaps offers a way forward that we could begin talking about how to bring these down," Sciutto said.

He added that China doesn't want to be seen as "kowtowing" to the West, "so, the browbeating is not a great diplomatic strategy."
There is no strategy. There is only Trump’s gaping maw of need.

He Said So, It Must Be So!

 Government by Twitter:

DOGE staffer Antonio Gracias told "Fox & Friends" on April 2 that more than 5 million noncitizens who came to the U.S. illegally had received Social Security numbers "through an automatic system," and he then claimed they had then been added to voter rolls and cast ballots – which is already a federal crime and virtually nonexistent, reported NPR.

"Just because we were curious, we then looked to see if they were on the voter rolls. And we found in a handful of cooperative states that there were thousands of them on the voter rolls and that many of them had voted," Gracias said.
I’m old enough to remember when outrageous allegations had to be supported by evidence. Apparently I have lived too long.

“Noncitizens” includes people here legally and gainfully employed. Unless the employer is cheating the government by paying cash (and likely cheating the laborers, too), the employer is obligated to report and pay employment taxes (by which I mean SS/Medicare and income tax) for all employees.

And I can’t imagine why any state would need my SSN for voter registration. Or how this clown would gain access to state voter rolls. He certainly wouldn’t understand what he was looking at. 

I’ve known people this dumb and ignorant. I just never knew them to be rogue government employees.

As I say, the GOP Congress thinks this is just fine. Congress has the whip hand in this situation. They just won’t do anything with it.

Where We Now At, Courtesy Of JMM

 Or: “Fraud, Waste and Abuse” Theater: 🎭 

Politico has this piece on th absurdity of trying to negotiate 75 bulateral teade deals in 90 days. But the piece wildly understates the problem. Trade deals are laws. They have to pass congress. https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/10/bessent-global-trade-showdown-00285810

2/ Trump may not think so. But the other countries certainly do. Is any country going to reorient their trade with the US based on a promise from Donald Trump. In fact it goes even beyond that. Remember NAFTA, which Trump remade into USMC. That’s torn to shreds.

3/ Any trade deal with the US is basically meaningless as long as Donald Trump isn’t in prison.
Any minute now Trump is going to announce a “trade deal” with China, hoping the bond markets notice. He really doesn’t care about Congress. He’s used to sole proprietorships. He doesn’t understand government at all.

And the GOP Congress is fine with that. 

Next EO Incoming

Trump is gonna ban the word “tariff.” 

Thursday, April 10, 2025

I Guess Trump’s Headfake Didn’t Fool Anybody?

Or is this the “pain” he keeps talking about? Who didn’t see that coming?

Ignorance Easily Couples With Stupidity

My wife received social security benefits from childhood through college. Her father died when she was about a year old. Her sister and brothers received the same benefits.

This isn’t new, IOW. It’s just new to ignorant people.
I’m only surprised this guy doesn’t work for the White House already. On the other hand: He’s not as stupid as this. After that we’ll know what has caused the stupidity epidemic in this administration. Oh, wait…