He wins polite applause, not adulation, from middling crowds. He makes verbal miscues nearly daily. Yet Joe Biden is widely seen by voters as the candidate most able to defeat Trump — and he won’t let anyone forget it. Via @mviser. https://t.co/mDLVDVwHTv— Dave Clarke (@davecclarke) August 22, 2019
...when people actually start voting in primaries?
"Inevitability" plays well in media narratives and among reporters anxious to have something (and someone!) to write about in a field of 3000 (-3!) Democratic candidates for President, in the many, many months before Iowa (which still barely matters, and won't the day after). South Carolina is being touted because of black voters and SC moved itself up in the primary season, but still....
Biden is "widely seen by voters as the candidate most able to defeat Trump" because a) name recognition and b) nobody is voting yet. How "inevitable" is he going to look 6-7 months from now?
Trump looked fairly formidable until yesterday. And every time I read another "analysis" like this:
Despite recession fears and recent shootings, Trump's approval rating is remarkably consistent, with Americans' opinions calcified after two years of near-constant political crises, outrageous statements and divisive rhetoric at the White Househttps://t.co/j24NDbPBPp— Jill Colvin (@colvinj) August 22, 2019
I see another desperate attempt to flog the horse race. Trump's approval rating has been consistently underwater since February after his inauguration, and it has not surfaced in 3 years. If he's been consistently around 40% approval, he's also been consistently around 50% disapproval. And yet he "has the support" of 40% of the American people? Of the electorate? Or is it of people who answer a pollster with "Yeah, sure, whatever"?
What it isn't, what any of it isn't, is a window into the future.
"What all these controversies have in common is that they fill the hours while nothing much really happens"— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) August 22, 2019
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