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🧵 Public opinion poll in Russia

Short summary:

Survey says 86.6% of Russians support the armed invasion of Russia in other European countries

75.5% of Russians approve the idea of a military invasion in the next country and believe that it should be 🇵🇱 Poland.

— Roman Hryshchuk 🇺🇦 (@grishchukroma) March 16, 2022

Conclusion: the Russian public have no idea what’s going on in Ukraine. No, they know Ukraine was invaded. But they think they have a military that can now go on into Poland. It’s not the fact they think they can attack a NATO country. It’s the fact they think their military will survive Ukraine.

The awakening to reality in Russia is going to be very harsh.

"'Sometimes, I wish I could put these bodies on a plane and drop them all onto Moscow, so they realize what is happening here,' said Mr. Sokurenko, the funeral director, as he put Tuesday’s fifth Russian cadaver on blue-plastic sheeting inside his van." https://t.co/9yS0KtDad4

— George Conway🌻 (@gtconway3d) March 16, 2022

On the macro level, or the micro, the truth is going to come home. In body bags, or in sheer failure in Ukraine.

“The number of bodies was unbelievably large. People at the Mazyr station were simply shocked by the number of bodies being put on the train.” https://t.co/0HZxGfwFwb

— Joe Scarborough (@JoeNBC) March 17, 2022

The morgues in Belarusian cities of Mozyr, Homel and Naroulia are reportedly full.

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 13, 2022

Putin is, as I've noted repeatedly, trying to run a traditional 19th/20th century Russian strategy of throwing masses of young men into war heedless of casualties in a country with 21st century birthrates. Russia no longer makes enough young men to pull this off. https://t.co/7bp8Pxq1WP

— Dan McLaughlin (@baseballcrank) March 17, 2022

This is literally unsustainable.

Russian forces deaths 7,000, + estimated 14,000 to 21,000 injured, + at least three generals are astronomical losses. The Russian force is nearly spent if these #s are even close. This will increase the desperation at the political level = more violence. https://t.co/NJrAKWLNTE

— Yevgeny (Eugene) Vindman (@YVindman) March 17, 2022

“Many Russian generals are talking on unsecured phones and radios. In at least one instance…the Ukrainians intercepted a general’s call, geolocated it, and attacked his location, killing him and his staff.” https://t.co/9BdagzBE3r

— Felicia Schwartz (@felschwartz) March 17, 2022

The Russian army will not survive Ukraine.

“One recent report focused on low morale among Russian troops and described soldiers just parking their vehicles and walking off into the woods” https://t.co/FkRyGVSEQM

— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) March 17, 2022

Around around 75% of Russia's total military "is committed to the fight in Ukraine" right now, a DoD official says.

— Paul McLeary (@paulmcleary) March 16, 2022

And the endgame?

Elon Musk Challenges Vladimir Putin To ‘Single Combat’ For Ukraine https://t.co/yfI8JTVR5x #WhatDoYouThink? pic.twitter.com/IpDOTgcRtC

— The Onion (@TheOnion) March 16, 2022

Peace in our time.