😎

As I keep saying, if this case makes it to trial he loses. I don’t care if it’s in deep red parts of SDFL. He loses.

He has to delay. It’s his only hope. He isn’t denying doing what he did. https://t.co/UvU7z4H3Ys

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) March 14, 2024

I think that’s the right analysis, except I don’t think a conviction is a silver bullet.

If Trump goes into November dragging the chains of three criminal cases and one conviction (New York goes to trial the first day of Holy Week), another conviction won’t be the one that put the dog down. I think most people will be reluctant to elect a president just dragging so much legal baggage.

Besides, the odds he gets the bond for the fraud case are nil. Donations to the RNC are going to dry up (those aren’t made by old people unwittingly donating $10 a month automatically). Laura Trump has no connections to the fat cats who write those checks. Trump is going to find that cupboard bare, and the legal bills mounting. Even as Letitia James starts taking buildings and Trump needs money for the campaign.

Trump is going to die the death of 1000 cuts. His business empire fails, his legal cases fail. He could be in trial in October or November. Even without a conviction, such cases would draw enormous attention. Delay is only going to make that more likely. And cost him money he doesn’t have, and that he needs for his only real hope of survival: winning the election.