I Would Only Add To This…

'Sad and trapped and small': Op-ed hits analysts who dismiss Trump trial's election effecthttps://t.co/tWySbsd4Kb

— Raw Story (@RawStory) April 19, 2024

 …That a lot of people are not going to follow the trial obsessively, especially since it won’t be on TeeVee. But they will see a lot of Trump yelling at cameras on street corners, at least until editors realize he’s repeating himself for the 1,000th time.

And that Americans tend to take jury verdicts very seriously. If Trump is adjudged a felon, no matter how weak the crime seems to “experts”:

“The list contained three cases involving the crime of falsifying business records, one of which was set for trial on Monday, April 15—People v. Trump. Nothing on the calendar, other than the defendant’s name, would have told you there was anything special about the case.” https://t.co/7O4iMVB1d7

— George Conway (@gtconway3d) April 19, 2024

 the electorate will take it seriously. 😐 I don’t think people really care about the nuance between the DC charges and the Florida charges and the Georgia “perfect phone call” charges. A felony conviction is a serious thing, especially for a presidential candidate who, honestly, isn’t all that popular.

As the argument at Slate says, Trump doesn’t have the margins to lose many votes. And the campaigning he hasn’t done yet (because the lawyers are vacuuming up the money), he can’t do for six weeks or more; except to shout at TeeVee cameras. The other element the pundits (and the Slate article) ignore is that: actually, campaigns do matter. While Biden is campaigning and opening multiple offices in many states, Trump is farting in the courtroom, and snoozing,?and hoping to squeeze in another fundraiser or milk some more cash from small donors, to pay for all the consultants looking up old posts of potential jurors. (The guy is bleeding cash at this point.) Trump’s appearances people actually see are going to be Trump ranting about this trial and, soon enough, about the verdict.

And seriously, who wants to vote for “that guy”?