Thursday, September 05, 2024

I Should Be Asking: "What Has New York City Done TO Us Lately?"

For clarity: Where the hell did the NYT get their version? Cloud-Cuckoo land? Conway has a point, but I'd counter with the example of the court reporters, who writes down what you said, not what you meant. The first time you read a deposition (recorded verbatim, not what you thought you said), you see how elliptically and incoherently people talk. We are used to sound bites (selected bits that are at least coherent for 10 seconds), or scripted dialogue. Nobody talks like Aaron Sorkin writes. Yes, the reporter can be regarded as a "bad writer" for repeating what Trump said (to the extent you can, without simply transcribing it), but it's not a judgement call to say: "Trump mentioned twelve unrelated topics and items and occassionally mentioned "child care" again, in an answer that provided no specifics and no policy provisions, and never identified a specific piece of legislature, or even an idea, that he would champion in office." There, off the top of my head. It can be done. Holy fuck, he said it again! I wonder if the NYT covered that part of his speech? And now I'm just spitballin' the day away: Interesting article, worth reading. I wasn't aware of the concept of OODA loops, but the basic idea (oversimplified) is that you get "inside" your opponents strategy and act faster, dominating and disrupting their plans. I can see it in chess strategy, now that I think of it. One explanation from the article is that Trump's "strategy" works like this:

What Trump has realized is that he can get inside the other candidates’ OODA loops by just working without a net and firing off one tweet and one unfiltered message after another so that the other guys are responding to what he said three tweet cycles ago. But perhaps more importantly, he’s realized he can get away with what the other campaigns would deem disasterous “gaffes” by getting inside the press corps’ OODA loop, which he does by firing gaffe after gaffe after gaffe in n such machine-gun like rapid succession that the MSM never has a chance to focus on one and turn it into something like, say Romney’s “49%” or Obama’s “bitter clingers” gaffes (square quote omitted) because by the time they report it, he’s already belted out a half dozen more on that topic and fired off three other salvos on three other topics.

If you accept that analysis, it explains why Harris/Walz are beating Trump like a drum, and, in the now worn out term, "disrupting" his plans.  "Same old playbook.  Next question."  If you don't respond to what Trump said "three tweet cycles ago," you break his OODA loop.  And then you step in and mock what he just said, and pretty soon he's telling Sean Hannity "I'm not weird!  I'm not weird."  And he's hopelessly tangled in your OODA loop (if I'm using that metaphor right).

I'd apply that to his legal strategies, too.  I think the MAL case gets reinstated instanter, maybe 🤞, with Loose Cannon removed from the case as a bonus.  As for the DC case, I really think the Supremes gave Trump all the grace they're going to.  He might get some evidence delimited from the trial on a second appeal, but I don't think he gets it dismissed because Pence's testimony went to the grand jury.  The evidentiary rule the Court laid down applied to trial, not a fundamental right like the 5th Amendment.  IOW, Smith is already inside Trump's lawyers OODA loop.  And, as I'll say 'til your sick of hearing it (your probably already are), Trump is going to run out of money before the government does.  Which means he has a limited number of appeals left before he can't afford the special binding for the Supremes.

We live in hope.  And, fortunately for the majority of us, not in New York City.  I mean, look at what it's inflicted on us in the past decade....

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