That poll said:Deleted this tweet. ABC tweeted this poll this morning. But it's actually a poll from about ten days ago. You have to search deep in the article to see that it's the older poll. Not sure why they did that. In any case, noting this in the interests of transparency. pic.twitter.com/wCajY51m4D
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) September 9, 2024
The NYT/Siena poll everybody was talking about over the weekend, said:A reminder that for some reason the NYT poll has been among the most pro-Trump all cycle https://t.co/nGj0dGAwnm
— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) September 9, 2024
Except:The Russians paid a lot of money for a guy who doesn’t know the last NYT poll had the same result. https://t.co/aoeuTupTiQ
— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) September 8, 2024
Yeah, I know, Nate Silver 'models' the polls and comes closer to the truth ("close" only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades), but the idea that one poll tells us what the nation thinks, and another poll later tells us the nation has changed its mind, rather than the simpler explanation that if you ask less than 1000 people a question, and ask another group of people the same (or nearly the same) question, you might get different answers, is never considered..@NateSilver538 is somewhere watching his model set Trump at 95% likelihood of winning https://t.co/UuG68stFkl
— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) September 9, 2024
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