Wednesday, April 01, 2026

Living The Sunk Cost Fallacy

CNN: We have new CNN polling showing how the country feels about this war.

Just a third of Americans approve of how the president is handling his role of commander in chief, as well as the war.

Two thirds disapprove of the decision to take military action in Iran, and strong opposition has grown 12 points since the start of the war.

63% of Americans say that they believe it's likely that the war will turn into a long term military conflict.

Nearly 7 in 10 oppose sending U.S. Ground troops into Iran.

71% say they don't want congress to authorize $200 billion for further military action in Iran.
Fuck this “majority rules/representative government”shit! We’re in an undeclared and illegal war! We can’t quit now! Now let’s talk about disabilities of minority boxes of wine. The law, through statutes, protects children from the consequences of their actions through the status of minors, or minority (not to be confused with the demographic use of that term). Minority is commonly 18, or 21, can in some particular situations be as low as 16. What the law calls “disabilities of minority” can be removed by court order for criminal or civil purposes. But until they reach the age if majority (cross the chronological threshold between “minor” and “adult,” in the eyes of the law, they are children. And protected in ways adults aren’t.

Which DCAG Box O’Wine clearly doesn’t understand. Maybe she drank away that part of her legal education. But “Hangin’s too good get ‘em!” is not exactly the sense of justice you want to see in government prosecutors.
I take it back; she does understand. And I take her complaint about “coddling” to mean she wants to return to the days of child beating just because they are children…and small enough to beat properly. As Markwayne Mullin brags of doing.

These people are the sick ones.

And speaking of sunk cost fallacies:
TODD SCHULTE of @FWDus on Republicans circumventing Democrats to fund ICE through reconciliation:

Yeah, look—our understanding is that if they choose to move forward with a reconciliation bill, there are three things that are really important.

Number one, it’s a party-line vote, and it’s something you have to pay for with offsets.

Number two, DHS already has $150 billion for ICE and CBP, and now they’re talking about adding tens of billions more on top of that—for three years, along with funding for the war in Iran.

So third, you’re talking about a couple hundred billion more for ICE and CBP, a couple hundred billion more for Iran—paid for at a time when costs are skyrocketing—with what, half a trillion dollars in cuts to healthcare, to Medicaid, to Medicare?

Look, that’s bad policy, but the politics couldn’t be more clear. The public does not want hundreds of billions of dollars spent on ICE, paid for by cuts to their healthcare.

And I think it’s important to understand the difference between this reconciliation package and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which was also a reconciliation bill. People may remember last year’s bill—it was a party-line vote that only needed 50 votes.

Last time, it was about big tax cuts paid for by roughly a trillion dollars in cuts to Medicaid. It wasn’t popular, but it passed. There was $191 billion for DHS in that bill—it didn’t get a lot of attention, but it should have. Vice President Vance said that was actually the most important part of the bill—the funding for ICE and CBP.

But now, this is going to be about ICE and Iran, paid for by healthcare cuts. At a time when the public is outraged after events in Minneapolis and Los Angeles—when places like Home Depot, churches, and schools are being described as deportation sites—this is going to be a huge, nasty political fight.

And I hope Republicans abandon it.
I know Republicans are abandoning ship at a record rate, but the ones remaining seem determined to blow as many holes in the ship as possible. It’s like, if they can’t have it, nobody can. Maybe they still think they’re attacking government; but they’re really just sinking the GOP. And the Constitution clearly says, if Congress can’t pass a law, the President can make the law. It’s in one o’ them, what do ya call ‘em? Articles! That’s it!

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