More Noise From The Peanut Gallery

Donald Trump should not be allowed to be nour next president. But he should be allowed to break the law repeatedly without fear of prosecution.

by Ron DeSantis and Mike Pence

— New York Times Pitchbot (@DougJBalloon) June 9, 2023

If you’re running against someone and you feel like you have to rush to their defense each time they’re indicted probably best to pack it in. Free advice.

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) June 9, 2023

And, of course, we’re going to get a lot of this:

1/ Before we enter a sunny summer where fecund nature's bounty grows green and wild and where the laughter of the warm wind caresses the flowers, let's get some perspective over the indictment, the GOP field, the conservative media apparatus, and the dangers of magical thinking.

— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 9, 2023

3/ Miami is a hotbed of Trump voters, supporters, skells, dreamers, boat-paraders, cultists, and people terrified of dead communists and imaginary communism.

The baseline of tolerable corruption in Miami makes normies heads spin.

— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 9, 2023

5/ Hope for the best, plan for the worst, but even people in South FL who don't scan as MAGA during jury selection won't be MAGA in action, or motivated by alternate media the DOJ doesn't understand. Stuff on Miami WhatsApp and Miami radio makes Fox look like the BBC.

— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) June 9, 2023

My response has, admittedly, as much analytical weight as those 5 tweets: nobody foresaw the Texas GOP House impeaching Paxton. And I still see the Texas Senate removing him from office.

One cannot predict the future. One cannot predict what a jury will do. Jurors tend to take the trial, their duty, and the jury charge very seriously. Does Trump control Miami juries because he won the county in 2020? Even the state reps from Paxton’s home base in Collin County voted for his impeachment. And they aren’t jurors being instructed by a federal judge, or sitting through a trial of carefully presented evidence.

Trump’s bullshit and ballyhoo are not going to get in the courtroom door. Analysis of the jury pool by a political consultant is not an expert analysis. Jurors tend to take their job very seriously.

Everything depends now on the judge, the case presented by the DOJ, and the defense put on by Trump. What we know do far, Trump doesn’t have a defense he can present in court.

Sort of like the E. Jean Carroll case. Except for the presence of Trump in the courtroom, I expect much the same trial, and much the same outcome. And imagine the repercussions of a conviction in Florida, v. D.C.