Reading Chicken Entrails

This is amazing

— NYTPitchbot (@DougJBalloon) November 8, 2026

💥NEW: NBC's Steve Kornacki *DUMPS COLD WATER* on The Today Show viewers' hopes of Dems winning Senate💥 Kornacki noted Democrat leads in key Senate races are "tenuous" — and that polling frequently underestimates Trump voters. He asserted Republicans now confidently view polls where Democrats have slight leads as likely GOP victories. Kornacki gave specific examples, such as Ohio and Iowa. Remember the infamous Ann Selzer Iowa 2024 poll? Kornacki particularly highlighted the Kansas Senate race in 2020. He said the Democrat was polling well — but Republican Roger Marshall ultimately smoked her in a landslide. Marshall is now supposedly polling extremely tightly against his Democrat opponent once again. Kornacki also pointed out that even blue states like Michigan and Minnesota appear remarkably close in polling. He reminded viewers that Abdul El-Sayed barely won his primary after polling projected a huge victory. Due to the tightness of these Senate races, underestimating Republican turnout by even a small margin could make all the difference. Frank Luntz also recently warned Trump voters "don't respond" to pollster phone calls and asserted he was "skeptical" that polls were accurate. Nobody is buying the polls anymore. Democrats could be in for a rude awakening in 2 weeks.

— Jason Cohen 🇺🇸 (@JasonJournoDC) October 20, 2026

NEW: NBC's Steve Kornacki *DUMPS COLD WATER* on The Today Show viewers' hopes of Dems winning Senate💥

Kornacki noted Democrat leads in key Senate races are "tenuous" — and that polling frequently underestimates Trump voters.

He asserted Republicans now confidently view polls where Democrats have slight leads as likely GOP victories.

Kornacki gave specific examples, such as Ohio and Iowa.

Remember the infamous Ann Selzer Iowa 2024 poll?

Kornacki particularly highlighted the Kansas Senate race in 2020. He said the Democrat was polling well — but Republican Roger Marshall ultimately smoked her in a landslide.

Marshall is now supposedly polling extremely tightly against his Democrat opponent once again.

Kornacki also pointed out that even blue states like Michigan and Minnesota appear remarkably close in polling.

He reminded viewers that Abdul El-Sayed barely won his primary after polling projected a huge victory.

Due to the tightness of these Senate races, underestimating Republican turnout by even a small margin could make all the difference.

Frank Luntz also recently warned Trump voters "don't respond" to pollster phone calls and asserted he was "skeptical" that polls were accurate.

Nobody is buying the polls anymore.

Democrats could be in for a rude awakening in 2 weeks.

So I spent the week in a lodge in the mountains, with no cell service, but with satellite TV.  It gets DARK in the mountains, and nothing much to do until daylight but watch TeeVee.  We opted for MS NOW because most of the other channels sucked, and it was enjoyable watching election returns and then bathing in the historic victories. Well, for awhile.

I had a revelation in all that time wasted (the sun goes down early in the mountains, and the moon wasn’t showing its face). The pundits and the talking heads and the commentators (which includes yes, your humble host, but I know how inconsequential I am), had NOTHING TO DO WITH THIS. This was truly the people, and organizers, and volunteers, and a helluva lot of effort by people who don’t bloviate all day (again, I’m first in line there) about what other people (especially politicians) should do. This was people doing, and getting other people doing, and it was completely under the radar and off the national screen and unaffected by billionaires’ money and pundits opinions on what everyone should be doing, and THAT’S A GOOD THING! 

They’ll go on chattering and spending and writing as if they were the center and the unmoved movers of the political universe, but Tuesday proved they are not.  In America, the people are still sovereign. Even if it takes a lot of effort from time to time to make them realize that. 

And polls still don’t mean 💩.