Much closer to reality than is comfortable....
Sorry to hammer this home, but I keep telling you we all live in Texas now. Case in point:
In short, the metropolis has economic power but little political power. The American countryside has limited economic power but vast political power. It’s always been true, but this year’s electoral map shows the gap is wider than ever. There are many explanations for what happened on Election Day, but the simplest one is this: We now have a rural party and an urban party.
Every major urban area in Texas, save Tarrant County (Fort Worth), went for Clinton in 2016. In 2008 and 2012, those same urban areas went overwhelmingly for Obama. It was, and is, the rural areas of Texas (growing more populous every year, but still the major growth is in the urban areas) that keep Texas red. And despite "demographics" and other promises of political salvation if we just clap loudly enough and wait long enough, I don't see that changing anytime soon.
Welcome, y'all.
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