The two most populous states in Super Tuesday had lengthy early voting opportunities: Texas and California. The next big issue in campaigning is going to be not ignoring Texas and California until after South Carolina (assuming that date doesn't change):
Going back to the chart Laura just posted (I put it here too) and our conversation about how much Texas might matter, Biden is really hurt by so many Texans having decided and voted well before the last few days. The race is shaping up to be so close — it’s pretty safe to say that had everyone in Texas voted today, Biden would have won.Here's the chart:
The two states where voters had already decided were Texas and California. Biden was campaigning in Dallas last night. Too late, in one sense; a pretty good idea, in another. But I cast my vote for Klobuchar a week ago. Had I done it today, I'd have voted for Biden. Given the night Biden's having this may not make a difference by the convention, but the usual rules of primaries just don't apply anymore, and candidates are being really slow about taking that into account.
So are the party rules, for that matter.
Texas exit polls, voters who decided in last few days (22%):— Reid Wilson (@PoliticsReid) March 4, 2020
Biden 49
Sanders 21
Bloomberg 13
Warren 10
Among voters who decided earlier than that (77%):
Sanders 36
Biden 29
Bloomberg 15
Warren 11
More Texas voters made up their minds early than in states like AL, MA, NC.
Gee, I wonder why.....
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