Wednesday, April 01, 2026

How To Insult Friends And Piss Off People

To be fair, who didn’t know that? I’m old enough to remember Elmo pouring money into a local race that he might as well have spent on a wild weekend in Vegas. So I’m sure this will work out well. Can somebody translate that into coherent English? 
President Trump: “Thanks to the progress we've made, I can say tonight that we are on track to complete all of America's military objectives shortly, very shortly. We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks. We're going to bring them back to the Stone Ages where they belong. In the meantime, discussions are ongoing. Regime change was not our goal. We never said regime change, but regime change has occurred.”
Pretty sure we were going to “hit them pretty hard” for a month, now. And we’ve had a running monthlong discussion about regime change and whether or not it had occurred. So I didn’t miss anything. What a surprise. Another non-surprise. Trump remains a stable genius. How to insult friends and piss off people. Oh, and fuck up the global economy.

Concluding Unheard Speech Report

 Popehat puts it the way I should have:

Sometimes I get home from a long day of work utterly exhausted and broken and just DONE but my wife wants to chat and I love her so I talk and Trump sounds just like that without the love or sense of obligation

/2 Something I tell young lawyers is that the absolutely essential part of oral advocacy is that you have to find something you believe in, something you give a shit about. Maybe it’s that you‘re right about the argument! Maybe it’s that your client has been treated unfairly! Maybe….

/3…it’s just that you give a shit about a system where everyone gets someone to stand up and speak on their behalf. But you HAVE to give a shit about something, or your audience will hear it in your voice and you will lose.

Trump sounds like he doesn’t give a shit.

/4 Now, he’s CAPABLE of sounding like he gives a shit: like when he’s being bigoted, or reviling someone, or bragging about himself.

But this? He genuinely doesn’t give a shit and you hear it in every word.
Or: why I turned it off after one minute. It really was that bad.

Un-Holy Wednesday

Well, somebody’s using you. A lot of somebodies, actually. One sympathizes. Grandpa needs to go to bed. Alone. They knew what they signed up for. Must have found that in Two Corinthians. He opened his little Prozac bender saying we’d already done that. I heard him. And for four weeks (is it? Already?), he’s said every week that we’ve hit Iran harder than anyone’s ever hit anything before. Is anyone else beginning to wonder what the fuck it’s gonna take? Or if the President is dull-blown gonzo delusional? Because this is like 10 years of Vietnam bullshit compressed into one month.

And Holy Wednesday, no less.

With God As My Witness…

I tried to listen to Trump’s speech.

I didn’t get as far as this clip. Trump was droning on about inflicting more damage on Iran, in a shorter time, than any war in history. 

I think I heard “decimated,” too. He still doesn’t know what that word means. 

There was also something about smashing missile launchers, as if he’d done it personally with a hammer.

It was either turn it off, or put my foot through the TeeVee.

No Wonder Trump Stormed Out

 When I was listening to the arguments, Gorsuch was questioning Cecilia Ware, and later (I was in and out of my car), it Justice Sotomayor. Ware was treated respectfully by Gorsuch, and acquitted herself well, and went on to cite footnotes and page numbers in cases related to Wong Kim Ark. She repeatedly clarified the three groups excluded from immediate coverage by the 14th, which included native Americans.

The Solicitor General had not done as well before I’d tuned in:

This is how bad that was for Sauer:

Sauer really didn’t have a good day. Maybe he didn’t like the way they treated Sauer. Or it was that.

Living The Sunk Cost Fallacy

CNN: We have new CNN polling showing how the country feels about this war.

Just a third of Americans approve of how the president is handling his role of commander in chief, as well as the war.

Two thirds disapprove of the decision to take military action in Iran, and strong opposition has grown 12 points since the start of the war.

63% of Americans say that they believe it's likely that the war will turn into a long term military conflict.

Nearly 7 in 10 oppose sending U.S. Ground troops into Iran.

71% say they don't want congress to authorize $200 billion for further military action in Iran.
Fuck this “majority rules/representative government”shit! We’re in an undeclared and illegal war! We can’t quit now! Now let’s talk about disabilities of minority boxes of wine. The law, through statutes, protects children from the consequences of their actions through the status of minors, or minority (not to be confused with the demographic use of that term). Minority is commonly 18, or 21, can in some particular situations be as low as 16. What the law calls “disabilities of minority” can be removed by court order for criminal or civil purposes. But until they reach the age if majority (cross the chronological threshold between “minor” and “adult,” in the eyes of the law, they are children. And protected in ways adults aren’t.

Which DCAG Box O’Wine clearly doesn’t understand. Maybe she drank away that part of her legal education. But “Hangin’s too good get ‘em!” is not exactly the sense of justice you want to see in government prosecutors.
I take it back; she does understand. And I take her complaint about “coddling” to mean she wants to return to the days of child beating just because they are children…and small enough to beat properly. As Markwayne Mullin brags of doing.

These people are the sick ones.

And speaking of sunk cost fallacies:
TODD SCHULTE of @FWDus on Republicans circumventing Democrats to fund ICE through reconciliation:

Yeah, look—our understanding is that if they choose to move forward with a reconciliation bill, there are three things that are really important.

Number one, it’s a party-line vote, and it’s something you have to pay for with offsets.

Number two, DHS already has $150 billion for ICE and CBP, and now they’re talking about adding tens of billions more on top of that—for three years, along with funding for the war in Iran.

So third, you’re talking about a couple hundred billion more for ICE and CBP, a couple hundred billion more for Iran—paid for at a time when costs are skyrocketing—with what, half a trillion dollars in cuts to healthcare, to Medicaid, to Medicare?

Look, that’s bad policy, but the politics couldn’t be more clear. The public does not want hundreds of billions of dollars spent on ICE, paid for by cuts to their healthcare.

And I think it’s important to understand the difference between this reconciliation package and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which was also a reconciliation bill. People may remember last year’s bill—it was a party-line vote that only needed 50 votes.

Last time, it was about big tax cuts paid for by roughly a trillion dollars in cuts to Medicaid. It wasn’t popular, but it passed. There was $191 billion for DHS in that bill—it didn’t get a lot of attention, but it should have. Vice President Vance said that was actually the most important part of the bill—the funding for ICE and CBP.

But now, this is going to be about ICE and Iran, paid for by healthcare cuts. At a time when the public is outraged after events in Minneapolis and Los Angeles—when places like Home Depot, churches, and schools are being described as deportation sites—this is going to be a huge, nasty political fight.

And I hope Republicans abandon it.
I know Republicans are abandoning ship at a record rate, but the ones remaining seem determined to blow as many holes in the ship as possible. It’s like, if they can’t have it, nobody can. Maybe they still think they’re attacking government; but they’re really just sinking the GOP. And the Constitution clearly says, if Congress can’t pass a law, the President can make the law. It’s in one o’ them, what do ya call ‘em? Articles! That’s it!

Reading The Lectionary: “For Your Sake, Not For Mine”

Isaiah 49:1-7

The servant brings light to the nations

Listen to me, O coastlands; pay attention, you peoples from far away! The LORD called me before I was born; while I was in my mother's womb he named me.

He made my mouth like a sharp sword; in the shadow of his hand he hid me; he made me a polished arrow; in his quiver he hid me away.

And he said to me, "You are my servant, Israel, in whom I will be glorified."

But I said, "I have labored in vain; I have spent my strength for nothing and vanity; yet surely my cause is with the LORD and my reward with my God."

And now the LORD says, who formed me in the womb to be his servant, to bring Jacob back to him, and that Israel might be gathered to him, for I am honored in the sight of the LORD, and my God has become my strength-

he says, "It is too light a thing that you should be my servant to raise up the tribes of Jacob and to restore the survivors of Israel; I will give you as a light to the nations, that my salvation may reach to the end of the earth."

Thus says the LORD, the Redeemer of Israel and his Holy One, to one deeply despised, abhorred by the nations, the slave of rulers, "Kings shall see and stand up; princes, and they shall prostrate themselves, because of the LORD, who is faithful, the Holy One of Israel, who has chosen you."
Is God speaking to the prophet, or to Israel? Yes. I mean, what is the distinction? Israel is the children of Abraham, the children of Abraham are Israel. Israel will be a light to the nations, Isaiah will be a light to the nations. The individual is of the people. The people are of the individual. It’s not a concept we can grasp in our post-Enlightenment, post-Romantic world. For us, there is the individual; and there is the mass. One can be rational; the other can be nothing but irrational. One can be ethical; the other cannot. But Isaiah says the people can be as ethical as the individual.

This is not a concept we can grasp, we if the post-Enlightenment and post-Romantic eras. And I don’t think we should. We are too democratic (small “d”) now to not make “individual” our primary source of identity. I’m just pointing out Isaiah saw things differently; everyone did “back then.” And our baseline weltanschauung would be as alien and incomprehensible to them, as theirs is to us.

You have to be careful how you read these things. Isaiah wasn’t talking to you. But you can still listen. You just have to be careful about what you hear.

Isaiah crosses between himself, the prophet of Israel, and Israel, the children of Abraham. The prophet has a relationship with God; from the womb, he says. The metaphor applies to Israel as well, formed in the metaphorical womb by the covenant with Abraham, sustained by the salvific history of Israel (attend an Easter Vigil service; or come back here on Easter Sunday, and you’ll find a review of that story). The prophet means to mingle the two, to make individual and national history co-terminous, the better to explain the word of the Lord.

And now the LORD says, who formed me in the womb to be his servant, to bring Jacob back to him, and that Israel might be gathered to him, for I am honored in the sight of the LORD, and my God has become my strength- 

he says, "It is too light a thing that you should be my servant to raise up the tribes of Jacob and to restore the survivors of Israel; I will give you as a light to the nations, that my salvation may reach to the end of the earth." 

Thus says the LORD, the Redeemer of Israel and his Holy One, to one deeply despised, abhorred by the nations, the slave of rulers, "Kings shall see and stand up; princes, and they shall prostrate themselves, because of the LORD, who is faithful, the Holy One of Israel, who has chosen you."

Israel; and Isaiah; and their purpose. Deeply despised; abhorred by nations; once again the slave of rulers; chosen by the Creator. To be a light to the nations.

The power of powerlessness.

  
Psalm 71:1-14

From my mother's womb you have been my strength

In you, O LORD, I take refuge; let me never be put to shame.

In your righteousness deliver me and rescue me; incline your ear to me and save me.

Be to me a rock of refuge, a strong fortress to save me, for you are my rock and my fortress.

Rescue me, O my God, from the hand of the wicked, from the grasp of the unjust and cruel.

For you, O Lord, are my hope, my trust, O LORD, from my youth.

From my birth I have leaned upon you, my protector since my mother's womb. My praise is continually of you.

I have been like a portent to many, but you are my strong refuge.

My mouth is filled with your praise and with your glory all day long.

Do not cast me off in the time of old age; do not forsake me when my strength is spent.

For my enemies speak concerning me, and those who watch for my life consult together.

They say, "Pursue and seize that person whom God has forsaken, for there is no one to deliver."

O God, do not be far from me; O my God, make haste to help me!

Let my accusers be put to shame and consumed; let those who seek to hurt me be covered with scorn and disgrace.

But I will hope continually and will praise you yet more and more.
Again: the song of the individual; the song of the children of Abraham. Which is which? Can’t it be both/and? 

Israel/the Psalmist forsaken? Or the Psalmist/Israel redeemed? By the power of God; which is powerlessness.
1 Corinthians 1:18-31

Christ crucified, the wisdom and power of God

For the message about the cross is foolishness to those who are perishing, but to us who are being saved it is the power of God.

For it is written, "I will destroy the wisdom of the wise, and the discernment of the discerning I will thwart."

Where is the one who is wise? Where is the scholar? Where is the debater of this age? Has not God made foolish the wisdom of the world?

For since, in the wisdom of God, the world did not know God through wisdom, God decided, through the foolishness of the proclamation, to save those who believe.

For Jews ask for signs and Greeks desire wisdom,

but we proclaim Christ crucified, a stumbling block to Jews and foolishness to gentiles,

but to those who are the called, both Jews and Greeks, Christ the power of God and the wisdom of God.

For God's foolishness is wiser than human wisdom, and God's weakness is stronger than human strength.

Consider your own call, brothers and sisters: not many of you were wise by human standards, not many were powerful, not many were of noble birth.

But God chose what is foolish in the world to shame the wise; God chose what is weak in the world to shame the strong;

God chose what is low and despised in the world, things that are not, to abolish things that are,

so that no one might boast in the presence of God.

In contrast, God is why you are in Christ Jesus, who became for us wisdom from God, and righteousness and sanctification and redemption,

in order that, as it is written, "Let the one who boasts, boast in the Lord."
What is Christ crucified, except powerlessness? What is  foolishness, except powerlessness? What is wisdom, except powerlessness? What is God, except powerlessness? 

Which is not weakness, but true power.

But God chose what is foolish in the world to shame the wise; God chose what is weak in the world to shame the strong; 

God chose what is low and despised in the world, things that are not, to abolish things that are, 

so that no one might boast in the presence of God. 

In contrast, God is why you are in Christ Jesus, who became for us wisdom from God, and righteousness and sanctification and redemption,

in order that, as it is written, "Let the one who boasts, boast in the Lord."

And where’s the power in that?

Precisely.
John 12:20-36

Jesus speaks of his death

Now among those who went up to worship at the festival were some Greeks.

They came to Philip, who was from Bethsaida in Galilee, and said to him, "Sir, we wish to see Jesus."

Philip went and told Andrew, then Andrew and Philip went and told Jesus.

Jesus answered them, "The hour has come for the Son of Man to be glorified.

Very truly, I tell you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains just a single grain, but if it dies it bears much fruit.

Those who love their life lose it, and those who hate their life in this world will keep it for eternal life.

Whoever serves me must follow me, and where I am, there will my servant be also. Whoever serves me, the Father will honor.

"Now my soul is troubled. And what should I say: 'Father, save me from this hour'? No, it is for this reason that I have come to this hour.

Father, glorify your name." Then a voice came from heaven, "I have glorified it, and I will glorify it again."

The crowd standing there heard it and said that it was thunder. Others said, "An angel has spoken to him."

Jesus answered, "This voice has come for your sake, not for mine.

Now is the judgment of this world; now the ruler of this world will be driven out.

And I, when I am lifted up from the earth, will draw all people to myself."

He said this to indicate the kind of death he was to die.

The crowd answered him, "We have heard from the law that the Messiah remains forever. How can you say that the Son of Man must be lifted up? Who is this Son of Man?"

Jesus said to them, "The light is in you for a little longer. Walk while you have the light, so that the darkness may not overtake you. If you walk in the darkness, you do not know where you are going.

While you have the light, believe in the light, so that you may become children of light." After Jesus had said this, he departed and hid from them.
John's Jesus is always the human struggling with the divine. You can read John as making Jesus simply God among mortals; but sometimes, he’s just a mortal trying to speak for God. John's Jesus is always the human struggling with the divine. You can read John as making Jesus simply God among mortals; but sometimes, he’s just a mortal trying to speak for God. Here, right talks in metaphor about a seed dying in order to produce more life (it is, admittedly, an almost incorrect analogy), but then he goes human: 
"Now my soul is troubled. And what should I say: 'Father, save me from this hour'? No, it is for this reason that I have come to this hour.

Derrida asked: “My death, is it possible?” That question has gone suddenly from abstract to concrete for Jesus. Even John’s divine Jesus is troubled by the truth of mortality. He realizes his death is finally not only possible, but imminent. And like the Psalmist, he turns to God:

Father, glorify your name." Then a voice came from heaven, "I have glorified it, and I will glorify it again." 

The crowd standing there heard it and said that it was thunder. Others said, "An angel has spoken to him." 

Jesus answered, "This voice has come for your sake, not for mine. 
One of the most interesting passages in the gospels: some hear thunder; some hear the voice of an angel. But no hears what is said. And Jesus says: “That wasn’t for me, that was for you.”

Jesus is God. Jesus is human. And everyone’s hearing without listening. Maybe God could make them listen? But then what would they hear? 

After all, he doesn’t explain. The narrator tells us Jesus is talking about the death he will die. So at least we know. But Jesus can’t explain to the crowd. He talks in metaphors about light and darkness and then…runs for the darkness? For the moment, at least, they don’t know where he’s going. 

It’s another very human moment for John’s Jesus: desperately seeking the power of powerlessness. 

Trump Must Have Missed The Part…

...where the lawyer for the appellees (or it may have been Justice Sotomayor, or Kagan) noted that, in Wong Kim Ark the court specifically said that the U.S. does not look to other countries for how to interpret our 14th Amendment.

And 81 countries allow some form of birthright citizenship. The rule of thumb is that Trump is as ignorant as a stump.

And the 14th amendment didn’t create birthright citizenship sui generis; it was the rule prior to ratification. Section 1 of the 14th just made the rule apply explicitly to slaves, freed by the 13th Amendment. Explicitly by making the rule apply to everyone (with three group exceptions, as was noted in the argument) born in America.

Trump’s going to lose, and he knows it. (Wait’ll he can’t get a hearing on his EO regarding mail in voting before the term ends.) As Professor Vladeck put it:
Sounds like President Trump left the oral argument at the end of Solicitor General Sauer's presentation.
And his prediction;
7-2 to block the executive order; maybe 8-1.

This wasn't (and won't be) close.
I only listened to portions of the argument. It seemed to me the justices were exercising their academic muscles, engaging in discussions of very fine points of law, but not Alito- or Scalia-esque flights of fancy (which sounds “smart” to people who don’t know what the issues really are). Enjoying themselves, IOW. Granted I only heard excerpts from Gorsuch, Sotomayor, and Kagan questioning Cecilia Wang (who did an excellent job). Imagining Trump there was like imagining a dog at a symphony concert. Or maybe a 🐀 is the more apt analogy. 🤔

This Will Certainly Calm The Markets…

...and reassure our allies.

Failure To Perform

Bardella: I'm old enough to remember when I was a Republican, we actually won many elections because we had an advantage on the mail in voting. It was a huge advantage structurally for the Republican party in elections. And he has single handedly decimated it.

And oh, by the way, the postmaster general just last week testified before congress that they might run out of money by October. They are not equipped to do this job.
So Trump is an idiot (the EO won’t survive its first encounter with reality), and wholly incompetent. Even if he could implement his EO, he can’t.

(The GOP advantage was that old people voted by mail, and voted GOP. Trump has indeed fucked that up. Until recently, Texas allowed all registered voters 65 and older to vote by mail automatically. Once you signed prevent fraud for it, it continued without further effort on your part. 

Now, you have to request a ballot for each election year. File an application, etc. Who wants to work that hard? It supposed to prevent fraud. What it actually does is make it harder for mobility challenged voters to vote. Like old people, who tend to vote GOP.

Behold the genius of MAGA.)

We Don’t Need The Strait Of Hormuz

We just got this Force Majeure letter today from AirGas, our helium supplier (for our food science lab, where we have multiple mass-spec instruments that use helium).

The letter says that helium supplies are cut off, and if you're lucky, you might be allotted HALF the helium you need. Even then, you will be charged extra for any helium you get. A LOT extra.

So basically, every mass spec lab in America is about to go offline. AirGas is expressly invoking FM and saying they cannot meet their contractual obligations. Not their fault. Trump did this by attacking Iran.

My lab is fine, of course, because I saw this coming and I ordered my lab staff to buy a one-year supply weeks ago. We already have it in place. So we're still up and running with plenty of helium.

But very few lab science people are paying attention to the Strait of Hormuz, so they are getting blindsided by this.

Trump's war is shutting down science labs all across the country right now. Don't dare call this "winning." It's a loss for America. And the world.
Yup.
Surprisingly to some, the range of applications for helium goes well beyond birthday balloons, with the gas also a key input in chip making, medical imaging and space technology.

Qatar supplies a third of the world’s helium, which passes through the strait, but the nation has been forced to halt production after war broke out, with the nation’s state-owned gas company saying that strikes on energy infrastructure would further cripple exports.

Helium is also deemed tricky to transport as it is stored in insulated containers for 35 to 48 days as a liquid.

After this time frame, molecules start to warm up and escape, becoming a gas once more and escape, meaning those stuck in the strait are quickly losing value and damaging the supply chain.

Helium is essential for manufacturing semiconductors, including the chips used in artificial intelligence models, and a shrinking supply could have a knock on effect for leading technology stocks who are already fighting fears of a potential AI bubble.

Other uses

Elsewhere, the medical technology industry uses helium in MRI machines to cool magnets, while the space industry uses the gas to purge rocket fuel tanks.

Its demand within the space industry is expected to grow as more private companies enter the fray, with both Elon Musk’s Space X and Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin planning more frequent launches of their vehicles.

Thomas Abraham-James, founder and chief executive of Pulsar Helium, said: “What makes this particularly alarming is that the crisis presents not one problem for helium markets but two.

“Even where physical infrastructure remains intact, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz means that no product can reach market until hostilities cease.

“Qatar’s helium, used in everything from semiconductor fabrication and MRI machines to fibre optics and space launch vehicles, is therefore simultaneously impaired by structural plant damage on one hand and an export blockade on the other.

“Should the Strait reopen and tensions de-escalate, limited volumes may resume within weeks, but meaningful supply normalisation is likely months away at best and full restoration of damaged capacity years away.”
Let’s blame Europe. Because Trump is the dumbest, most dangerous motherfucker on the planet. And we elected him POTUS. Twice. 

What the hell is wrong with us?

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Coming To The White House In 2029

This man is just glad Iran can’t nuke us. Um…(stares in Wong Kim Ark). Meanwhile:
Trump noted that people and companies, many from China, have profited off the birth tourism industry by bringing people into the U.S. with the intent of giving birth, so their children could be granted American citizenship, and therefore reap its benefits.
The citizen from Florida above 👆 wants to know what these valuable benefits are and why he can’t have some. Because “library” is a word that has no meaning to him. He’s going to be very disappointed when all he gets is a plot of grass where people come to urinate on a small statue of him.

Or maybe it’ll be this:

The National Penny Drops

Or: he’s that deep in denial. And what’s the number of killed/wounded? Too small for Trump to consider? He still doesn’t understand why gas prices are up, does he? Unable to and, he also doesn’t care. Ignorance is not a flex. Sure they will. Two weeks. Maybe less. Depends on what Trump decides. Well, yeah, but we’ll get a new Congress next year, and that should help. Some of the people in power are that stupid, but the vast majority of us aren’t. I was wondering....

Well, Yeah, There’s That… 🤔

But it might open the Strait of Hormuz and lower gas prices, and, let’s face it…

Trump has already fucked our reputation and relationships, and we’re not correcting that anytime soon. There’s also the little matter of the $200 billion Xmas in April gift Lockheed and a few other defense contractors could be expecting, that would go away (I mean, eventually they’ll get it, but do we really want to do that right now?). The damage has been done. It’s sacrificing the country to the sunk cost fallacy to say we can’t stop now what we never should have started. 

Although Trump has done more damage to the country’s reputation than Vietnam did across three Presidencies, that’s no reason not to pull the plug sooner rather than later. 

It’s not like there’s a scenario where this turns the corner, after all.

Reading The Lectionary In Holy Week

Isaiah 42:1-9

The servant of God brings justice

Here is my servant, whom I uphold, my chosen, in whom my soul delights; I have put my spirit upon him; he will bring forth justice to the nations.

He will not cry out or lift up his voice or make it heard in the street;

a bruised reed he will not break, and a dimly burning wick he will not quench; he will faithfully bring forth justice.

He will not grow faint or be crushed until he has established justice in the earth, and the coastlands wait for his teaching.

Thus says God, the LORD, who created the heavens and stretched them out, who spread out the earth and what comes from it, who gives breath to the people upon it and spirit to those who walk in it:

I am the LORD; I have called you in righteousness; I have taken you by the hand and kept you; I have given you as a covenant to the people, a light to the nations,

to open the eyes that are blind, to bring out the prisoners from the dungeon, from the prison those who sit in darkness.

I am the LORD; that is my name; my glory I give to no other, nor my praise to idols.

See, the former things have come to pass, and new things I now declare; before they spring forth, I tell you of them.
So I’m inspired to review the daily lectionary for Holy Week. This is actually Monday’s readings, but there’s a theme here, so I want to start with it even though it’s a day late. 

What Isaiah describes here is what I call the power of powerlessness. God, in God’s own telling, is supreme:

Thus says God, the LORD, who created the heavens and stretched them out, who spread out the earth and what comes from it, who gives breath to the people upon it and spirit to those who walk in it: 

And has a covenant with the children of Abraham:

I am the LORD; I have called you in righteousness; I have taken you by the hand and kept you; I have given you as a covenant to the people, a light to the nations, 

That covenant has a purpose, which is not just to make Israel a nation:

to open the eyes that are blind, to bring out the prisoners from the dungeon, from the prison those who sit in darkness. 
To bring, in other words, God’s salvation to the world. The blind, the prisoner; that’s literal, not some metaphorical pseudo-spiritual “miserable sinner that I am”/Amazing Grace” sense. Rel blindness; real imprisonment; in the dungeons, where the forgotten languish. If the light doesn’t reach them, what’s the point of it?

And how will this happen? By works of power and physical dominance? No. By powerlessness:

Here is my servant, whom I uphold, my chosen, in whom my soul delights; I have put my spirit upon him; he will bring forth justice to the nations. 

He will not cry out or lift up his voice or make it heard in the street; 

a bruised reed he will not break, and a dimly burning wick he will not quench; he will faithfully bring forth justice. 
The spirit of God is a cry for justice, but it is not a fight, a clarion call “Aux armes, les citoyens!” God’s justice comes peacefully, quietly; relentlessly.

He will not grow faint or be crushed until he has established justice in the earth, and the coastlands wait for his teaching. 
Because the spirit of God is faith, is trust, is patience. “All shall be well, and all shall be well, and all manner of thing shall be well.” When the fire and the rose 🔥🌹are one? No; in God’s time. Have faith; hold fast to trust; be patient. And you will behold the power of powerlessness.
Psalm 36:5-11

Refuge under the shadow of your wings

Your steadfast love, O LORD, extends to the heavens, your faithfulness to the clouds.

Your righteousness is like the mighty mountains; your judgments are like the great deep; you save humans and animals alike, O LORD.

How precious is your steadfast love, O God! All people may take refuge in the shadow of your wings.

They feast on the abundance of your house, and you give them drink from the river of your delights.

For with you is the fountain of life; in your light we see light.

O continue your steadfast love to those who know you and your salvation to the upright of heart!

Do not let the foot of the arrogant tread on me, or the hand of the wicked drive me away.
The psalm is a prayer of faith and trust. It is more for the heart than the mind; although the two are not separate, not apart from each other. But we’ll leave the psalm today as a heartfelt prayer, a cri de couer.
Hebrews 9:11-15

The blood of Christ redeems for eternal life

But when Christ came as a high priest of the good things that have come, then through the greater and more perfect tent (not made with hands, that is, not of this creation),

he entered once for all into the holy place, not with the blood of goats and calves, but with his own blood, thus obtaining eternal redemption.

For if the blood of goats and bulls and the sprinkling of the ashes of a heifer sanctifies those who have been defiled so that their flesh is purified,

how much more will the blood of Christ, who through the eternal Spirit offered himself without blemish to God, purify our conscience from dead works to worship the living God!

For this reason he is the mediator of a new covenant, so that those who are called may receive the promised eternal inheritance, because a death has occurred that redeems them from the transgressions under the first covenant.
I’m going to start with the second verse there, because I’m more interested in elucidation than exegesis. I just want to point out a few points of interest, places where I think misunderstanding can intrude. 

So when scripture uses the metaphor of the tent, it’s a reference to the Exodus, to the years in the desert, to the time before the Temple in Jerusalem. But the real issue is here:
… then through the greater and more perfect tent (not made with hands, that is, not of this creation), 
Which might be misread as a dichotomy between Jesus (homoiousias/homoousias) (holy; good) and creation (fallen; bad). That’s a reading from several centuries later. The letter to the Hebrews is merely upholding the understanding that, while God is Creator, what is created is neither homoousias nor homoiousias with God; but Jesus is. Take that from it, and you’ll be fine.

As for the blood…well, connect the idea of fluids to the anointing story f John, the last of four in the gospels; and the only story, besides the crucifixion, that show up in all four gospels (and before you object, no, Mark does not have a resurrection; only an empty tomb. The longer ending is much later than the original ending.)
John 12:1-11

Mary of Bethany anoints Jesus

Six days before the Passover Jesus came to Bethany, the home of Lazarus, whom he had raised from the dead.

There they gave a dinner for him. Martha served, and Lazarus was one of those reclining with him.

Mary took a pound of costly perfume made of pure nard, anointed Jesus's feet, and wiped them with her hair. The house was filled with the fragrance of the perfume.

But Judas Iscariot, one of his disciples (the one who was about to betray him), said,

"Why was this perfume not sold for three hundred denarii and the money given to the poor?"

(He said this not because he cared about the poor but because he was a thief; he kept the common purse and used to steal what was put into it.)

Jesus said, "Leave her alone. She bought it so that she might keep it for the day of my burial.

You always have the poor with you, but you do not always have me."

When the great crowd of the Jews learned that he was there, they came not only because of Jesus but also to see Lazarus, whom he had raised from the dead.

So the chief priests planned to put Lazarus to death as well,

since it was on account of him that many of the Jews were deserting and were believing in Jesus.
This is where things get tedious, because the anointing stories absolutely fascinate me. This is almost the only time a story in the synoptics shows up in John, and owes so much to Luke, the only gospel closer in chronological time, to our time; save John’s. I’ve got the Scholars version at hand, so I’m going to cheat and use that one now:

Six days before Passover Jesus came to Bethany, where Lazarus lived, the one Jesus had brought back from the dead.  There they gave a dinner for him; Martha did the servince and Lazarus was one of those who ate with him. Mary brought a pound of expensive lotion and anointed Jesus' feet and wiped them with her hair. And the house was filled with the lotion's fragrance.  Judas Iscariot, the disciple who was going to turn him in, says, "Why wasn't this lotion sold? It would bring a year's wages, and the proceeds could have been given to the poor. (He didn't say this because he cared about the poor, but becasue he was a thief.  He was in charge of hte common purse and now and again wouild pilfer money from it.)

"Let her alone," Jesus said.  "Let her keep it for the time I am to be enbalmed.  There will always be poor around; but I won't always be around.

--John 12:1-8, SV

So that's it:  8 verses and done.  But the scene in John’s gospel is Bethany. Lazarus, a character in a parable in Luke (the only other time the name appears in the gospels), is now the dead brother of Mary (Lazarus dies in the parable, too). Lazarus has been raised from the dead, which is why the chief priests are upset (actually the Romans killed Jesus, but the surest way to be the next on a cross was to hint that execution was in any way unjust. Much safer to blame Judean religious authority.). Now the time is the days before Passover; and Jesus, he does in Mark and Matthew, refers to the act as a foreshadowing of his death.  But two very important elements have shifted, perhaps through Luke's lens:  now the perfume goes on Jesus' feet, and again, a woman wipes his feet with her hair.  Only this time the woman is named, so perhaps now we can tell this story "in remembrance of her," at least in the modern understanding of "remembrance."

It's interesting, the similiarities between this story and the stories in Matthew and Mark.  There aren't that many commonalities between John and the Synoptics.  John the Baptizer plays an important role in the gospels of Mark and Matthew, a role that reaches its zenith in Luke's gospel, where he begins with the appearance of Gabriel to John's father, Zechariah. In John's gospel the Baptizer appears as a bystander, someone who literally comments on Jesus as Jesus walks by.  No one in John's gospel gets to share center stage, however briefly, with Jesus.  John's gospel has no Sermon on the Mount (Luke)/Plain (Matthew), and precious few parables.  In the synoptics, Jesus' miracles are "acts of power" (dunamis) in the original Greek; in John's version they are "signs"  (semeia). So the resurrection of Lazarus is a "sign" of Jesus' authority and power, and it is precisely that sign which leads to the crucifixion:

When the huge crowd of Judeans found out he was there, they came not only because of Jesus but also to see Lazarus, the one he had brought back from the dead.  so the ranking priests planned to put Lazarus to death, too, since because of him many of the Judeans were defecting and believing in Jesus.

John 12:9-11, SV

The "sign" of Lazarus was costing the priests their power; at least in John's narrative.  I’ve mentioned before that the cleansing of the Temple seems to have been the historical impetus for the crucifixion.  That occurs just before Passover, a time of tension in Roman occupied Jerusalem.  John includes that story, in a few verses in chapter 2, almost immediately after the first "sign" at the wedding in Cana:

It was almost time for the Jewish Passover celebration, so Jesus went up to Jerusalem.  In the temple precincts he came upon people selling oxen and sheep and doves, and bankers were doing business there too.  He made a whip out of rope and drove them all out of the temple area, sheep, goats, oxen, and all; then he knocked over the bankers' tables, and set their coin flying.  And to the dove merchants he said, "Get these birds out of here! How dare you use my Father's house as apublic market."

(His disciples were reminded of the words of scripture: "Zeal for your house is eating me alive.")

John 2:13-17, SV

It's worth pointing out here, as a side bar, that merchants in the temple weren't necessarily evil.  Temple sacrifice was the point of coming to the Temple during Passover, and most travelers couldn't bring animals with them for the ritual.  They bought animals as they were able to afford:  from doves to ox.  Coins given to the Temple also couldn't bear the image of Caesar, both because humans are made in the image of God (and no images of God can be created), and because Caesar declared himself a "son of God," or divine in his rule over the empire. So the coins of Rome had to be exchanged at Temple for coins acceptable in the Temple.  The problem with both practices, from Jesus' point of view, is that they exploited the poor (like Jesus).  The cost of a dove was already a sacrifice for the poor traveler to Jerusalem coming to the Temple to worship the God of Abraham who taught Israel to think first of the care of the poor.  The exchange rate on Temple coins made money for the banker, and cost the poor, especially, a great deal.  Jesus' objection, in other words, is not pious;  he objects to the economic exploitation of people like him, the very people the God of Abraham professes to identify with.  So you can see why he's pissed off. You can also see why Pilate was worried. We don’t countenance these kinds of complaints today: especially if they are made in the name of Jesus.

Pilate's palace overlooked the Temple.  I mean, directly overlooked.  From the walls of the governor’s palace, Pilate could look down into the open areas of the Temple. Turmoil in the Temple during Passover, the high holiday of the Judeans (Jews is a bit of an anachronism during the time of Pilate), the "first of months" for the children of Abraham , is not conducive to the Pax Romana. It's a time of high political tension for Rome, which tolerated diverse religious beliefs, but not diverse political beliefs.  And Passover was as political as it was religious, so....

Back to Jesus:  the cost of the perfume Mary uses doesn't bother him.  There's no contradiction here; just a contrast.  And a consistency that keeps this version of the anointing at Bethany in line with those of Matthew and Mark.  Luke's is still the outlier (no perfume; only the woman’s tears; an outrageously erotic presentation in Luke’s day); but that outlier finds echoes in John's version.

First, note that the disciples appear in the story in Mark and Matthew, but not in Luke.  And John, who likes to tell more concrete stories (the better to ground his long, abstract discourses by Jesus.  As one of my professors in seminary pointed out, John's Jesus sucks all the air out of the upper room.  Chapter 13 of John begins that event, with Jesus washing the feet of his disciples.  Chapter 18 begins with Jesus finally going to the garden, although he's barely there before Judas shows up to betray him.  The chapters in between are almost all a monologue by Jesus.), replaces Simon the leper/Pharisee with Lazarus (the better to connect the resurrection of Lazarus in chapter 11 to the plot against Jesus in chapter 12) and "the disciples" with Judas Iscariot.  John's character of Judas is the one we all think of as the betrayer, the Iago to Jesus' Othello (except Jesus is not nearly so naive about Judas, especially in John's gospel), the Judas familiar to us from "JCS" (except, again, John's Judas doesn't really have any redeeming virtues).  So Judas is clearly the antagonist in this little story; he is even a hypocrite, because he doesn't care about the poor or whether the mony would go to them.  He's just, in modern parlance, a "troll."

And Jesus' response is equally blunt.  It also lends itself most easily to the dismissal of concern for the poor I've heard from too many professed Christians:  that the poor will always be with us.  It's usually said as if that's not only a fact of life, but the desire of God that some be poor.  As punishment; as part of God's "plan"?  The reason scarcely matters.  The excuse for ignoring them and denying any responsibility for them, is all that matters.

In some ways the Johannine version of this story is the most attenuated, and it suffers from that loss of detail.  John is less concerned with this story than with incorporating it into his narrative because, like the crucifixion, it is a part of the story of the Nazarene that cannot be excluded.  Curiously, it is John's gospel that gives us the long discourse between Pilate and Jesus, the back and forth between the Governor of Judea and a peasant rabble-rouser (which makes it, historically, a highly unlikely event.  Imagine your governor bandying words in public, before TV cameras, with a condemned prisoner just before his execution.)  We owe a lot of what we think about the story of Jesus to John's embellishments.  But in the anointing story John reduces the events to a bare minimum:  now the woman is named:  Mary, the sister to Martha and to Lazarus.  So she is in her brother's home, and yet still serving Jesus at table.  An attenuated scandal since Jesus is above such matters, and the focus stays on him in John's version.  Do you see this woman? Well, don't; she really doesn't matter.  Even the detail of drying his feet with her hair, which now can be a sign of love and honor for what Jesus has done (resurrected her brother Lazarus), but which would also be scandalous (it's still a first century lap dance; and imagine it happening today.  Washing someone's feet is intimate enough.  Drying them with your own long hair?).  John steps over that quickly by shifting attention to Judas, and in the most negative way possible.  Jesus dismisses the whole thing, using it as a foreshadowing of his death.  He doesn't even acknowledge what she's done, or why, except to dismissively say she should save the perfume for his burial preparations.

So the story comes from Mark to Matthew, almost unaltered; and then undergoes a radical transformation in Luke.  Some of those physical changes make it to John's version, but John seems ready almost to discard it, as it's not a "sign" pointing to who Jesus is or what his authority is, and it's not a "teachable moment" allowing Jesus to talk on and on and on about the nature of God and humanity.  For John it's a narrative transition point between the more important story of Lazarus (a "sign" if ever there was one; and, in John’s narrative, the prefiguring of Jesus’ resurrection) and the movement of the story into Jerusalem and the "upper room" (the remainder of chapter 12 is Jesus again talking about the concept of "signs" and the narrative moving toward the foot-washing of chapter 13 and the captive audience of the disciples Jesus then lectures for five chapters. Some of this we’ll get to). It's like John knows he can't leave this story out, but doesn't really think much of it, himself.  It's a pebble in his narrative shoe that he drops off as soon as he is able.

What, then, do we get from all of this?  This simple story was so important to the gospel writers they all included it (the canonical gospels, I mean; not the non-canonical ones).  Luke alters it dramatically.  From his "Special Luke" source?  From his own interests in the story of Jesus of Nazareth?  For whatever reason, he puts it through a blender, changing time and place and persons, leaving out the disciples and followers so thoroughly it is obvious the woman with the jar is a stranger to everyone else in that room.  There's a reason Luke goes immediately from his anointing story to a catalogue of the women traveling with Jesus.  It may be one of them is the woman in the room, since they provide for Jesus' ministry out of their own resources, and undoubtedly the perfume, even if it didn't cost a year's wages, was very expensive.  Luke is drawing a line underneath the woman's identity, the fact she was a stranger before she entered the room; and the enticing possibility that she is a stranger no more, because Jesus told her she had shown great trust, and that trust had saved her.  Matthew and Mark intimate the woman is one of the group; and maybe that's why Luke says the women had resources to fund the ministry when offerings weren't enough.  Matthew and Mark make it clear this is an anointing:  the perfume goes on the head, like the oil on the head of the king, or as in Psalm 133:

{A Song of degrees of David.} Behold, how good and how pleasant it is for brethren to dwell together in unity!

2It is like the precious ointment upon the head, that ran down upon the beard, even Aaron's beard: that went down to the skirts of his garments;

3As the dew of Hermon, and as the dew that descended upon the mountains of Zion: for there the LORD commanded the blessing, even life for evermore.

That is an anointing.  Luke shifts not only time and place (not Bethany; and far earlier than the fateful Passover events) and location (feet, not head).  Is it even an anointing anymore?  John restores (follows?) tradition, by calling the act an anointing, but Mary aims for the feet, not the head.  And in Mary we finally identify a woman (although no one tells that story in memory of her) and a reason for her gratitude (her brother has been restored to life).  John also includes a lovely, concrete detail: "And the house was filled with the lotion's fragrance."  A metaphor?  Or merely a physical detail about the nature of perfume?  Either way it's wiped aside by the actions of Judas and the blunt retort of Jesus.  None of this really interests John; but what's always been interesting to me is why John includes this story; and why he shifts to location to Jesus' feet, even as he keeps up with the tradition of the house being in Bethany, and the disciples (well, Judas) being present.

In "JCS," the anointing story turns into the emotional heart of the story.  Immediately after Judas' lament "Heaven on their minds" we meet the disciples with "What's the Buzz?"  And among them is Mary Magdalene and the women (as a backing chorus) who sing "Let me try to cool down your face a bit", which allows Judas back in with "Strange Thing, Mystifying":

It seems to me a strange thing, mystifying

That a man like you can waste his time on women of her kind.

Yes, I can understand that she amuses,

But to let her kiss you, stroke your hair, is hardly in your line.

It's not that I object to her profession,

But she doesn't fit in well with what you teach and say.

It doesn't help us if you're inconsistent.

They only need a small excuse to put us all away.

That's John crossed with Luke.  The objection is in Judas' mouth; but the objection itself, however obliquely expressed, is that of Simon the Pharisee.  Jesus has already accepted Mary's attention:

Mary, ooh, that is good

How you prattle through your supper,

Where and when and who and how

She alone has tried to give me, 

what I need right here and now.

Which sounds more like Luke than anybody.  This story recurs with the famous love song "I Don't Know How To Love Him."  Again Mary soothes Jesus, upset by the events of the march into Jerusalem (Simon Zealotes tells Jesus to use this power for glory), the cleansing of the Temple ("My Temple should be a house of prayer!/But you have made it a den of thieves!") and the followers ("Christ you know I love you/Did you see I waved?/I believe in you and God/so tell me that I'm saved!") and the beggars and diseased ("See my eyes, I can hardly see/See my legs, I can hardly walk/See my purse, I'm a poor, poor man/See my toungue I can hardly talk") to whom Jesus finally screams "HEAL YOURSELVES!"  And then Mary is back, offering "Myrrh for your hot forehead/calm you and anoint you" as she soothes him to sleep, and then sings her song of confused, bewildered love.  It isn't the song of the woman in Luke's version of the anointing; but it could be ours, if we examine that story carefully, if we take what Luke gives us, seriously.

And here's an interesting thing from the rock opera, too.  Judas says, in the first song, that Jesus has begun to matter more than the things he says.  This is an old discussion in Christianity.  The earliest gospels were likely "sayings" gospels.  Some of those are conjectural:  "Q" is thought to have been a collection of sayings of Jesus.  There's also presumably a "signs" gospel behind John's version.  The Gospel of Thomas is the most famous extant example of these kinds of gospels.  And it’s arguable, especially after the crucifixion, especially today, that Christians honor Jesus more in who he was than in what he taught.  Judas, in other words, is on to something.  Gallup reports that church attendance in America is declining, and thinks this marks something in American cultural history.  Perhaps; or perhaps it just marks a new social willingness to admit you don't go to church anymore.  The decline in attendance has been obvious to pastors and churches for more than half a century now.  Gallup thinks it’s discovered something but, again, the world is just catching up to the church.  And still we're a long way from the early 20th century.  This fight between who Jesus was, and what Jesus said (and which matters more) is a very old one, in other words; and if the latter is starting to prevail over the former (not to its extinguishment, but with a renewed emphasis on the latter above the former), perhaps that's all to the good.  Perhaps that's even the Holy Spirit (Luke) at work.  Perhaps we should let that fragrance fill the house (John).

Luke's story is, in my understanding, a powerful story about grace and salvation, forgiveness and redemption.  We want things to be earned, especially something as important as grace and acceptance (acceptance often includes some manner of forgiveness), but we want these blessings purchased with some coin.  For me that coin should be as small as possible, a mere mite, because surely I am deserving of forgiveness and grace, especially if I can't possibly pay for it.  For you, however?  Well, I'm not sure I want you getting something for nothing.  That seems unfair.  Maybe if you were to show a little love, you'd be deserving.  But to be deserving and to show some love, surely you have to have some prompting to respond to.  So would it work like this?

"I walked into your house and you didn't offer me water for my feet; yet she has washed my feet with her tears and dried them with her hair. You didn't offer me a kiss, but she hasn't stopped kissing my feet since I arrived. You didn't anoint my head with oil, but she has anointed my feet with myrrh. For this reason, I tell you, her sins, many as they are, have been forgiven, as this outpouring of her love shows. But the one who is forgiven little shows little love."

But that's an ouroboros, a Moebius strip; it doesn't seem to have a beginning or an end, and if you walk along it, it has only one surface.  There's no way in, no point at which you can begin your payment for that grace.  How do you earn it, then?

Precisely.  Begin there.

On what condition does goodness exist beyond all calculation? On the condition that goodness forget itself, that the movement be a movement of the gift that renounces itself, hence a movement of infinite love. Only infinite love can renounce itself and, in order to become finite, become incarnated in order to love the other, to love the other as a finite other. This gift of infinite love comes from someone and is addressed to someone; responsibility demands irreplaceable singularity.

Jacques Derrida, The Gift of Death, tr. David Wills (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995), pp. 50-51.

These conflicts and disputes among you, where do they come from? Do they not come from your own cravings that are at war within you? You want something and do not have it, so you commit murder. And you covet something and cannot obtain it; so you engage in disputes and conflicts. You do not have because you do not ask. You ask and do not receive, because you ask wrongly, in order to spend what you get on your pleasures. Adulterers! Do you now know that friendship with the world is enmity with God? Therefore whoever wishes to be a friend of the world becomes an enemy of God. Or do you suppose that it is for nothing that the scripture says, "God yearns jealously for the spirit that he has made to dwell in us"? But he gives all the more grace; therefore it says, "God opposes the proud, but gives grace to the humble."

James 4:1-6

I am reading (Simone Weil's) essays as a part of my Lenten reading...She says that we "...must experience every day, both in the spirit and the flesh, the pains and humiliations of poverty...and further we must do something which is harder than enduring in poverty, we must renounce all compensations: in our contacts with the people around us we must sincerely practice the humility of a naturalized citizen in the country which has received us."

I keep reminding the young people who come to work with us that they are not naturalized citizens...They are not really poor. We are always foreigners to the poor. So we have to make up for it by "renouncing all compensations..."

Dorothy Day, from The Dorothy Day Book, p. 11. 

I’m Beginning To See Sunlight…🌞

Bold Predictions

The U.S. withdraws from bombing Iran.

Israel doesn’t.

The Strait of Hormuz stays closed.

Trump: “Nobody said that would happen!”

Trump: “If Europe wants their oil, let them come and get it!”

The Strait stays closed. The price of gas in America stays high.

Trump: “That’s the price of freedom.”

Trump continues to be baldly ignorant about global commodities and how they work. 

And any complaints about Israel still attacking Iran is still branded as “antisemitism.”

Nobody Could Have Foreseen

Doublespeak

The base? And the rest of us are chopped liver? It’s up to Trump to declare victory, and up to us to just accept that. Remind me again, when did Iran attack us? (And actually, that decision is up to Congress. I think Rubio sponsored that bill.)

📦 🪨🪨

In a new post this morning on his Truth Social social media platform, President Donald J. Trump addressed the "countries that can not get jet fuel" and refused to join the strikes against Iran, such as the United Kingdom, telling them to buy oil from the United States instead and that they should "go to the strait and TAKE IT." He goes on to say, "You'll have to start learning how to fight for yourself, the U.S.A. won’t be there to help you anymore."
"Brent Crude" is oil from several European fields:
As the reference standard, the Brent Crude oil marker also is known as the Brent Blend, the London Brent, and Brent petroleum. This grade of petroleum is described as light petroleum because it is of low density, and is described as sweet because it is of low sulphur content. The Brent Blend establishes the prices for approximately eighty per cent (80%) of the global trade in petroleum, especially the Atlantic-basin grades of petroleum, which, along with West Texas Intermediate (WTI), is one of two commercial benchmarks for pricing petroleum.[4][5]
Oil is a commodity. It is priced and sold internationally. 
Trump doesn’t understand this. 

He also can’t explain why Britain should “go to the strait and TAKE IT” when the U.S. hasn’t done so. 
That seems to be a pretty good reason for us to act.
WSJ GIFT LINK: Trump might end the war without trying to forcibly open Hormuz.

It stinks, but this is likely the least bad choice in a situation of all bad options. Ending the U.S. war is a necessary condition, but possibly not a sufficient one, for Iran reopening the strait.

I get that it feels irresponsible for the U.S. to simply leave after creating a mess. It’s maddening, but might be for the best. Hear me out.

Trump created a global public bad by attacking Iran and prompting the regime to close the strait. It was a colossal mistake that has caused pain in the U.S. and beyond.

But cutting U.S. losses in a failed war makes more sense than continued fighting for a lost cause. And if the U.S. keeps fighting, no doubt Iran will continue to threaten the strait.

If the U.S. quits the war, that would increase the political pressure on Iran to reopen the strait now that hostilities are over. Iran may try to extract “tolls” and if the Tehran Tollbooth persists after the war, it will be a lasting reminder of U.S. policy failure.

But the tolls themselves aren’t that high — $2 million on a VLCC carrying 2 million barrels is just a $1/barrel surcharge, amounting to a 1% tax. Not great, but better than what oil prices are doing now.

It would also incentivize Iran to keep traffic moving securely through Hormuz by monetizing safe transit. Yes I know it rewards bad behavior and morally it stinks for an odious regime to profit, but that’s the reality that Trump’s blunderous war has bestowed on us all.

There’s a reason most of us don’t worry about Egypt (today) closing Suez or Panama closing its canal — the profit motive is powerful.

Overall if Trump ends the war (which he should) with the Tollbooth intact, we are all worse off than we were on February 27, but better off than where we are now, and better than where we could be if the war stretches on for months or years.

I know it’s not a satisfying ending but it’s pragmatic and we don’t live in the best of all possible worlds.

There is one problem, though: Israel. Trump will almost certainly need to restrain Israel from continuing its war for Iran to reopen the strait. It should be a no-brainer: Israel is the junior partner and Trump should have the leverage to make them stop, given how much military aid the U.S. gives to Israel.

But it’s not clear Trump will use it.
It is of a piece with Trump yelling at Starmer, though.