Thursday, July 04, 2024

Remembering My Days In Seminary

It is good to be reminded.
As much as everyone is consumed by SCOTUS and the Trump decision, I have been more moved by a decision that has received little attention, Grants Pass, the case regarding homelessness. For my seminary class, Introduction to Theology…, we have been reading Roberto Goizueta, a Hispanic theologian who writes on liberation theology as it applies in the US and particularly a Theology of Accompaniment (Caminemos Con Jesus: Toward a Hispanic/Latino Theology of Accompaniment) and Hans Jonas, a Jewish theologian writing about morality after Auschwitz (Mortality and Morality: A Search for the Good after Auschwitz). As a weekly reflection for the class I submitted the following: 
Last Thursday evening I was working on my Goizueta reading and was deep into the section on choosing to option for the poor. Such lines as “That is precisely why our society continues to alienate, abandon and exclude the poor- because face-to-face with the poor, one is forced to confront intrinsically relational reality”, [I]n its deepest sense, poverty refers to the act of solidarity with the materially poor, an act undertaken voluntarily as a protest against the evil of material poverty.”, and “This preferential option for the poor, or identification with the least significant, reveals 1) a God who is identified with the poor, who in turn reveals (2) the injustice and idolatry of those who, seeking God elsewhere, deny the poor the dignity bestowed on them by God.” Friday morning I went to work (for those from the synchronous class, I am a full time lawyer by profession) and I logged into a legal site to see the latest decisions being handed down by the Supreme Court. One of those was Grants Pass, a case about an anti-camping ordinance that effectively criminalizes homelessness. The conservative majority of the court upheld the ordinance. As the dissent says, the ordinance criminalizes an essential biological function for those too poor to have a place to live. The homeless are fined, jailed, with the ultimate goal to drive them from the locality. (These fines and incarcerations of course increase their poverty and make it even harder to obtain employment or housing). From my computer screen I can, even without moving my head, look up and look through my office window across the Merrimack River in Manchester, New Hampshire to the far shore where there are often homeless encampments. 
I finished the Goizueta reading over my lunch hour. “We live in a U.S. society, however, for whom the present is divorced from the past and future. It is no accident, then, that this society systematically depreciates its elderly, while abandoning its youth to violence, poverty, and self-hatred.” Yes, our society, including its most august institutions, does this to the elderly, youth and most certainly the poor by any measure. The whole experience has been completely jarring and disassociating. I am not unfamiliar with the realities of poverty. For seven years I volunteered monthly at an inner city soup kitchen and food pantry. We not only served food but sat and ate with our guests. For 5 years to that same program, I led our congregation’s annual project to provide a complete set of a week of groceries to over a hundred families to bridge them when their SNAP benefits ran out to the end of the month. I am not naïve to the incredible challenges the poor face in our US society with a minimal frayed safety net and cultural, racial and other barriers that are near insurmountable. Nearly 35 years of AA meetings has also on a near daily basis put me in contact with addicts, the poor and the homeless. It was seeing the official stamp of approval from our highest court for not only optioning the poor, but the exact opposite of excluding the poor that was so emotionally and spiritually jolting. The SCOTUS decision is not without consequence. Monday, the Manchester mayor, based on the Grant Pass decision, announced the city council would consider an anti-camping ordinance. Tuesday night the council passed the ordinance with immediate effect. Yesterday the police started arresting the homeless. 
Why, as a society, do we want the homeless and poor to be invisible, to literally disappear? Is it our fear, “but for the grace of God do I?”. Is it fear of our own mortality, to see those that on a daily basis live so close to the line of death (and too frequently cross over from overdose, exposure, drowning in the river, violence, untreated illness and more). Both Jonas and Goizueta instead call us into responsibility with the others. With Jonas, “we intuitively recognize in this ontological distinction of man – his capacity for responsibility - not only its essentiality by also a value.” This responsibility extends to those in the future, but I think his call for responsibility is more immediate. 
When discussing Auschwitz (pg. 133), Jonas states “Dehumanization by utter degradation and deprivation preceded their dying, no glimmer of dignity as left to the freights bound for the final solution, hardly a trace of it was found in the surviving skeleton specters of the liberated camps.” 
As Jonus makes brutally clear, responsibility and morality for the future arises from and must include the present. Goizueta calls us into optioning the poor, with added caution that we need to be in relationship with the poor, otherwise we will end up treating them as objects despite our best intentions. “The struggle for social justice will, in the long run, simply perpetuate the dehumanization of poor persons if not undertaken together with poor persons.” 
Jonas and Goizueta both speak of the denial of dignity to those excluded. To start with conferring dignity, by a path of relationship, then accepting responsibility from that dignity and relationship, to finally arrive at a morality that reflects our caring and love for the “other”, the poor, the outsider, the marginalized, the oppressed, seems a parallel of the two theologians. If only we could even begin this journey as a society. 
_________ 
I'll add this to the reflection, the Goizueta writing is the most radical and insightful reading I have had on US culture and a theological alternative thereto. It even puts much of the left to shame, with its recognition that American individualism and ultimately economic individualism over political and religious individualism infects all aspects of our culture. To read and recognize how it can even turn multi-culturalism into a further reinforcement of the dominant culture has been eye-opening. The centrality of relationship and love as fundamental has been deeply affecting.
"The first of all will be last of all and servant of all.” But what would that look like?

JFK Took Naps

He was famous for it.

He was also 46 when he died.

Wednesday, July 03, 2024

Still Unclear About The Concept

According to NBC News, a pair of former DOJ officials "said it would give Trump cover to improperly pressure the Justice Department for his own political benefit — to prosecute an enemy or go easy on an ally — by saying he was executing his official duties as president." One warned: “It gives him tacit approval to keep doing it. It sets him up to do the things he has said: to investigate people and send them to jail.” 
... 
Former Justice Department official Jeffrey Clark, an ongoing Trump loyalist who was indicted alongside him in the Georgia election racketeering case for his role in trying to overturn the results in that state, had a similar — if positive — assessment of that. 
“He can investigate whom he sees fit to investigate, working with the Justice Department,” he said on a podcast this week. “And he can prosecute whom he sees fit to prosecute.”
So Biden can investigate Clarence Thomas, and send him to jail?

Cool.😎 

The Two Candidates

Trump lives in a fantasy land:
He just quit, you know — he’s quitting the race,” Trump can be heard saying in the video. 
“I got him out of the — and that means we have Kamala.” He went on to call Biden a "broken-down pile of crap" and said of Harris, “I think she’s gonna be better” as an opponent, but even so “she’s so bad. She’s so pathetic.”
That’s going to be a surprise to Joe Biden:
Robert, I know the past few days have been tough. I'm sure you're getting a lot of questions. I'm sure many of you have questions as well. 
So, let me say this as clearly and simply as I can: 
I'm running. I'm the Democratic Party’s nominee. No one is pushing me out. I'm not leaving, I'm in this race to the end, and WE are going to win this election.
Yeah, Joe sends me emails almost daily. He likes me. But at least I don’t live in the fantasy world Trump does.
Trump's message claims that he has been exonerated from all crimes, including those in his civil cases. Trump is implying the Supreme Court ruling applies to his property valuation fraud case and his defamation case brought by E. Jean Carroll.
This is perfectly public stuff. It’s in print, easily accessible. Trump may be immune for some of his actions surrounding J6 (though even the Gang of Five punted that question). But the documents case is only affected as to evidence; if at all. Same for the felony conviction. The Georgia case? Maybe, but he’ll spend a lot of money fighting that out. The civil cases? Not touched at all.

But he’s free, because that’s the fantasy he lives in. Biden had a bad night. “Widespread anxiety,” we’re told. Trump and his fantasy world, where dictators love him and big, strong men have tears in their eyes? Where his felony conviction has been expunged and all civil judgments against him are null and void?

Yeah, whatever…. I mean, it’s not like he said it on camera. Well, he’s said stuff worse than that on camera, including at the debate, but…

Yeah, whatever.

Proving It

Moms who shoot puppies can’t relate to Kamala. That would be the convicted felon, convicted fraudster, twice found guilty for libeling the same person, who faces three more criminal trials pending? He stands for law and order? Does he even know what that means? But…but…but…haven’t you heard? Widespread anxiety! Reagan had jelly beans. Not nearly as depressing. Isn’t this guy a billionaire? Prove it.

🪩 Dancing The Goalposts Away 💃🏾🕺

The widespread anxieties about Biden’s age-related impairment have increased over time, only to be shushed by his allies.*
"Widespread anxiety" is carrying a lot of baggage 🧳, especially since it’s unattributed (“some people say”) and unattributable. Those anxieties aren’t expressed by the primary voters who chose Biden, or by the contributors even after the debate. If anything, this is a replay of the anxiety of November 2016, et seq. It’s the anxiety of the interregnum between the days before the convention, and Election Day. The period when anything seems possible, and what is all but set in stone might still be rewritten, and what if…?

And now the solution is to get Biden to resign, and if he won’t, invoke every portion of the 25th Amendment until he finally does. And do it in two weeks, so Harris can accept the party’s nomination and somehow convince some states that a vote for Biden counts as a vote for Harris and some other VP candidate.

That’ll keep the lawyers busy.

This is not, in other words, a serious proposal. These are not serious people. But they want desperately to be taken seriously. Especially when there’s a chance to seize the moment and influence the choice of Presidential nominee. It’s their chance to be important. Two weeks before the convention. Last chance to change the dance.

And if they’re wrong? It’s Biden’s fault for being old; and creating so much anxiety.

But if it’s going to be Biden’s fault either way, why should he step aside? He might as well stick to it and go down swinging. Or win. Much more likely he wins.

If you want assurances about the future, go back to believing in Santa Claus. If you don’t want Trump to be President, quit wringing your hands and fucking around. Nobody’s really listening to you, anyway. Biden’s not going anywhere, and nobody else is listening to the whingers.

*Latest opinion piece in The New Yorker.

When Democrats Sound Like Republicans

"I put forth a resolution calling upon the Vice President to immediately use her powers under section 4 of the 25th Amendment to convene and mobilize the principal officers of the Cabinet to declare the President of the United States is unable to successfully discharge the duties and powers of his office," Roy said at the time. 
Roy, speaking with Baier after the White House declared Wednesday Biden would "absolutely not" drop out of the race, said he took "no great joy" in filing the resolution, but did so out of concerns that Americans are now seeing the "reality" of "what a lot of us have been watching up close and personally in Washington, D.C."
It’s time to reconsider your message.

Power Over The Presidency Is Intoxicating

Pundits as schoolbiy drunks. Perhaps Biden is again fortunate in the foolishness of his enemies. This all certainly has a very familiar ring to it. Yeah, I don’t honestly know who Adam Serwer is either, or why I should listen to him. I do know The Atlantic is more of a rag than ever. (Yes, The New Yorker ran a similar opinion piece. I’m not too impressed with them, either.)

Yes, Biden has said he’s not going anywhere; and this is a usual tactic in the space between the moments before the convention seals the decision, and the moment it does. Last chance, and all that. The effort to make something out of nothing will continue unabated, but their eyes ain’t on the prize.

Force Biden out now, you might as well inaugurate Trump on November 5. Do not pass “Go.” Do not collect $200.00.

What fools these mortals be.

Reps. Lloyd Doggett (D-TX) and reportedly Raúl Grijalva (D-AZ) were the lone sitting House Democrat to make such claims publicly as of Wednesday afternoon, but reports show they had a virtual "vent session" Tuesday evening to address the "donkey in the room." 
Rep. Mike Quigley (D-IL) also told Bloomberg he was not impressed by recent claims that Biden's poor debate performance was just a bad night.
"Siri: name three representatives nobody’s ever heard of.”

And this is not”reality “ TeeVee:
But calls for Biden to withdraw have also been met with pushback from public-facing officials who note that Democrats have already funneled $240 million into his campaign and argue several swing state laws might prevent it.
To illustrate that last remark:
“The problem that any potential replacement for Joe Biden would likely run into is that in many states, including in several key states, the deadline for getting on the ballot has already passed,” Smith told NOTUS.
Something tells me this whole idea is not even half-baked.

Polls Suck And Biden Must Drop Out!

When do those polled take into account that the NYT is gravely concerned and the donors who speak to them are also concerned? It’s not like we can leave this tempest in a teapot to the people!

Oh, and Democratic U.S. representative* in a ruby red state is worried. Clearly the people of the 35th District must be listened to!


*Correcting my error and bad memory. Doggett took the seat king held by Jake Pickle (I remember Jake from my 15 years in Austin, 32 years ago. Doggett’s been in the seat since 1995. In my defense, I was gone by then. Doggett’s a good man, but he’s 77. Maybe he’s too old?

Pretty Sure The Supreme Court’s Already Said That

EOD

There’s been some (ignorant) discussion about LBJ withdrawing his candidacy in late March ‘68, hoping to avoid the blowback of Vietnam. It’s widely agreed he pretty much screwed HHH’s (his VP) chances in the general (they still had conventions in those days).

So there is precedent for the loose talk. It sucks.

There’s also the precedent of McGovern,  who stood behind his VP pick of Eagleton 1000%. Until the donors told him not to, and he switched to Shriver. Was McGovern going to lose anyway? Probably, but he started the race by shooting himself in the foot. The people telling Biden to quit want the whole party to do that.

Biden just played the McGovern card; against them. Forcing him out now is certain disaster. And it will be all on them.

Now hitch up yer britches and git back to it.

Steve Vladeck Is Right. Of Course.

I love it when legal Twitter (the only finer legal mind on the planet is Trump’s!) tries to argue with a law professor. Yes, this Court does blithely set aside precedent when it suits them.  But the logic (or lack there of) behind these complaints doesn’t explain why Roberts didn’t just declare Trump immune on Supreme authority, rather than establish the Goldbergian device of a new rule of evidence all courts must comply with (after they interpret it and the Court, several terms later, has to adjudicate those interpretations).* The answer: because even the Supremes know their limitations (recall they only got 5 votes for that bit).

This case would involve directly overriding state law. Trump v U.S. examined the New York case, but declined to interfere in it directly (state sovereignty; an issue that would completely delegitimize an already shaky opinion. That reach might have kept Alito and Thomas, but certainly not ACB; and probably not Roberts, Gorsuch, or Kavanaugh. I wonder if it was discussed…🤔 ?). So the odds of a majority taking it up and approving an injunction are…0.0.

Besides, they’re on vacation. This kind of thing might just piss ‘em off. Anyway, legal Twitter is worth what you pay for it. (Professor Vladeck is a lawyer. His field of expertise is the Federal Courts. The field of expertise of legal Twitter is largely outrage and ignorance.)


*There are rules of evidence that apply to state and federal courts, based on the 14th, 4th, and 5th Amendments. This is the first I know of one based on a doctrine invented by the Court and not even implied in a specific part of the constitution (separation of powers is a derived legal doctrine, not, as the Christian Nationalists love to say, a phrase found in the constitution).  If there is another, I’m sure Professor Vladeck would know.

Tweedle Dee And Tweedle Dum

Or: modern (post-convention) political parties 101.
The GOP is Trump’s party for the same reason. Me, I still prefer the disorganized party.

If this is a crisis, it’s a self-inflicted one. The Democratic primary voters have spoken, and even put their money where their mouth is.

This is a rumble from Big Money who wants Trump’s tax cuts without Trump. And East Coast media who want to be power brokers (since their editorial endorsements long stopped mattering to anyone). 

People who long for the un-democratic days of smoke filled rooms, IOW.

Two more weeks, and they are silenced. 🔇 

Simple Answers To Stupid Questions

Polls so far haven't reflected the sense of panic conveyed by many Democrats, but donor support will be a leading indicator of whether Biden can weather the storm – much to the chagrin of the president's team and even some donors themselves. 
“To suggest that the donor community could do that is scary,” said lawyer Craig Kaplan, a Democratic donor in New York. “Money plays too much of a role in politics already.”
A) It has to go to Kamala.

1) Because the money held by Biden-Harris is about $240 million. “Money plays too big a role in politics already” is a lovely platitude, but moneyless platitudes don’t win elections. That $240 million cannot be transferred to a Candidate To Be Named Later.

2) You can’t walk away from that much money. Not if you’re in your right mind.

B) Biden can’t pick Kamala. The convention has to.

1) This is not a TeeVee show. There are rules, not the whims of a scriptwriter. This ain’t an episode of “The West Wing.”

2) A brokered convention can do whatever the fuck it wants. Hell will only follow after.

C) The best way to ensure Trump wins is for Biden to step away.

1) There is absolutely no grassroots support for this. You want to make voters stay home, like they did in ‘16? Telling them their primary votes and small dollar donations don’t mean shit, is the way to do it.

D) This will all be over by the 18th. If it isn’t, I’m fucking moving to Australia. Maybe from there I can persuade the Kiwis to take me. 🤔

Supreme Court Replies:

"We’re out until October. Check with us then.”

How They Did It

How the Constitution was sold, back in the day. I guess it’s not originalist enough, though.

Funny, that.

Silver Linings

To be clear, Trump has to exhaust his state appeals before the Supremes can get at this case. And that’s not necessarily a straight line process. 

The Appellate Division could order the case back to trial, and that could be appealed. The Court of Appeals could send it back to the Appellate Division, which ruling could be appealed again. It could end up in a new trial, eventually, which would start the appeals process over again. By the time it could get to the Supremes, Alito and Thomas could be off the court; the court could be larger; there could even be a constitutional amendment overturning Trump v U.S.

Or Trump could be dead; or bankrupt. 

Trump may start his appeal in September (although , come to think of it, he might have to wait until mid-October). It’s just going to be more legal fees, and a reminder he is a convicted felon.

Two Weeks To Go

(Because Democrats do this to themselves, and Republicans never do. Let’s be honest. The NYT freaks out, and Democrats as far south as Texas freak out. So it goes.) (But Biden! On TeeVee!)

Fact check: by July 18th, this will all be over. (And no , I don’t mean Biden will step down.)

Did Anyone Tell The NYT…

...that the Supreme Court ruling on “the nature of politics” would itself be the story, not just the starting point of an analysis? 🧐 

“I Feel Like I’m Taking Crazy Pills!”

Donors are furious," Vande Hei said. "Voters are telling them what [Rep.] Lloyd Doggett's voters are telling him, which is we want him to step aside. That's why yesterday we talked to several people who were on multiple calls with a lot of members, and when there was a show of hands or, hey, should he stay in – almost nobody said that he should stay in.

Biden raised $264 million in Q2. Of that, $127 million was raised in June; of that, more than $30 million was raised the weekend following the debate.

Which donors are furious? And why are State Sen. Lloyd Dogget’s voters suddenly the voice of the Democratic Party?

Oh, wait… it’s Jim Vandehei reporting. Never mind.

Irony alert: Lloyd Doggett was elected to the Texas Senate when I lived in Austin. I haven’t lived in Austin in over 30 years. Behold the power of incumbency.

All The News That Titillates

Yeah, how Biden appeared on TV is the most important thing. And why he won’t talk about stepping down is the second most important thing. Wait! That would mean news is…gossip! Journalists aren’t that petty, are they?

“If Biden Won’t Answer Our Questions…”

"...the way we want him to…” "...then he’s not fit to be president. Again.” When do they ever apply these ridiculous standards to Trump? Or to any Republican, for that matter?

Tuesday, July 02, 2024

Begun, The Outreach Has

But Biden’s debate performance!

The BosWash Is Talking To Itself

Remember when Clinton couldn’t win because…Arkansas. And then because Lewinsky?
“Run in circles, scream and shout!” 😱
The change, on the average, is within the MOE.

Biden’s mistake was setting a debate before the convention. Everybody makes at least one.

“I Don’t Belong To An Organized Political Party”

Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-Texas), who became the first sitting member of Congress to call for Biden to throw in the towel and let someone else run in his stead, confirmed that there "were a lot of people not very happy." 
While Doggett was first, he isn't expected to be the lone voice pleading for a change of the ticket, especially if the campaign and the White House can't "start to show that they get it." 
Already, Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME) published an editorial accepting that "Donald Trump is going to win. And I’m OK with that." 
The outlet has learned that one Democratic lawmaker suggested Biden "step aside outright" and that while there is still support for Biden, there needs to be "at a minimum" a "decisive change in course by replacing his top campaign advisers." 
Meanwhile, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) pledged his support for Biden and confirmed that the party wouldn't be "holding people back" from expressing their public views — even if they are unflattering to Biden in public.
"I’m a Democrat.”—Will Rogers See? (never gonna happen. Dems go through this quadrennially, given the whisper of a chance. “Sources” are the worst about it.)

Is It Confusing Enough Yet?

This actually straightens a few things out 

1)  Trump’s motion is on errors made by the trial court that are in a new light due to the Supremes. We knew that, but Trump is raising specific rulings by the court, and that makes all the difference. (The “too late” part is resurrecting Trump’s objection to this. Notably Trump is still assuming this new immunity can be waived. I’m still not sure that’s true, but it’s the safer assumption for now.)

(Yes, I should have considered the specifics of the pleadings, but in my defense I didn’t have access to any such information. Okay…)

2) The “official acts” argument. They need a ruling on that so they can raise it in appeal. Merchan could (and probably will) easily toss that hot potato up the ladder, where it will be hot for a long time. I don’t think it buys them a new trial at this point.

3) Hangs entirely on 2). And it still only presents grounds for a new trial, as prosecutors couldn’t have wrongly depended on that evidence before the ruling in Trump v U.S.

My guess now is that sentencing occurs in September, and Trump can argue the evidence issues on appeal. I think the state courts will find that one gristly and tough, and will want to chew on it a long time.



This reminds me that the Supremes were perfectly OK with allowing someone to be put to death because their lawyers motions were made after the court rules said they had to be submitted. How much would anyone be willing to bet that they'll find some lawerly-liarly way to let Trump off of the NY conviction?
I think they will, too; but it’ll be a few years from now. Case has to be finally ruled on by NY Court of Appeals first. And Trump owes several major judgments. My guess us he’s in bankruptcy court sometime next year as the donations stop and the legal fees don’t. I’m not sure he can afford to get this case back to the Supreme Court.

Translating Judgespeak

Just a quick note to say this is a perfectly reasonable response to the situation.

Trump has filed a motion to dismiss (which is sound legal practice. Swing for the fences, because you don’t usually get what you don’t ask for. Unless it’s before the Gang of Five in D.C.). Under the circumstances, Merchan needs to consider that.

“If such is still necessary” is a neutral statement meaning the judge hasn’t decided already on the merits of the motion. The response could still be “No,” and at worst is likely to be “no, you get a new trial.”

I also think, looking at the opinion language JMM has quoted, this new found immunity is not waivable, which is even screwier than deciding it covers evidence for trials (like a super 5th Amendment, the original of which CAN be waived). At least I think that’s what Roberts & Co. meant.

But who can be sure? I still think Trump gets no better than another trial. He certainly doesn’t get an acquittal.

Not The Victory Trump Is Looking For

The majority’s decision, and Barrett’s concurrence, reads like a transcript of evidentiary hearings that happened throughout Trump’s New York trial. And, in short, the trial court adopted Barrett’s approach to considering evidence from Trump’s time in office—an approach which, as of yesterday, is unconstitutional (agains, see p. 31 of the majority’s opinion). Did any of that evidence actually matter to the outcome in New York? Who knows… and that’s the point. The trial court is going to be hard-pressed to say that any possible error here was harmless; SCOTUS went out of its way to say that admitting basically any such evidence is prejudicial. 
Bottom line: Roberts has a knack for writing opinions that are bad on their face, and worse below the surface. Add Trump v. United states to the list of “worse than it looks.”
There is further analysis of the decision, with important quotes from it, but I’ll cut to the chase:
There’s no way that the NY trial court correctly analyzed evidence drawn from Trump’s time in office—how could it, when the rule didn’t exist then? But still, it seems impossible to say ex ante that all of the evidence let in was merely private. And, if anything let in was plausibly a public act, then SCOTUS’s opinion seems to say that a mistrial would be required.
I know Trump is aiming for outright dismissal of the charges (never gonna happen; paying off a porn star to keep her from going to the media, and hiding the payments in false business records, is not remotely “official duties”. And talking to employees of the President’s business while in office can’t remotely be considered “official,” either. In fact, my guess is this goes up in appeal on the same grounds the case went back to D.C.: because the Court didn’t really settle that issue.).  If Merchan (unlikely) declares a mistrial based on Trump v U.S., at worst the case goes back to the trial court for a new trial (no error by the prosecution, who followed the law at the time of trial). So Trump pays for a second trial, which could come…? Well, depends on the Manhattan docket.

If that doesn’t happen, the likelier course is the appeals courts (which can’t be in love with this ruling), follow the letter of it and decide for themselves how much, or little, the case is affected by this case which tells the lower courts to set standards. And it sets those standards based on the facts of this case. Which may eventually make its way back to the Supremes; but not for a while. And even if it does get reversed in the state courts, it will just go back for a new trial. After all, it’s a fairly easy matter to cure, since all that needs to come out, if anything, is likely some evidence from White House employees.

I drop that in to underline that the issue are complex, and there’s going to be a lot of arguments about “official” and “non-core official” and “unofficial” acts, arguments the Roberts decision specifically punted to the lower courts. That’s going to include state courts. Merchan may decide on n a new trial. Merchan may let the Appellate Division wrestle with it. But it’s not an issue that’s going to be settled soon.

And Trump gets to pay for that all over again, having paid for all those appeals.

I’m still seeing prison and/or the poorhouse in Trump’s future.

A Reminder

Art. III is the shortest article in the Constitution. It establishes a “Supreme Court” and a Chief Justice, much the same way Art. I establishes a “Speaker of the House.” The duties and even selection of the Speaker are then left to the House .

The Supreme Court is “supreme” over the legal system which article III leaves to be set up by Congress, along with the authority, jurisdiction, number of members, of the Supreme Court. Even the Chief Justice has no Constitutional authority, just a title. And the selection of the justices is left to the Senate and the Executive. 

But the Supreme Court is not supreme over the Congress or the nation. Article I goes into great detail about the composition and powers and duties of the Congress. It provides less detail about the duties of the President, and even less about the Supreme Court. Except that both are accountable to Congress, with the President also (like Congress) accountable to the voters.  The Congress establishes everything about the Supreme Court except its name. The Congress can also establish the President’s “function and authority” so long as it is not directly contrary to the Constitution. Although in some cases, like the War Powers Act, it has, by yielding Congressional authority to the executive.

With the opinion in Trump v U.S., the Court usurps Congressional authority to decide itself what the President’s “function and authority” are, and places that decision beyond the reach of any other branch of government. In other words, it sets itself supreme, not only over the judicial system, but over the Constitutional system itself. The decision process may be a deliberative one as it works its way through the judicial system, but as the decision in Trump shows, it doesn’t really matter what the lower courts say. All that matters is the opinion of at least 5 justices. 5 unelected justices who have declared they hold their offices for life and cannot be forced to retire, or even follow a code of ethics; a position peculiar only to the 9 on that bench.

And an authority that is anathema to the democratic republic established by the Constitution that establishes that Court, and subjects it to the authority of the Congress.

We Really Need To Talk About Biden

(But raving about sharks and windmills is fine?)

Chronicle Of A Death Foretold

This is where I mention that magical realism came about because fantasy is too easily dismissed as mere allegory, and realism couldn’t begin to tell the truth about the culture from which magical realism sprang. Because it had to.

Why do I mention that, in connection with the Supreme Court? No reason; no reason at all.

But, But, But!

 

But anonymous sources say that behind closed doors Biden is not such a nice guy!
"People are scared s---less of him," one senior administration told Politico. "He is not a pleasant person to be around when he’s being briefed."
The horror! The horror! Fair and balanced.

The 9 Ringwraiths Are Servants Of The Ring

As every nerd knows.

“The Life Of The Mother”

"How is this supposed to work?"Johnson added. "I don't understand how the implementation of this ruling is going to work. Just the process of separating out what's an official act, what's a quasi-official act, what is a non-official act. In the court will be a trial in and of itself, then an appeal following that. This is a real setback." 
Johnson explained that the chain of command in the executive branch is currently set up so each official can be individually held accountable, but he said the court's ruling upends that arrangement. 
"When the executive branch is functioning like it should, you have a legally controversial action, such as [a] counterterrorism action," Johnson said. "The action works its way up through the chain of command. Every person in the chain of command has a lawyer, it's signed off by the general counsel of the Department of Defense, the general counsel of the CIA, the office of the department of the legal counsel. By the time it gets to the lawyer, everyone has signed off on it. Therefore, the president is acting consistent with law. There are built-in safeguards for that." 
"It is only because, now, 235 years in, we have a past and possibly future president who engages in criminal conduct that we have to have this debate," Johnson added. "At least five justices on the Supreme Court feel the need to try to protect him. This is, to me, an unbelievable decision. In my view, it is a setback to our constitutional order."
The majority thinks they’ve been excessively clever. Like the favorite abortion carveout for “the life of the mother” really meant to make abortion impossible, think they’ve provided “absolute immunity” without ever calling it that. But that’s clearly the point of the drill: I cite that for the quote of footnote 3:
What the prosecutor may not do, however, is admit testimony or private records of the President or his advisers probing the official act itself. Allowing that sort of evidence would invite the jury to inspect the President's motivations for his official actions and to second-guess their propriety.

Which inspection is improper because droit de seigneur and sovereign immunity. But when kings made the law, an order of assassination was per se legal. Now it still just an illegal order, for everybody but the king:

"First of all, from the perspective of a cabinet officer, how is this supposed to work?" Johnson said. "Suppose the president says to the secretary of homeland security, 'I am ordering you to order the border patrol to go shoot at migrants swimming across the Rio Grande.' The cabinet official would rightly say, 'Well, you have immunity, but I don't — you go do it yourself. I'm not telling the border patrol to do that.'"
So the POTUS is going to reach down to the border patrol agent on the ground and, what, offer him a pardon for committing murder? It’s a child’s version of government, not unlike children who imagine their body is a solid mass rather than a network of blood vessels and nerves and lymph and a collection of organs and muscles and bones. The body literally doesn’t work like that. The government literally doesn’t work like that. The presidency literally doesn’t work like this opinion imagines it does. 

Or worse, the majority doesn’t care how it works. They just want to protect Trump at all costs; just like “life of the mother” exceptions aren’t meant to allow abortions, but just appear to. This ruling is not meant “for the ages,” it’s just meant to appear to. It’s not meant to give any guidance to lower courts. It’s just meant to get Trump as far past the election as possible, without further legal interference. As a legal ruling it’s absolutely unworkable. The people in the chain of command can be paralyzed between an illegal order and a legal system that doesn’t give them immunity.

“When the president does it, it is not illegal,” is a Nixonian locution worthy of Trump. A lot of people went to jail for Watergate, for doing what the President wanted done. A lot of people would have gone to jail for Iran-Contra if Poppy hadn’t pardoned them (and himself). When the president does it, it may not be illegal as to the president. But that doesn’t let the rest of government off the hook.

This ruling doesn’t let the government ignore the law anymore than abortion exceptions “for the life of the mother” create humane exceptions to a draconian law. Both just sow chaos; one to control women as fully as possible, the other to protect a particular individual as fully as possible.

Neither, in the legal system as currently constituted, does anything but create needless problems and sow dragon’s teeth. As the adage goes, what comes after is reaping the whirlwind.

"So the chief [Justice] tried to make the best case possible that this was the only way out ... he stressed that the separation of powers protects the office of the presidency in a way that would certainly prohibit any kind of prosecution for official acts, and he said there has to be that presumption for official acts and you know, he stressed that that fear and that that idea that presidents should not have to hedge in any way."
But that’s precisely the point of the chain of command and 235 years of establishing a legal process within government. What the majority presents is a child’s view of government as a unitary lump of clay rather than a set of complex systems working together to accomplish a goal. Presidents have to “hedge” because governments are creations of law, not emanations if divine will expressed through kings.

Of course even this analysis of Roberts opinion gives it more credit than it deserves. Roberts is not reaching for a legal argument. He’s just trying to protect Trump at all costs. He’s not calling balls and strikes. He’s trying desperately to call the next election. 🗳️ 

Three Guesses

Is Trump talking to Clarke about the fake electors scheme (assuming arguendo the Court accepts Kreis’ argument), official because the POTUS is talking to a DOJ employee?  Or does the content of the conversation render it unofficial? Yeah. Three guesses, first two don’t count. “Presumptive immunity” not meant to be presumptive. Now let’s see if it can even be waived.

This can always get worse.

Absolute Immunity Is Absolute

This will get interesting. I said earlier that immunity is jurisdictional. It is, but in one of those interesting distinctions in the law, it’s not jurisdiction. 

Let me explain.

Jurisdiction is fundamental. You cannot waive jurisdiction. If you raise the issue for the first time on appeal, that’s not too late. Jurisdiction cannot be waived. It can even be raised by any court in the chain of appeals, sua sponte, as the lawyers say. Jurisdiction means the court has authority; or it doesn’t. You can’t get more fundamental than that.

Trust me.

Immunity is a matter of jurisdiction. Consider the criminal prosecution of Bill Cosby, based in part on his own statements. The Supreme Court (of the state) threw out the conviction because Cosby waived his 5th Amendment rights on the assurance his words would not be used against them. He did not, in other words, knowingly waive his immunity. The point being, he could have. But having been conned, the court lost jurisdiction over his prosecution. It could not be party to the misrepresentation.

Immunity is personal, not institutional. Immunity denies jurisdiction; but jurisdiction can’t be waived. Immunity can. You can waive your 5th Amendment immunity. You can waive any claim of absolute immunity. Jurisdiction is always there. Immunity is there only if it is raised by the person immunized. And once waived, you don’t get it back. Not in that case, anyway.

If, as the tweets say, Trump did, then…he’s toast. And the issue never comes up for review, not even by the Roberts Court. The majority can do a lot of damage; but they can’t change the gravitational constant of the universe. Or suspend due process and equal protection and equity and procedure, all for Trump and “just this once.”

That would be an opinion no one would regard as valid.  Well, everyone except Thomas and Alito. There’s always somebody.

Closing Time Somewhere

Let me give you Fitzgerald at 754:
But our cases also have established that a court, before exercising jurisdiction, must balance the constitutional weight of the interest to be served against the dangers of intrusion on the authority and functions of the Executive Branch. See Nixon v. Administrator of General Services, 433 U. S. 425, 433 U. S. 443 (1977); United States v. Nixon, supra, at 418 U. S. 703-713. When judicial action is needed to serve broad public interests -- as when the Court acts not in derogation of the separation of powers, but to maintain their proper balance, cf. Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer, supra, or to vindicate the public interest in an ongoing criminal prosecution, see United States v. Nixon, supra -- the exercise of jurisdiction has been held warranted. In the case of this merely private suit for damages based on a President's official acts, we hold it is not.
The page ends with a footnote to that last sentence which is also worth noting:
The Court has recognized before that there is a lesser public interest in actions for civil damages than, for example, in criminal prosecutions. See United States v. Gillock, 445 U. S. 360, 445 U. S. 371-373 (1980); cf. United State v. Nixon, 418 U.S. at 418 U. S. 711-712, and n.19 (basing holding on special importance of evidence in a criminal trial and distinguishing civil actions as raising different questions not presented for decision). It never has been denied that absolute immunity may impose a regrettable cost on individuals whose rights have been violated. But, contrary to the suggestion of JUSTICE WHITE's dissent, it is not true that our jurisprudence ordinarily supplies a remedy in civil damages for every legal wrong. The dissent's objections on this ground would weigh equally against absolute immunity for any official. Yet the dissent makes no attack on the absolute immunity recognized for judges and prosecutors. 
Our implied rights of action cases identify another area of the law in which there is not a damages remedy for every legal wrong. These cases establish that victims of statutory crimes ordinarily may not sue in federal court in the absence of expressed congressional intent to provide a damages remedy. See, e.g., Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner Smith, Inc. v. Curran, 456 U. S. 353 (1982); Middlesex County Sewerage Auth. v. National Sea Clammers Assn., 453 U. S. 1 (1981); California v. Sierra Club, 451 U. S. 287 (1981). JUSTICE WHITE does not refer to the jurisprudence of implied rights of action. Moreover, the dissent undertakes no discussion of cases in the Bivens line in which this Court has suggested that there would be no damages relief in circumstances "counseling hesitation" by the judiciary. See Bivens v. Six Unknown Fed. Narcotics Agents, supra, at 403 U. S. 396; Carlson v. Green, 446 U. S. 14, 446 U. S. 19 (1980) (in direct constitutional actions against officials with "independent status in our constitutional scheme . . . judicially created remedies . . . might be inappropriate"). 
Even the case on which JUSTICE WHITE places principal reliance, Marbury v. Madison, 1 Cranch 137 (1803), provides dubious support, at best. The dissent cites Marbury for the proposition that 
"[t]he very essence of civil liberty certainly consists in the right of every individual to claim the protection of the laws, whenever he receives an injury." 
Id. at 5 U. S. 163. Yet Marbury does not establish that the individual's protection must come in the form of a particular remedy. Marbury, it should be remembered, lost his case in the Supreme Court. The Court turned him away with the suggestion that he should have gone elsewhere with his claim. In this case, it was clear at least that Fitzgerald was entitled to seek a remedy before the Civil Service Commission -- a remedy of which he availed himself. See supra at 457 U. S. 736-739, and n. 17.

Although the highlighted portion of that footnote is the only part relevant to our concerns, I don’t want to be accused of doing what Roberts did: proof texting, as we called it in seminary. Or distorting the case law, as the lawyers say.

Fitzgerald was a case regarding presidential immunity from civil cases. On page 754 the Court distinguished that from criminal cases. Which makes it all the more egregious Roberts cites that very page for support of his conclusion.

Immunity is jurisdiction. It lifts jurisdiction from the courts for matters covered. Sovereign immunity means the court cannot decide hear civil claims against the state. The Speech and Debate clause means the court cannot hear civil suits raised by things said by members of Congress. Presidential immunity means the court cannot hear claims against the President; for, per Fitzgerald, official acts. The Fitzgerald court did not apply that to criminal prosecutions; only civil claims.

Here’s a more legible sample of the relevant quote from the majority opinion:

What Roberts says is actually the dead opposite of what  Fitzgerald says. He completely excises the reference to US v  Nixon, and really only cites the case because it gave us the “official/unofficial” dichotomy that Roberts uses to fig leaf his way into absolute immunity but-not-really. And yes, Roberts does it by ignoring any public interest in a criminal prosecution of the president there might be. Which sounds like a dandy sound-bite argument for a 28th Amendment: the legitimate public interest in seeing that no one is above the law.
That “tricky part" is a feature, not a bug:
Luckily for Trump, per the Court’s ruling, he seems to have led the Jan. 6 insurrection in a way that secures him near-blanket immunity. Even some actions Trump took that look a lot like unofficial acts — tweets that egged on the crowds, his speech at the Stop the Steal rally on the Ellipse — might just merit some immunity after all, Chief Justice John Roberts mused in his majority opinion.
This opinion is tailored to Trump. By design it will keep at least the D.C. case in appeals for years. Trump may eventually stay out of prison, but he won’t stay out of the poorhouse. Which will become clear as the Court faces the fact questions of what is, and is not, an  “official” act of the presidency. That’s gonna eat up more than a few years, and not necessarily in interlocutory appeals. But governments don’t run on a balance sheet, and don’t get tired. Trump will run out of money long before they run out of interest. There’s a lot Roberts can do; but he can’t change the gravitational constant of the universe. If he’s going to do this with plausible deniability, he has to try to hide his goal.

So Trump may still be in appeals when the 28th Amendment is passed. Which amendment may well go from conversation to campaign foundation:
And there’s also the Trump v. reality crowd: Although one could say the GOP understands the court’s decision perfectly.  But the GOP’s devotion to Trump is not matched by the rest of the population. And Biden can play those two against the middle. Because if the rest of the country understands the court’s opinion, Trump is toast. It is, after all, a pretty simple proposition:

Monday, July 01, 2024

Presidential/Campaign Mode (NOW WITH VIDEO LINK)

What he said.

SO SAY WE ALL!

The 28th Amendment

"The more you look at it, the worse it looks," said Jones. "When you put it all together, basically, the Supreme Court said in the past week, no rules for the powerful, no rights for the powerless. So if you're homeless, you can be thrown in jail for the crime of not having enough money to get a hotel room, but if you're the President of the United States, you can commit an undetermined number of crimes under color of law and get away with it. This is not good."
As I was saying:
However, Jones added, "I'm telling you, this is going to backfire politically. Because what I'm seeing from the left now, if you thought people were discouraged by what happened last week with Biden's performance, they are now outraged and terrified that Donald Trump is going to get in office and be a complete madman dictator." 
"So this is — politically, this is a gift to the left, though it is a blow to the country," Jones concluded.
If the debate stimulated the tongue-cluckers, this knocks them completely off their perch. It also, IMHO, galvanizes a country steeped in the idea that we don’t have a king. I knew people who thought Nixon was railroaded; but they’d never have seriously argued he was immune from all criminal prosecution.

I’m not sure the Supremes didn’t just hand Biden his re-election. I’m quite sure they didn’t mean to.

Be careful what you ask for….

OTOH: Never take advice from fools. If Biden acts on his “new powers,” it’s quite a bit harder to argue no President, and especially Trump, should have them.

There really is an epic amount of stupid out there.
Epic amounts. 

Adding to the issue of the campaign theme:
I really think the more this sinks in… ... the more the margins shrink… ...and shrink... ...and shrink. Now explain to her it’s not in the Constitution, it’s just in the Court’s opinion. Yes, there’s a lot of MAGA magical thinking out there that this opinion doesn’t say what it clearly says. But Trump can’t afford to lose any margin. At. All. (I should note even local TV news was accurately reporting this case in just a few sentences, emphasizing how hard a prosecution would be due to the bar on evidence.) Let’s be real: the reality of this opinion is never going to reach MAGA Central. But some disgust at the margins could well be enough (not to gain Biden votes, but to lose Trump ones). Dumb like a sledge hammer...swung hard against the foundations of constitutional order. This is the "right hand giveth, left hand taketh away" portion of the opinion. Sure, they didn't grant absolute immunity. But you can't have any evidence to prove the crimes, so...

I can imagine a few more voters saying “Fuck it” after this. Trump voters, not Biden ones. I think this fires up Biden voters.
  The only solution now is a 28th Amendment.