…not the hole….

Iran’s Ambassador to the United Nations Amir Saeid Iravani said Tuesday that the Iranian government has “received some signs” that the United States is preparing to lift its blockade against coastal areas and port in Iran, adding that as soon as Washington ends the blockade, “I… pic.twitter.com/0kkkXjdFOO

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 21, 2026

Not what Washington is saying:

🚨 Talks with Iran have collapsed before they even began.

Iran says it won’t negotiate while the U.S. naval blockade continues—and as Trump keeps threatening strikes on infrastructure. Meanwhile, Trump says he expects bombing to resume once the ceasefire ends.

U.S. forces… pic.twitter.com/3NkXX1dTVS

— MeidasTouch (@MeidasTouch) April 21, 2026

Talks with Iran have collapsed before they even began.

Iran says it won’t negotiate while the U.S. naval blockade continues—and as Trump keeps threatening strikes on infrastructure. Meanwhile, Trump says he expects bombing to resume once the ceasefire ends.

U.S. forces reportedly boarded another Iranian-linked vessel, escalating tensions even further.

Now, with the ceasefire deadline approaching, Iran is warning it will retaliate if attacked—and planned talks in Pakistan appear dead.

This situation is spiraling fast.

But that doesn’t mean “the situation is spiraling fast.” Nor that Iran is blowing smoke.

Trump’s idea of negotiation is to bellow loudly while crawfishing quietly and calling it “art” and how he makes “deals.”

I’m sure Trump has put the US in a very strong bargaining position by issuing two ultimatums with hard deadlines only to back down both times after Iran called his bluff.

4-D chess from the cult leader.

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) April 21, 2026

Yeah; like that.

Talks are definitely off:

Iran’s state-run Tasnim News Agency has said that no negotiation team will be sent to peace talks this week in Islamabad, and that the decision is “final,” stating that, “The Iranian negotiating team has announced to the American side through a Pakistani intermediary, for various… pic.twitter.com/AxmNfXZzQw

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 21, 2026

But don’t be surprised if Trump gets them back on again. I suspect the UAE’s very public complaint is being echoed more privately by other countries in the region, and Trump is not anxious to give Iran a reason to strike our allies again. Nor is he really oblivious to the pressure from Europe and elsewhere about the continued closure of the Strait. He wants something from Iran to allow him to lift the blockade, but Iran has no reason to give it to him.  Trump, in his favorite metaphor, is running out of cards.

I fully expect him to lift the naval blockade by Friday, as soon as he can figure out a way to claim success. Probably something like saying he won, Iran is coming back to the negotiations….

I wrote (and published) the above, then saw this:

I’m glad that the Mad King isn’t going to commit war crimes right now, while once again it is obvious this bumbling fool has no idea what he’s doing. pic.twitter.com/WSZkrnSEKn

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) April 21, 2026

And remembered it was Tuesday:

It must be Tuesday. pic.twitter.com/wRpyf1pBo8

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) April 21, 2026

Trump will end the naval blockade before Iran agrees to anything more than a ceasefire.