A pretty succinct statement as to why the courts are unlikely to so much as issue an injunction (they can't issue a stay, the trial court didn't rule in Trump's favor. There is no order to release that can be stayed; the court just declined to interfere with the process of the National Archives.). And this part of the order, which even I scanted, deserves more attention:I explained why a court ruling in favor of Trump on his absurd executive privilege claims would have really bad implications for the presidency (including future Republican presidents!)...courts aren't going to even go there, especially when the two branches are in agreement! pic.twitter.com/aDmrJMTFDc
— Asha Rangappa (@AshaRangappa_) November 10, 2021
The facts against Trump are actually pretty damning. I still don't see an appellate court ruling in his favor, or going to the extreme of stopping the release of the documents because Trump asked them to. There are equities on the side of the party moving for release (Congress, essentially) that weigh in here. If the courts don't want to spark a minor constitutional crisis by jumping in the way the 5th Circuit** did over Biden's vaccine order (deciding the case without hearing arguments, essentially)*, they won't touch this dog of a case with a club.The Honorable Tanya S. Chutkan just lights up Trump in this passage. Well written, well cited, undeniable, succinct, straight fire. #Trump #executiveprivilege pic.twitter.com/rHhoQiefv8
— Geoff Bowser (@geoffreybowser) November 10, 2021
Federal courts have their own rules of procedure (how you do things in court, like file pleadings or ask for an appeal.) Each district and appellate court district has its own particular rules within those rules. An attorney practicing in that district needs to know those rules. Not knowing them is not fatal, but it doesn't speed your case or impress the court if you act the buffoon on such simple matters. Like this:Side note, what's up with this notice of appeal? There's a standardized form you use in the D.C. District. It's on their website.
— National Security Counselors (@NatlSecCnslrs) November 10, 2021
I mean, there's nothing WRONG with this filing, but it's weird. pic.twitter.com/c0heC7TsW3
didn't renew the stay pending appeal motion.
— National Security Counselors (@NatlSecCnslrs) November 10, 2021
It's not like he would have to do a lot of work. He could take out all the stuff about why he should be allowed to make the motion before her opinion & just refile it. That's like an hour's worth of work, tops.
So why wait now?
Good question. The default is that on Friday, National Archives will release Trump papers to @January6thCmte unless the judge stays her order or the court of appeals blocks. If the courts don’t act, papers go to the Comm, but I expect we’ll see some type of ruling. https://t.co/bE1OthpZwD
— Joyce Alene (@JoyceWhiteVance) November 10, 2021
Well, well, well. What have we here?
— Teri Kanefield (@Teri_Kanefield) November 10, 2021
Trump already filed his notice of appeal.
This doesn't mean much: He still has to get a court order stopping the docs from going to Congress while the appeal is pending.
His chances of succeeding are slim. pic.twitter.com/FhRnXgOcc8
. . . I don't think he has any grounds to try to go first to the appellate court because last night, when the judge rejected his bizarre motion, she said she'd consider a motion from the losing party after she issues a ruling.
— Teri Kanefield (@Teri_Kanefield) November 10, 2021
So she said she'd consider the motion . . .
. . . the criteria for getting a stay are similar to the criteria for getting a preliminary injunction, so I can't see why the judge would offer a stay after denying the preliminary injunction.
— Teri Kanefield (@Teri_Kanefield) November 10, 2021
Nobody can predict 100% what a court will do.
But this looks bad for Trump.
Here is the standard pic.twitter.com/3W0yPUfvEE
— Asha Rangappa (@AshaRangappa_) November 10, 2021
Yes, and the standard for getting a stay is almost the same as the standard for getting a preliminary injunction, so I can't imagine he can prevail.
— Teri Kanefield (@Teri_Kanefield) November 10, 2021
Also, the court said he failed to meet EACH element.
A totally uphill battle. https://t.co/Hq3pkttC4e
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