Sunday, April 12, 2026

Smell The Coffee ☕️

Do they look like serious statesmen?
Yep. By abandoning the JCPOA and then once again by starting this war, Trump has completely negated and inverted the incentives the Iranian regime once had to negotiate with us.

They once understood that refraining from producing HEU and interfering with navigation of the Strait would avert the cost of being subjected a large-scale air attack. But now that we've conducted that attack, and they've withstood it, they have virtually no incentive to refrain from doing the things we want them to refrain from doing.

Which is why we negotiated the JCPOA in the first place, and why no prior American administration (from Reagan to Trump I) ever decided to start the war that Trump started last month.
From my standpoint, I’ve stopped expecting the adults to take over. 
“Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz,” Trump wrote.

“At some point, we will reach an ‘ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO IN, ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO OUT’ basis, but Iran has not allowed that to happen by merely saying, ‘There may be a mine out there somewhere,’ that nobody knows about but them. THIS IS WORLD EXTORTION, and Leaders of Countries, especially the United States of America, will never be extorted.”
"You can’t blockade the Strait! Only I can blockade the strait!” This is how we win friends and influence people? This is how we resume negotiations? We will never be extorted, so… we’ll extort ourselves?

Oh, and, we’re going to interdict shipping: That’ll bring Iran back to the table!

I’ll retire to Bedlam….

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