Showing posts sorted by relevance for query texas. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query texas. Sort by date Show all posts

Friday, October 30, 2020

"That's Right, You're Not From Texas!"

I’ve seen a lot of articles about Texas and voter turnout, and they are all still frustratingly and annoyingly from far above and far away.  I read one this morning that noted that Beto O'Rourke ran in 2018, but he spent $80 million and lost, so, you know....Texas.  Texas is a monolith in American politics.  A stereotype of sage brush and oil wells, still.  And a one-party state, still.  An ATM for politicians, nothing more.  and Beto is not a player; he lost.  He's a loser.  Losers disappear.

It's the view from the coasts, and Texas is the biggest single state in flyover country.

Let me explain Texas political history, briefly, from the ground.  Texas was a one-party state since Reconstruction, and that party was the Democrats.*  Yes, Texas was conservative,* but conservative in East Texas didn't mean the same thing as it did in Central Texas.  Or North Texas, West Texas, South Texas, the Coastal Bend, the Trans-Pecos.  Are you getting the point?  Texas is regional, and there are several regions.  I didn't even mention the Panhandle or the Valley.  Texas is conservative, except every border county in Texas went for Clinton in 2016.  Every one.  The urban counties went for Clinton, too.  57% of registered voters in Texas are in the urban counties.  
Over 9,000,000 votes have been cast in Texas as of October 29. 1.3 million of those votes, or over 14%, have been cast in Harris County. Contrary to popular perception outside of Texas, Harris County is so blue it makes Travis County (Austin) look purple.  Now, why are so many people voting in such numbers so early?

Beto O'Rourke.  Missing in all the analysis of Texas turnout is that Beto O'Rourke has been running a grassroots campaign for two years to register voters across Texas, and to mobilize voters to vote.  What you are seeing in Texas is the result of his efforts, and the efforts of thousands of volunteers working with him, and donors giving him and them the money to do it.  I started off talking about Texas' political history.  Yes, Texas was a one-party state, and that party was the Democratic party.  LBJ was a Democrat.  He took his lessons in politics from FDR, and from life lessons in Central Texas.  The LCRA and Pedernales Cooperative were projects LBJ helped set up.  There are hospitals in Johnson City still serving the public because LBJ knew people needed basics like healthcare.  He championed education across the country, because he was a teacher in Texas.  Democrats in Texas were conservative.  But they also knew to take care of each other.  Conservative politics eventually dominated Texas, and most voters (who don't register by party) felt they didn't leave the Democratic party, it left them.  So Texas became a one-party state, but now that party was the Republicans.

And frankly, after Ann Richards, Democrats in Texas didn't know what to do with themselves.  They had Molly Ivins and Jim Hightower, but Ms. Ivins was not a politician and Jim Hightower was never the charismatic figure he thought he would be.  The energy simply ebbed out of a party which had taken its dominance for granted after a century-plus of being in the only real game in any town in the state.  Republicans began to run politicians who claimed they had better ideas and could do better, and the Democrats had literally nothing to offer, and no idea how to recruit people who could offer anything.  Texas governors were literally a joke for most of my lifetime.  The job was a sinecure, a gold watch, handed out to party hacks.  Bill Clements finally broke that chain, and Ann Richards was the first, and last, charismatic Governor the Democrats ever ran since I was born.  And she only lasted one term.

Then came Beto, and people began to be interested in Democrats again.  Yes, he lost, partly because so few believed he could win, or even believed their own eyes, that there was an alternative to Ted Cruz and Dan Patrick and the arch-right wing of the Texas GOP.  And Beto figured out one thing:  Texas is a low turnout state, not a deep red Republican state.  If he could mobilize the voters especially in the urban counties, Texas could elect Democrats statewide, not just in isolated pockets or districts carved out to give Democrats something to win.  Now everyone outside Texas says what's happening can't happen because:  Texas.  And they can't figure out why it's happening so they say:  Trump.  Well, it is Trump.  People who didn't vote in 2016 now realize their vote does count, because look what happened when they shrugged and said "He can't win, I don't need to bother."  And Trump has run relentlessly on how "rigged" the election will be, proving the bedrock act of citizens in a democratic republic is to vote.  And Beto O'Rourke has galvanized people to bother, to act, to go or mail or do whatever it takes to vote.  There's a reason Harris County kept 8 polling places open starting Thursday morning, and won't close them until early voting ends in Texas today at 7 p.m. CDT. There's a reason Harris County has set records for voter turnout in Texas, and why Texas is leading the country, still, in early votes cast. And that reason is turnout; and the reason for that turnout is the people.  Not ads, not the internet, not even the disaster that is Donald Trump.  If there is one single person responsible for that turnout, he is Beto O'Rourke.

But, of course, to know that, you'd have to come to Texas.  Much easier to see this through the lens of BosWash or El "A".  Much easier to get it wrong and assume a narrative that suits pundits in Atlanta or New York City.  Much easier to believe there is a one-size narrative that fits all, and anything that doesn't fit that narrative is irrelevant and invisible.  This may be the year Texas breaks that narrative.  It will be interesting to see how much energy is expended into repairing the narrative and "proving" Texas didn't really break it after all, but just affirmed it.  Interesting, and a little disturbing.

What will be even more interesting is if Texas denies Donald Trump their 38 electoral votes, and in doing so denies him another four years of disaster and dysfunction in the White House.  Texas often feels it is far away from Washington and either coast; this year, it may prove it's just as important as California or New York State.

"That's right, you're not from Texas.  But Texas wants you anyway!"
*Democratic because of Reconstruction, which was far more brutal and damaging than it should have been.  The real tragedy of Lincoln's death was not the brutality of the murder (Jackie Kennedy and Mary Lincoln have that much in common; they both saw their husband's brains get blown out as they sat next to them), it was the failure of the nation to be healed thanks to Andrew Johnson.  And as for conservative, the Texas Constitution was a direct and almost total product of Populism, which gave it great strengths and great weaknesses, and when oil replaced railroads as a source of money (= power), all the ideals it was meant to enshrine were blithely ignored.  History is always far more complicated than what you remember from your lifetime.

Thursday, February 28, 2008

It's mighty reckless....*



Much as I appreciate the attention being paid to my home state (and Texas has always had a "larger-than-life" image), all I can say is: "What took you so long?", and: "Where were you in 2000 when you needed to pay attention to Texas?"

All this attention on Texas is due to one thing: Hillary Clinton is about to lose the Democratic Party nomination. Seeing as the conventional wisdom held all along it was hers to lose, this is, of course, big political news. Nothing succeeds in news like the narrative everyone has already agreed to write. But now we're getting noticed, and this TPM Election Central post is typical of the breed. Yes, Texas is a "perplexing and complex state," thanks for noticing. It is also "strangely large," and I have to give the NYTimes credit for getting the geographic and cultural differences about right (at least in a newspaper article). There is East Texas, which is really western Louisiana; Central Texas, which is all German/Polish/Mittel Europ, and prickly in their independence (God love 'em!); North Texas is represented by the dichotomy of uber-evangelical Dallas (once home to many of the former reigning Lords of Evangelical TeeVee) and Fort Worth (the former "cowtown" known to its natives as "Foat Wuth," as in the unofficial motto of the city: "Foat Wuth, Ah Luv Yew!"). Then there's the Pandhandle, West Texas (NOT the Panhandle), the Trans-Pecos region, the Valley, South Texas, and....well, you get the idea. "Five Texases," Babe Schwartz calls it; five at least, is about right.

It is too damned big, and too durned ornery, and overall Molly Ivins (of course) described it better than anybody. And she tried to warn you about Bush, but nobody would listen then. We were just a peckerwood state which didn't bear close examination or consideration, because after all, the DC press vets Presidential candidates, not East Texas liberal journalists who actually know how to cook French food (even by the time of her death the New York Times couldn't quite believe that). Well, we are peckerwoods no more, at least for a brief time. But allow me to enlighten you, as TMP Election Central sadly does not, as to just how complex things are in Texas.

True, as TPMEC notes, Hillary has strong support among Texas "Latinos" (or whatever gawdawful label we're going to apply to a group as disparate as any group of "whites," joined only, more or less, by a common language). But what the article doesn't mention is, that doesn't do Hillary a whole lot of good in Texas. You see, the Texas primary selects delegates for the candidates, and delegates in the Texas Democratic Party are apportioned by state Senate districts, and further, apportioned according to how many Democrats voted in that district in the last 2 general elections.

Still with me? The problem for Hillary is, the districts where the Latino vote is strong are also the districts where Democratic votes are few. Obama, as the article notes, has strong support in places like Austin, where Democratic votes are very common; which means Obama stands to win more delegates than Hillary, even if she wins more votes from South Texas (or wherever; "Latinos" are present throughout Texas). Then there's the "Texas Two-Step," as the NYT article labels it: the fact that we vote for delegates in a primary, and then get to caucus on Tuesday night for the rest of the delegates, who won't finally be selected until the state convention in June. And, of course, since Texas does everything big as well as weird, we have a handful of Texas "superdelegates" (not really, but the same idea as the national non-elected delegates) who have to be selected before the national convention in August.

The NYT article explains it rather nicely, but you get the idea. Texas is big, Texas is complex, and Texas won't settle this matter next Tuesday, no matter what happens. It may put the final nail in Hillary's coffin, at least so far as her donors are concerned; but then again, it may be months before anybody knows that, either. And by then, attention will have shifted away from Texas again.

Now, why is everybody suddenly paying attention to Texas? The same reason anyone in politics pays attention to anything: power. It may be that Texas, with its 228 delegates, will decide this thing. It may also be that Democrats will win the White House. So suddenly Texas is "interesting" again. Pity it wasn't interesting in 2000, when recent history could have told everyone a thing or two about the governance, or lack thereof, of G.W. Bush. But, so it goes.

Fact is, Texas is even weirder than you think. Tex-Mex is as regional and varietal as French wines, and probably as deserving of legal protection. I have dined in restaurants with the same menu in the same town (all three part of a local chain), and could tell the difference between the meals blindfolded (there is North Texas Tex-Mex, which the northernmost restaurant served; Central Texas Tex-Mex, and South Texas Tex-Mex, each subtly represented by the restaurants in the center of town and south side. Not to mention Gulf Coast Tex-Mex, Houston Tex-Mex, East Texas Tex-Mex, West Texas Tex-Mex, El Paso Tex-Mex, and then we get into South Texas and... you get the idea.) And then there's Southern cooking (grits, greens, and fried chicken); chicken fried steak (the Texas version of wienerschnitzel), all manner of German and polish sausages; gumbos and seafood on the Gulf Coast; and the Texas obsession with red meat. And this doesn't even touch on the varieties of pecan pie. The food alone is an international smorgasbord.

People here are crazy, ornery, ignorant, friendly, kind, and flat out crazy, and apparently plumb loco for the Democratic candidates this year. Texas has been a one-party state pretty much since Reconstruction, and while it rolled over in the middle of the night from one-party Democratic to one-party Republican a decade or so ago (even after bearing the brunt of Reagan's inattention to S&L regulation; I told you we were ornery!), the numbers and enthusiasm this year must might mean Texas is at least beginning to show shades of deep purple, if not outright blue.

Early voter turnout as of February 26 in the Democratic primary is almost 512,000. To put that in perspective, the early voting turnout for both parties in 2004 was just over 272,000. The Democratic party portion of that vote was just under 166,000 Cumulative turnout for Republicans, as of February 26, 2008: just under 173,000. Hard to believe half a million voters (or more) won't make a difference in November, and early voting isnt' finished yet. It goes on until Friday, so that number will likely only climb.

But then again, Texas is ornery; and peculiar. I just wish people wouldn't take us for granted so often; or ignore the interesting results ornery and peculiar can produce. After all, who else has given the country LBJ and GWB as well as Lyle Lovett and Tommy Lee Jones? And we made Willie Nelson a household name!

That's right, you're not from Texas....


*Calm down; it's an anti-litter campaign, not a statement of state chauvinism.

Monday, May 01, 2023

Mayday! Mayday! (In Which I Finally Try Twitter's Search Function)

After the local ISD brought so much attention to school funding in Texas, other districts tried to organize a "May Day" (as in "m'aider!" Hey, Texas had a French Legation back when it was a republic!)  So I searched Twitter, briefly, to see what I could find (Avoiding "Mayday" as a key word because this isn't my first keyword search).  What follows are the results of that search, edited to highlight as many school funding related tweets as possible, along with some like well, this one: Because all public schools are like this, right? Yeah, context kinda matters. We certainly deserve better than those tweets about a teacher suspended 6 years ago for being stupid in class.  Most of the tweets did seem to be from Dallas/North Texas.  Which either indicates a greater interest in the topic there, or a greater use of Twitter.  OTOH, my search was not that comprehensive or careful, so a lack of tweets from South Texas, West Texas, the Panhandle or the Trans-Pecos region, shouldn't be taken as indicating anything except my weak Twitter-fu. I gotta say: Texas Monthly is mostly the house organ for the very people who put their kids in private schools. So.... Just dropping this in to note it's an argument for a new "Rome": Where citizenship has privileges, and non-citizens are treated as non-persons. Oh, and it's a direct violation of the 14th Amendment. But "old times there are not forgotten."  There are also lots of tweets I left out concerning the Ten Commandments in schools (still only passed by the Senate; so far), which is also a direct violation of the 1st Amendment;  so... Yes, some of these tweets are repetitive. But they are going out to people hyper-locally, and repetition keeps the message straight. I picked more for geographic diversity than originality. Well, I'd certainly like to think so, and that ordinary voters will see it that way, too. But as we said when I was a kid: "Wish in one hand and...spit...in the other. See which one fills up fastest." It's a one year pay raise; in a state budget that covers two years at a time. After that one year? School districts have to pick up the slack. The same ones that are fighting just to get enough money back from the state to pay for what they do for the next two years. Tyler ISD is in East Texas. It's GOP land. Abbott went there to promote school vouchers, but even the people in East Texas aren't buying. Tyler is not a "blue" big urban haven, and it brought in ISD's from small towns around East Texas. That one's gonna hurt. Feature, not bug. Our two local Senators told local ISD reps in a meeting that they got federal funding, why wasn't that enough? 

I posted these as they came up. I could have organized them by subject, but that tends to make things rather dull.  It's a ladle full of what may be an empty bucket, or an overflowing bathtub.  I understand the ISD effort is meant to go on for a few days, at least.  If it stirs up parents and concerned citizens around the state (East Texas would really be a bombshell in these matters; and rural ISD's aren't real excited about decreased school funding when the public schools are the only game in town.  Those people are the reason the GOP is in charge of the Lege, and the legislators know it.), that reaction won't show up for a few days, and may not show up on Twitter. Or it may, and I won't find it.  The two local senators told the ISD reps to "tell your people on Twitter to back off."  So just this once, I'd like to see a large Twitter response to this campaign.

It may be the only way to save Texas public schools.

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

It's mighty reckless....

"Many of us saw that video where he said it was the first step. If you're a member of the UAW, you know what that means," Barrett declaimed. "If you're a carpenter, or a painter, even if you're not part of a union, you know what that means. It means they're going after the middle class, and the people who want to be middle class. Scott Walker has said he was going to divide and conquer. He has succeeded in dividing. We will show this nation that Scott Walker will never conquer the middle class of America.... It's just cynical. You know that there's something wrong when your governor is raising 70 percent of his money in $250,000 and $500,000 checks.... He says he doesn't want Wisconsin to look like Milwaukee, and he insults the city he led for nine years. I'll tell you this — I don't want Wisconsin to look like Texas."

Well, there it is.   And I swear, until recently, I had no idea Gail Collins had written a book about politics in Texas.  But, of course, this is why we need one:

Eventually, I asked him why he was here, at the Serb Hall, supporting Scott Walker, whose politics were far more in tune with the people who are trying to strangle the postal service than they are with the people who still work there. Phil told me that it was about his sister-in-law. "The problem is that, when you start handing out free health care out to teachers, that annoys me to no end," he said. "I never got free health care. My brother's wife is a teacher and I once asked her, when I was getting my teeth worked on, what it cost her and she said, 'Nothing.' It should never get to that point where somebody's getting free health care. Something's way out of whack there."
That's why everything in the country is starting to look like Texas.  Because it should never get to the point that somebody's getting something for free.

In Texas, we pretty much resent the fact that anybody else has a functional government, at all.  I thought about that again the other night, because I'd said Texas has gotten used to a non-functioning (it would have to improve to be dysfunctional) government in my lifetime.  The fact is, Texas has always had what it wanted:  a government that does next to nothing at all.

Texas has been, since the Civil War, a one-party state.  It was pretty much a one-party state when it was a Republic, so it's in the bones of the place; we drink it in the water.  And I can vaguely recall a parade of lackluster men, all Democrats, who sat in the Governor's office and did....well, pretty much nothing.  It was all they were expected to do.  We may recall "Pappy" O'Daniel, but only because of his connection to the Light Crust Doughboys (yes, the inspiration for the "Soggy Bottom Boys").  We may recall "Ma" Ferguson, but only because she was the first female governor of Texas (no, it wasn't Ann Richards).  In my lifetime it's been John Connally, a man best remembered for being in the car with JFK in Dallas (and later for spending more money than any hopeful in the GOP primaries to get only one delegate to the convention); Preston Smith; Dolph Briscoe, and then some governors who actually tried to do things, such as William Clements (R) and Ann Richards.  But Texas learned its lesson, and made sure after Gov. Miz Ann that the Governor would be a useless and non-embarassing figure head.  So we got Bush, and then Rick Perry (who is in political trouble now because he did embarrass Texas.  That is the one political sin we cannot forgive.).

Don't ask me what Dolph Briscoe and Preston Smith did; nobody cared.  But what I'm saying is, this ain't quite right:

Not until she visited Texas, that proud state of big oil and bigger ambitions, did Gail Collins, the best-selling author and columnist for the New York Times, realize that she had missed the one place that mattered most in America’s political landscape. Raised in Ohio, Collins had previously seen the American fundamental divide as a war between the Republican heartland and its two liberal coasts. But the real story, she came to see, was in Texas, where Bush, Cheney, Rove, & Perry had created a conservative political agenda that is now sweeping the country and defining our national identity. Through its vigorous support of banking deregulation, lax environmental standards, and draconian tax cuts, through its fierce championing of states rights, gun ownership, and, of course, sexual abstinence, Texas, with Governor Rick Perry’s presidential ambitions, has become the bellwether of a far-reaching national movement that continues to have profound social and economic consequences for us all. Like it or not, as Texas goes, so goes the nation.

Which isn't to say it's wrong; just that Texas hasn't really changed, and the political agenda created here existed long before Bush and Cheney got hold of it.  After all, OPEC was modeled on the Texas Railroad Commission, the state agency that over saw the oil bidness in Texas for decades.  Long before Texas had any political influence, it had plenty of economic influence, and the TRRC was part of that.  What has changed is the desire of the GOP to run things as they are done (now) in Texas; and what's really changed, is that this isn't about the Tea Party anymore.  In fact, it probably never was.

Let me try to explain.  Texas began its political life as a debtor's haven.  The Texas Constitution includes a homestead exemption which means no homeowner can lose their house for debts which are not:  a) taxes; b) the mortgage; or c) a lien for work done to improve the homestead.  A widow (or widower) has a survivor's interest in the homestead which lasts as long as the survivor is alive, and there's nothing the heirs can do about it.  It used to be a requirement of Texas law that, when it came time to sell the homestead, the wife had to be questioned separately, apart from her husband, to ascertain that she was freely and of her own accord agreeing to the sale (she still has to agree, but the rather paternalistic separate meeting with the lawyer is no longer necessary).

This meant, of course, there were no second or third mortgages in Texas.  But Texas also has broad protections over what can be seized to pay debts.  Personal property to a certain value is exempt, but so are specific items of personal property (the list runs rather long in the statutes).  Wages cannot be garnished, except for child support payments.  It is, frankly, hard to collect on a civil judgment against an individual in Texas.  The homestead exemption runs to 10 acres inside the city limits, and 100 acres outside of it.  There is no limit on the value of the house.  George Bush managed to change some of that, and I'm still not sure it was a good thing.

It is now possible, thanks to W., to take out a second mortgage on a homestead in Texas.  One might say, in good times, that accessing one's equity in a home is a good thing.  But considering how many people lost their homes in the S&L collapse in the '80's, and that without second mortgages, it's never seemed like a good thing to me.  Who it benefits, of course, is the lenders.  In fact, there's an obvious linkage between that piercing of the homestead exemption and mortgage backed securities:  they are both ways to play with property as if it were stocks on the market, rather than shelter and, well, a home.

Remember Enron, and what it did to the electricity market in California?  Bush liked that, too.  But then, as I say, the TRRC was controlling the oil market when that market was primarily Texas, for a long time.  We have a history, in other words, of using government to prop up business, and business likes it.  The Texas Constitution was born in an anti-railroad./anti-banker fever, but that quickly cooled.  A few decades back, when there was a renewed effort to fix the clanking 19th century constitution (which really is a mess; every two years voters have to amend it after the Lege meets (for only six months every two years) to get almost any laws enacted.  Nobody ever knows what they are voting for, and most people don't bother to vote, but the amendments pass anyway.), a businessman led the effort to oppose reform.  His reasoning:  "If it ain't broke, don't fix it."  And from a businessman's point of view, there's very little that's broke about Texas government.

And that last stab at Constitutional reform was when George W. was still mostly known as the drunken scion of Poppy, who was still an Ambassador or running the CIA or something.

So this didn't start with Rove and Cheney and Shrub.  It's just gotten worse since then.

On the other hand, Texas is now the second most populous state in the nation, behind only California; and it's getting bigger all the time.  A state with that many people in it is bound to finally start throwing some weight on the national stage, no matter what its ambitions are.  The upside is, naked ambition doesn't work:  Rick Perry sank faster than a stone on the water on the national stage.  He gets elected in Texas because he's a Republican, not because he's a good politician (a Democrat getting elected since William Clements was governor would be the mark of a great politician; just ask Ann Richards).  Perry is the distraction; Perry is the freak show.  Forget Perry.  The real power here is Grover Norquist.  Just ask Molly Ivins:

Norquist is just the sailor you want in the crew when contemplating the disaster about to engulf the public schools [in Texas]. He is behind the national anti-tax movement, and 38 Texas Republican legislators have now signed his pledge to never, ever raise taxes, without exceptions, including for catastrophic emergencies. Norquist himself is a noted contributor to the sweet science of state governance, saying last year: "We are trying to change the tones in the state capitols and turn them toward bitter nastiness and partisanship. ... Bipartisanship is just another name for date rape." 
 I pause only to note this was written 8 years ago, long before the current dyspepsia about the "Tea Party" and the "divided" Congress.  Ms. Ivins went on to connect this directly to Texas:

Texas is the National Laboratory for Bad Government, and think what a splendid opportunity we now have to completely ruin our public schools by doing absolutely nothing. Our schools are funded by the Robin Hood plan adopted in 1993, which arrives at an approximate level of fairness between rich and poor districts by taking money from rich districts and giving them to poor ones.

            Local property taxes have skyrocketed, while state lawmakers complacently brag they haven't raised taxes. The state's share of the cost of public education has dropped from 52 percent in 1980 to 38 percent today. The state, which has an infinitely larger lax base than local districts, may not have raised state taxes, but they have sure as a by-God raised your local taxes.

            This cannot continue. Over half of the school districts are already within 1 percent of the top tax rate allowed by state law. They can raise local taxes no further. They are cutting programs, and firing teachers and administrators. More and more are applying for waivers to get their districts exempted from the state requirements that there be no more than 22 pupils per teacher in the first elementary grades, and that was the great triumph of years of school reform efforts. As we have all learned over the long struggle to improve the schools, smaller class size is the one improvement we know works no mater what the other variables are.

            We need at least $10 billion in new taxes to fix this without harming the schools. The alternative is a $2 billion fix patch on the old system that will further decay the schools. So, attention all Americans, the case study beings, right here in Texas, home of so much bad public policy: how to destroy the public schools.
Suffice to say, it did get worse.  Here's how that worked out in the intervening 8 years:

Under pressure from federal courts demanding more equitable school funding, Texas revised how it pays for education through high school in 2006. The state enacted laws to cut local property taxes and expand a levy on business income. While the recession crimped state revenue in 2008 and 2009, companies using loopholes avoided paying as much as forecast.  

In 2011, Perry was proud of a budget that was described as doing this:

 Rep. Sylvester Turner of Houston, the highest-ranking Democrat on the Appropriations Committee: “This budget will dismantle the educational infrastructure in the State of Texas.

And it has; the layoffs of teachers and staff in Texas last year was massive.  The budget cut $4 billion from education funding for two years.  And there's no sign any of that money is coming back in the next session.  And Gail Collins' book and interview with Rachel provides ample evidence of how poor the Texas education system is now.  The result is fairly clear, but no one wants to admit it:

Lawmakers on the Public Education Committee were alarmed that so many of the first ninth-graders to take the State of Texas Assessments of Academic Readiness, or STAAR, test this year performed poorly. They branded many aspects of the implementation of the new test sloppy.
Yes, STAAR is a joke of a test, as is any "standardized test."  But who is surprised when an underfunded school system produces students incapable of passing a test, any test?  The test is only part of the problem, but it will get all the blame.  I can't go on.  I'll go on.

Texas is now a nightmare dreamed by Samuel Beckett.

I mentioned, at the beginning, that resentment is a driving force in American politics; but it always has been.  Texas started out as a debtor's paradise; what better origin to breed resentment of what others have that you don't?  Of course, not all Texans are like that, or Planned Parenthood wouldn't be run by Ann Richards daughter, and LBJ would never have waged a War on Poverty.  And resentment is not peculiar to Texas by any means.  But resentment has always taken a curious form here.  There's a reason we don't like being embarrassed by our politicians, why that is the unforgivable political sin.  It's because we don't like being mocked.  And being a debtor's haven, we resent anyone who has more than we do, unless of course they are business owners who have "earned" it.  That's pretty universal; if I can't earn it, why should you have it?  The special form of resentment in Texas comes from this sense of inferiority, of being a debtor's haven, a last redoubt, the final refuge of those who couldn't make it anywhere else, and don't come here to reverse their fortunes, so much as to escape the consequences of seeking fortunes.

Texas, in other words, is full of people who feel like they got the raw end of the deal, and now they only want to be left alone.  A debtor's haven pretty much guarantees that.  The government won't help you, but it will see to it that you are left alone.  Texas has always been a draw for people with nowhere else to go; it makes for a mighty peculiar culture, though.  It makes us mighty touchy about how we are perceived.  We really don't like public figures who make us look foolish.  That's the kind of attention we came here to get away from; even those of us who were born here.

Divide and conquer, of course, has worked spectacularly well in Texas.  Rick Perry knows that:

As Texans, we always take care of the least among us.

The frail, the young, the elderly on fixed incomes, those in situations of abuse and neglect, people whose needs are greater than the resources at their disposal – they can count on the people of Texas to be there for them.

We will protect them, support them and empower them, but cannot risk the future of millions of taxpayers in the process. We must cut spending to keep our economic engine on track.
He never precisely identifies who that abstract group of faceless frail, young, and elderly are, nor what protection they will be offered (or how adequate it will be).  And then he weighs them against the taxpayers, and he finally decided Texas schoolchildren and Planned Parenthood should take it in the neck.  But then, those people:  poor women who need healthcare; teachers; students; don't deserve any help from Texas.  Or at least, not enough to do them any good.  And if Texas' "economic engine" is measured by unemployment, it's still pretty much tracking with the national average.   Any real difference can best be attributed to the energy sector of the economy, especially oil and gas.  It certainly is a stretch to say that Texas government policy has anything to do with it, since the only government policy in Texas is:  do as little as humanly possible.

Some of this, of course, is funny, because now the "liberal media" is discovering it again.  Gail Collins has an article in the current New York Review of Books which contains absolutely no new information at all, and certainly nothing I didn't already know from reading Molly Ivins (who is much funnier, and a better writer, too.)  Yes, Texas still dominates the public school textbook industry, and yes the textbooks they choose are disastrous.  The only response I can make is that my daughter is a product of Texas public schools, and she is not ignorant about evolution or economics, for that matter.  I've found I'm far more an influence on her than the school textbooks she never read were.  Did anybody read the textbooks in school?  I have a vague memory of reading some, and I never got a decent education in Marxism or economic theory, for that matter; not in public schools.  But there were libraries and bookstores and now, the internet; not to mention intelligent teachers (and some not so intelligent, to be honest).  My daughter was lucky enough to be in a school district where they were less concerned with ideology than with instruction.  I attended Texas schools when the Gablers were in full flower, and I still managed to learn what they would have had me never know.  It's bad, but it's not the end of civilization as we know it.

Gary Wills is closer to the mark:

Those who think there is no difference between the parties should look at the state that no longer elects any Democrats, the Texas described so well by Gail Collins, with its schools attacking evolution, its religious leaders denying there was ever any separation of church and state, and its cowboy code of justice. If people like Professor Unger, people too highly principled for us folks who muck around in the real world, get their way, they will not give us a prince turned into a frog, but America turned into Texas.
 As the late Ms. Ivins said, "I love the state of Texas, but I regard that as a harmless perversion on my part and would not, in the name of common humanity, try to foist my pathology off on anyone else."  The Tex-Mex is good, the people are friendly, the beer is cold, the music foot-stompin', but the politics?  Heaven forbid.  What I take from Mr. Wills' critique, which is about politics and not just about Texas, is that you have to be willing to get your hands dirty in the world, if you are going to complain about the world.  Pardon the seeming hard turn, but this is a lesson that goes back to the Desert Fathers.  As Thomas Merton pointed out, they went to the desert because society (Rome was collapsing) was falling all around them, and in the shipwreck they could only grab a piece of floating debris and hang on.  Thomas Cahill's argument about how the Irish saved civilization is similar, as the Irish missionaries came in from the fringe of the collapsing empire toward its center, bringing literacy, compassion, and spiritual discipline with them (interesting how many "Catholic" practices common today came from Irish Christian spirituality). And no, I don't mean now to be comparing the problems of the country as seen through the lens of Texas with the collapse of civil order.  That expectation is sheer nonsense.  But if you can't delve into the world and reshape it at the foundations, you have to stay out of the world altogether.  Mr. Wills' article is about Professor Robert Unger's inability to be either hot or cold, and his attempts to remain heilege; pure; unscathed.  Nice work if you can get it.

But you can't, in this world.  The Desert Fathers struggled with their own human nature.  It was enough struggle, just tending their own gardens (read the number of  stories where they have to remind the other monastics to stay out of each others business, if you doubt me).  And if you want to engage the world, you have to do it on the world's terms.  You have to get messy with politics, and make compromises, and try to accomplish something rather than nothing at all.  But I think in that course you have to prize humility above hubris, effort above accomplishment, and purity of heart above purity of will.  The problem with the purists on either side is, as Reinhold Niebuhr said of revivalist preachers:

They never seem to realize how many of the miseries of mankind are due not to malice but to misdirected zeal and unbalanced virtue.  They never help the people who corrupt family love by making the family a selfish unit in society or those who brutalize industry by excessive devotion to the prudential virtues. (Reinhold Niebuhr, Leaves from the Notebook of a Tamed Cynic, Louisville, Kentucky:  Westminster/John Knox Press, 1980, p. 45.)
 Niebuhr links this to power, wondering if power is possible without sacrificing some measure of truth.  He would probably stumble over my insistence on the power of powerlessness.  Still, it is a question of power, and the power here resides in the abstraction:  the "family as a....unit in society," or "excessive devotion to the prudential values."  As ever, looking for something outside of us to provide salvation for us, to save us from ourselves so we are relieved of responsibility for our actions, miserable creatures that we think we are.

The problems of Texas, or of politics in America, are of the same ilk:  an insistence that the right ideology will usher in the millenium, or at least save us from our humanity.  Rick Perry speaks in comfortingly abstract bromides about compassion for the poor, with no more regard for poor people than he has for rattlesnakes.  I am wary of people who come promising salvation, through governmental mechanisms or religious promises; just as I am wary of the claim that someone somewhere is getting something for free, and I'm gettin' nothin'.  Two sides of the same coin, and I'm tired of trading in that currency.  Give Caesar what has Caesar's image, and God what has God's image, and the rest will take care of itself.

And the sign?  Seriously, it's an anti-litter campaign.  Get over it.

Monday, July 24, 2023

You Gotta Dance With The One What Brung Ya

 Until you can't:

And, until last month, no state politician had received more money from those groups [on "a long-term crusade to push Texas to the extreme right"] than [Texas AG Ken] Paxton, who has in turn used his office to push ultraconservative priorities while declining to defend state agencies in numerous lawsuits filed by groups connected to Dunn and the Wilks brothers, including those seeking to undermine the state’s campaign finance laws.

Now, with the clock ticking toward Paxton’s September impeachment trial before the Texas Senate, Stickland and his far-right friends are fighting hard and spending big to protect their most important ally — and to stave off a major loss amid their ongoing fight for control of the Texas GOP.

One more surprise in the impeachment of Ken Paxton:  who is against him, v. who is behind him.

And it's all because Dems are in disarray:

The Paxton drama comes at a crucial time for the state’s ultraconservative wing, which has been increasingly criticized by moderate Republicans who have grown weary of their purity tests and attacks even as the state drifts further to the right. The Wilks and Dunn orbit also has been hobbled by a series of divisive, costly — and largely unsuccessful — primary races and the removal of former Rep. Bryan Slaton, whose political life was subsidized by Defend Texas Liberty until he was expelled from the House in May for having sex with a 19-year-old aide he got drunk.

Those losses, coupled with intraparty animus, have raised the groups’ stakes in the Paxton trial. 

Paxton's trial is political, IMHO, in that the House cannot overlook Paxton's corruption any longer.  It is too blatant and too prolonged and too damned public.  The FBI has already arrested Paxton's BFF that he did all the criming for.  Smart money says the FBI will arrest Paxton after the impeachment trial, whether he wins or loses it.

Art. 4 of the Texas Constitution provides:

Sec. 22.  ATTORNEY GENERAL.  The Attorney General shall represent the State in all suits and pleas in the Supreme Court of the State in which the State may be a party, and shall especially inquire into the charter rights of all private corporations, and from time to time, in the name of the State, take such action in the courts as may be proper and necessary to prevent any private corporation from exercising any power or demanding or collecting any species of taxes, tolls, freight or wharfage not authorized by law.  He shall, whenever sufficient cause exists, seek a judicial forfeiture of such charters, unless otherwise expressly directed by law, and give legal advice in writing to the Governor and other executive officers, when requested by them, and perform such other duties as may be required by law.   

Let's go a bit deeper than that:

Attorney General Ken Paxton is the lawyer for the State of Texas and is charged by the Texas Constitution to:

defend the laws and the Constitution of the State of Texas

represent the State in litigation

approve public bond issues

To fulfill these responsibilities, the Office of the Attorney General serves as legal counsel to all boards and agencies of state government, issues legal opinions when requested by the Governor, heads of state agencies and other officials and agencies as provided by Texas statutes, sits as an ex-officio member of state committees and commissions, and defends challenges to state laws and suits against both state agencies and individual employees of the State.

The Office of the Attorney General has taken on numerous other roles through the years. Texas statutes contain nearly 2000 references to the Attorney General. In addition to its constitutionally prescribed duties, the Office of the Attorney General files civil suits upon referral by other state agencies. In some circumstances, the Attorney General has original jurisdiction to prosecute violations of the law, but in most cases, criminal prosecutions by the Attorney General are initiated only upon the request of a local prosecutor. 

Now, specifically, the Attorney General doesn't do any of that.  The Office of the Attorney General does all that work, in court and out, through a staff of lawyers and others staffing the office.  But the Texas Constitution is quite clear: "The Attorney General shall represent the State in all suits and pleas in the Supreme Court of the State in which the State may be a party...."  This means, in practice, that Ken Paxton's name is on any court pleading filed by the State of Texas in state or federal court.  But only lawyers can put their names on pleadings.  More specifically, only licensed lawyers may do so.

Licensed lawyers in the State of Texas cannot have criminal convictions.

Now there's a lot of slipperiness here.  I don't have the resources to research this legal question, and it may well be the Courts have interpreted Section 22 of Art 4 of the Texas Constitution to mean the AG may not be a lawyer, although clearly his office staff must.  But that's rather like putting a non-lawyer in charge of a lawfirm, something the law does not allow.  Non-lawyers can operate the business side of a lawfirm, but they cannot direct firm lawyers in their practice.  Lawyers are rather jealous of their licensed status, especially because they are the ones responsible for what is done in their names and, at least in Texas, under color of their Bar numbers (Texas pleadings require a lawyer signing the pleadings to include her/his Bar card number, so it's literally "over" their Bar number that they sign.)

So, and it's a series of "ifs" at this point, if the FBI charges Paxton (how could they not?), and Paxton loses the criminal trial or even takes a plea deal, the State Bar of Texas is going to want his license back.  And then one wonders if Ken Paxton could be re-elected as the crooked Attorney General of Texas?

All by way of saying these right-wing billionaires who think Barry Goldwater was a pinko (look it up, punks!) and LeMay should have just nuked North Vietnam, may have already lost.  Because even if they win the impeachment trial by blackmailing the jury (what?  Paxton's own lawyers have already tried to disqualify three Democratic Senators for bias, even though the Texas Constitution says they all must attend the trial.  Paxton's own wife is a State Senator and will attend the trial; she just won't be allowed to vote because of the obvious conflict of interest. But Paxton's lawyers don't get to pick the jury for this trial; the Texas Constitution has already done that.), they can't browbeat a US Attorney and a federal judge and jury.  And if Paxton is convicted of a crime, the State Bar of Texas will sue to remove his license instanter.  And they'll win.

And there go a few more of the dreams of the crazy rich oil guys in Texas.  

Alternatively, Paxton loses his trial, because the State Senators know the one thing they DON'T do is vote for corruption.  Texas voters will vote for crazy.  They won't stand for corruption.  If you're old enough to remember Tom DeLay, he was Gingrich's hatchet man and majority whip when Bill Clinton was POTUS, and DeLay was ruthless in using his power against his enemies, who were mostly Democrats.  And then some pictures of DeLay living it up in a hot tub (no, I'm not making this up) surfaced, and DeLay declined to even run for re-election that year.  He explicitly said his voters wouldn't stand for any hint of misconduct, a term found, as ever, in the eye of the beholder.

State voters in Texas will feel the same way about Paxton, and Texas state senators know it.  They can save Paxton, or they can save themselves.  They can't do both.  And the threats of the right-wing billionaires to fund extremists in primaries?  That would probably get some moderate Democrats elected.

I think the extremists have caught the car, and they don't know what to do about it.  It ain't everything, but it ain't nothin', either. Besides:

For six years, Zachary Maxwell saw firsthand how West Texas oil money slowly reshaped the state’s political landscape — including through the numerous conservative campaigns he helped lead and, later, as chief of staff for former Rep. Mike Lang, the leader of the House’s ultraconservative Freedom Caucus. He also briefly worked for the Empower Texans-affiliated Texas Scorecard as a staff writer.

Maxwell ultimately left that world because of what he said was hypocrisy from the Dunn and Wilks cohort, who he said were almost singularly focused on conservative “chest beating” as a means of pulling the party’s mainstream views to the right and accumulating political power.

“It is rules for thee, not for me,” he said of Empower Texans and its affiliated groups, including Defend Texas Liberty. “They do not care about how Austin is run — they care about running Austin. They care about who can scream the loudest, and usually that ends up being people with the least amount of integrity. And the entire Legislature is sick and tired of it. Nothing is good enough. And the second you get off course, you’re going to get hammered.”

The reference to "Austin" is a loose one.  In this context, it means the Legislature when it is in session, which is only for six months every two years.  The impact of the Lege on the city of Austin, outside of downtown (where the capitol is located) is negligible, to nuisance.  The telling point is the last:  "...the entire Legislature is sick and tired of it."  I think the country at large is sick of MAGA and it's "I SCREAM LOUDER MEANS I WIN!" attitude.  So the expectation that the State Senate is not inclined to save Ken Paxton, is not without foundation.  Here's another telling quote:

“They [the billionaires] romanticize the rural Texan,” Brandon Darby, editor of Breitbart Texas, a right-wing news site that had previously employed Sullivan, said at the time. “They wear the hat, the boots and the Wrangler jeans, but their policies actually strangle rural Texas communities.”

The session ended with no funding for public schools in part because the voucher program to allow public money to be spent at private schools, didn't pass either.  Most of the resistance to that plan came from rural Texas, where there are no private schools to flee to, and the public schools are a source of community pride and employment.  So, yeah, the policies of these extreme right-wingers is damaging to rural Texas as much as it is to the rest of Texas; and the people in rural Texas aren't fools.

Which raises the question of what Ken Paxton has done for them lately.  It also raises the question of who Paxton is working for: 

Just an example of one of Paxton's pet projects.  Probably not too many people in rural Texas love Joe Biden.  Then again, they liked LBJ, and know the difference between politicians who use them as props, and politicians who actually help them.  Biden is closer to LBJ, so don't write them off prematurely.  Still, Paxton is only winning the applause of a handful of rich cranks with lawsuits like this, and this one is clearly no longer interesting to him since he couldn't get it assigned to the crank judge he prefers.  That's another grain of sand on the scales, but Paxton doesn't need any more weight added to that side of the scales right now.

In the end, this all comes down to Paxton trying to dig into the state coffers for $3.3 million to pay off a mess of his own creation.  In a session that ended without funding public education at all (beyond standing allocations from prior sessions), and took two special sessions to finally pass a property tax decrease (obviously a political prize, but you still have to pay for schools, roads, police, and fire somehow; and Texas doesn't not have another source of tax income bigger than property taxes), that number is small enough and, simultaneously, big enough, to mean something to voters.

And the Senators of the State of Texas are well aware of it.

Monday, October 22, 2012

Reading between the lines.....

Jane Mayer has an excellent piece on voter fraud which ends this way:

With legions of citizen watchdogs on the lookout for fraud, voters confused about the documents necessary to vote, and the country almost evenly divided politically, von Spakovsky is predicting that November 6th could be even more chaotic than the 2000 elections. He will play a direct role in Virginia, a swing state, where he is the vice-chairman of the electoral board of Fairfax County. Joining us at the conference table at the Heritage Foundation, John Fund, von Spakovsky’s co-author, told me, “If it’s close this time, I think we’re going to have three or four Floridas.” Von Spakovsky shook his head and said, “If we’re lucky only three or four.” If there are states where the number of provisional ballots cast exceeds the margin of victory, he predicts, “there will probably be horrendous fights, and litigation between the lawyers that will make the fights over hanging chads look minor by comparison.” Pursing his lips, he added, “I hope it doesn’t happen.” But, if it does, no one will be more ready for the fight.

Pretty grim stuff, especially since Hans Von Spakovsky is a lawyer.  Who could be more ready for a legal fight than a lawyer who's spent his career in the area of voting law.  But, it turns out, Mr. Von Spakovsky is not a very good lawyer:
Von Spakovsky said, “The idea that there’s some deep conspiracy is just laughable.” His own work, however, has suggested that liberals engage in conspiracies. “Who’s Counting?” opens with an insinuating account of how Al Franken, the Minnesota Democrat, was elected to the Senate in 2008. According to the book, there is “compelling” evidence, compiled by a citizens’ watchdog group, that “1,099 ineligible felons voted illegally” in the contest—“more than three times” Franken’s victory margin. The subhead of the chapter is “Would Obamacare have passed without voter fraud?”

Fox News and other conservative media outlets have promoted this argument. However, Mike Freeman, the Hennepin County Attorney, who oversees Minneapolis, told me, “Those numbers are fraudulent. We investigated, and at the end of the day, out of over four hundred allegations in the county, we charged thirty-eight people. Their research was bad, sloppy, incredible. They are just liars.” Some of the targeted voters weren’t actually felons; others were on probation and hadn’t realized that they remained ineligible to vote. To be convicted of voter fraud, a suspect needs to have criminal intent.

Von Spakovsky told me, “It doesn’t matter whether they”—the felons—“intended it or not. The point is they did vote.” The subject of electoral fraud is now front and center in Minnesota: in November, the state will have a referendum on a state voter-I.D. law.
Need I say that any lawyer who goes to court on bad research and sloppy investigations is going to get his head metaphorically handed to him?  And that any lawyer who doesn't understand the difference between an act and a criminal act shouldn't even have a license?

None of the allegations of voter fraud by Von Spakovsky in the article stand up to the least scrutiny.  50 Somalian citizens voted illegally in Missouri, he claims.   Except a judge examined the claims and found no fraud; and such a baseline requirement as citizenship would have to be answered before you got to the issue of translations and oaths ("Translation assistance is available at the polls—citizens sometimes have shaky English—and the court had found merely that election officials had not made the voters take an oath before receiving help, as state law required.").  Apparently Mr. Von Spakovsky thinks people who struggle in English weren't actually naturalized.  Funny, though, I always see signs and ballots at my local polling place in at least 6 different languages, and I'm pretty sure that's required by law.  It's never occurred to me the state was colluding in voter fraud by printing those up.

There isn't, in other words, a case in the article that stands up to scrutiny, and yet Von Spakovsky, we are assured, is ready for a vote fraud fight.  Really?  Sounds like he's just as ready to get in the ring and go three rounds with the reigning heavy-weight boxing champion.

I saw this recently, too, and while at first it seemed like an interesting theory, I began to think it was in fact too clever by half.  But then with a title like this:   "Blue State are from Scandinavia, Red states are from Guatemala," how could it not be?

There's a great deal to be said against the way government works in red states like Texas, but comparing it to Guatemala is laying it on a bit thick.  Why not just call us "Mars" and get it over with?  There is a reason people flocked to Texas in the '70's and '80's, and it wasn't because of the generous government programs (which have gotten stingier since then, and no, I don't like that a bit).  But there's a reason even people from Guatemala come to Texas, and no, it doesn't all have to do with government. It has to do with jobs. In the latter decades of the previous century, it seemed the Northeast was emptying out into Texas.  It got so bad newspaper columnists in Austin were publishing articles asking any more anxious Yankees to "Stay Away!"  They weren't coming for our generous government handouts, since we were almost as stingy then as we are now (the cutbacks have been in education and, yes, Medicaid; but we were stingy with that back then, too.)  If we really were Guatemala, wouldn't the place be emptying out, rather than filling up?  If the Northeast really were Scandinavia, wouldn't it have more of the problem Texas does, and that California did in the Dust Bowl?  Texas didn't become the third most populous state in my lifetime simply because of babies being born here and not leaving.

Yes, Rick Perry declared Obamacare dead in Texas.  But the major Texas cities (which are basically the counties they are in, so large have they grown in recent decades) are busy saying "Not so fast!"  There's even a question whether Perry can kill Obamacare in Texas or not.  Yes, there is a lot wrong with Texas:  but Guatemala v. Scandinavia?  It's not a terribly helpful schism.  Moreover, Texas was traditionally blue when the South was blue after the Civil War, and like most of the South Texas was a one-party state:  the Democrats, who weren't the party of Lincoln.  Yeah, it was that simple.

  But when Texas began shifting to a GOP state, and then overnight (much like the conversion of Rome to Christianity under Constantine) became deep red, the cities didn't necessarily follow.  Houston is the biggest city in Texas (fourth largest in the country).  Bill White was the mayor; he ran on the Democratic ticket against Perry last time we elected a governor.  How many major American cities have a lesbian as their Mayor?  Houston does. Dallas County elected a lesbian sheriff a few years ago.  Dallas County!   Once the home of TV evangelist shills, and proudly so! Even "liberal" Austin doesn't brag a gay/lesbian as their mayor, nor does NYC.  McCain carried Texas in 2008, but only because of the rural counties.  The counties along the Rio Grande and all the major metropolitan areas of Texas went for Obama.  And Texas is now a minority majority state (which is why even Rick Perry won't deny an education to the children of undocumented immigrants).  Texas is very shortly, and for the first time since the Civil War (which might as well be the first time in history), going to be a purple state.  And, as I say, the major counties (with the major public hospitals and public ER's, such as Houston's Ben Taub, one of the best trauma centers in the country, and a part of the vaunted Texas Medical Center) are lining up to get that money Perry says he won't take.  Not to mention the markets, by which the GOP purports to live and die, may not want that money cast aside so easily or ideologically, either.

So are we really Guatemala?  Well, to be fair, wages in Texas are generally the pits.  We may have lots of jobs, but most of 'em don't pay squat.  It may be true that:  “The story is pretty clear,” Meyers says. “If you are poor, you want to live in a blue state.” And yet people keep moving here!

Houston is building roads like there's no tomorrow, expecting continued growth in the city largely from people moving here, and that doesn't mean simply relocating within the state (and so far they haven't been disappointed, either).  What is the matter with Kansas, or Texas, that people keep acting against their self-interests?  Shouldn't they realize Scandinavia is better than Guatemala, and flock to Vermont or Massachusetts or New York?  No, seriously:  shouldn't they?  And the minute they find out this is a Guatemalan hell-hole, shouldn't they flee again?  I've seen this state do nothing but grow since my childhood, and while I"m not a blind cheerleader for Texas, there must be something here so many people like.  It sure ain't just the Tex-Mex or the water.

Cohn makes much of Texas in his article, but it's only one part of the picture.  I know the very libertarian arguments  of Texas politicians (such as they, and as "libertarian" as they are, which is to say, if you can call the Koch brothers libertarian rather than simply selfish and greedy) can be alluring to working class people looking for jobs in the again-booming oil fields of Texas (not that there aren't costs to that, or that there weren't back when).  And that's why Texas grows:  the promise of work.  Never mind the work is underpaid; so is the state government.  Some people seem to like it like that.  But is this really, as Cohn calls it, because we in Texas lack standards of human decency?  Well, I'll grant you Rick Perry does, though not as much as the rest of the GOP does (given how he was treated after he declared children of undocumented immigrants deserve an education.  He was finished right then.).  I'll grant you most of the state government leadership does. What I won't grant is that this is a permanent condition; or that we are uncivilized and savage by comparison to the "North," just because of statistics on government spending.

 Unless Mr. Cohn wants us to revive that term "damned Yankees," and mean it once again.

Addendum:

I should note that trial began yesterday before Judge John Dietz (whom I think I remember from my trial days in Austin) on the question of public school funding in Texas.  This isn't the first case on school funding, and it won't be the last.  But school districts in Texas are independent political entities with standing to sue the state when it violates the Texas Constitution in how school funding is appropriated.  There are many arguments from many sides, including advocates of more competition by allowing more charter schools.  Two basic positions, however, are that funding was cut by $5.4 billion, while standards were raised (hard to build bricks without straw, in other words) and that children in poor districts (much funding is from local property taxes) can't be given a poorer education simply because of that.

It may be this goes nowhere, ultimately.  The Edgewood case that was supposed to revamp school funding in Texas finally wandered off into the wilderness and died, after leaving us with the system described by one of the plaintiffs as "hopelessly broken" (and it is).  Despite that, there are serious efforts being made in Texas to address Mr. Cohn's concerns; they just aren't being addressed by the state government.  Still, it's a ray of hope, and one more reason the comparison to Guatemala seems unfair, at least to Texas and Guatemala.  Because, little as seems to get done here, this is primarily the way anything gets done in Texas:  by sheer stubbornness.

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Messin' with Texas

The first I read of this poll, this is what was highlighted:

“This isn’t good news, and it shows the continued weakness of Trump in Texas,” said Daron Shaw, professor of government at the University of Texas at Austin and co-director of the poll. “But if I were in his campaign looking at these numbers, I wouldn’t say we’re in big trouble in Texas. And if I were a Democrat, I’m not sure I’d spend a lot of money here.”

So, is Maggie Haberman misrepresenting the poll?  No, not at all:

Half of the registered voters in Texas would vote to reelect President Donald Trump, but half of them would not, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll.

Few of those voters were wishy-washy about it: 39% said they would “definitely” vote to reelect Trump; 43% said they would “definitely not” vote for him. The remaining 18% said they would “probably” (11%) or “probably not” (7%) vote to give Trump a second term.

That's the lede from the Texas Tribune article reporting this poll.  Rather a different view than Raw Story gives it, frankly (which is not to condemn Raw Story, but every reader must think for themselves, not expect all reporting to be propaganda they favor.  I'm looking at you, Twitter.*)  Look at the numbers carefully, there's not a lot of comfort for Trump there:
 “That 50-50 number encapsulates how divisive Trump is,” said James Henson, who runs the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin and co-directs the poll. But, he added, the number is not necessarily “a useful prediction for an election that’s 16 months away.”

Among Republicans, 73% would “definitely” vote for Trump; among Democrats, 85% were “definitely not” voting for another term.

Which means the issue in 2020 comes down to turnout; just as it did in 2018.  It also means Daron Shaw and I disagree on what the Democrats should do in Texas.

Texas was a one-party state since Reconstruction (yes, that long).  It finally flipped from one-party Democrat to one-party Republican in the 1990's (it was actually cemented with the election of W. to the governorship in that year, so call it 1992).  A mere 27 years later (my daughter's lifetime, but she's a child), Texas is threatening to do something it hasn't done in about 140 years:  become a two-party system.  Nine more Democrats in the Texas House, and it flips to Democratic control; that's after 12 were elected in 2018, and I know at least one who, if he runs again, will probably take that seat from a Republican.  He came out of nowhere (never held elective office) to almost do it last year.  The entire elected judiciary of Harris County (no longer the Urban Cowboy locale so many still think it is) were elected on the Democratic slate:  all of them black women.  Two long-term Republicans were turned out of the U.S. House in favor of Democrats.  People who saw no reason to vote, or to vote for Democrats, in Texas, are now seeing a reason.  Greg Abbot is inordinately popular in Texas, but if he rests his popularity on the last Legislative session, he may be in trouble.  Pardon a digression as I explain:

Texas has one basic form of tax, aside from the sales tax (which some proposed raising in exchange for actually lowering property tax rates; nobody liked that idea).  The primary source of income for government is the property tax.  The Lege decided to fix the tax rate and require local taxing authorities (Port of Houston is one around here; school districts; counties; municipalities) to hold an election if they raise rates beyond that limit.  Problem is, taxes are going up not because of increased tax rates, but because of increased property valuations, a by-product of the "Texas Miracle" politicians love so much.  Nothing in the legislation lowers property tax evaluations, or even slows them (how could you interfere with the market like that?).  Most people pay more taxes every year because their property becomes more valuable, not because governments are raising rates to have more money to spend.  Tax rates were capped anyway (Houston is grossly underfunded as it is because of such caps; that's a whole 'nother argument).  Abbott is popular right now because he championed tax relief.  Did he deliver?  No, not really.  We'll see what that does for him.

He's also popular because Dan Patrick was a lunatic firebrand two years ago.  Patrick kept his head down this session, which raised his approval ratings.  The new Speaker of the House talked like a right-wing ideologue, but governed like a rational person.  So that triumvirate of Governor/Lt. Gov./Speaker, is regarded well at the moment.  They didn't do anything to embarrass Texas, and the Lege got rid of the Secretary of State who embarrassed Texas with the voter roll purge debacle (yeah, the Governor was behind it, but that's the way it goes).

Texans are right wing, in other words, but you can go too far.  Abbott has learned to talk like a moderate (well, moderate for this day and age).  The crazies in the Lege may find their seats up for grabs in 2020; and the movement toward a two-party state will continue apace.

Which is why it is very bad news that, in 2019, Trump only commands possibly 50% of the electorate.  Of course, he didn't carry Texas by double digits in 2016.  The possibility that he could lose it this time, is very real indeed.

*The Twitter thread at Maggie Haberman's tweet seemed to think this poll was by UT Austin of UT Austin students, or just of Austin, which still is highly overrated as the "liberal" domain of Texas (they have yet to elect a lesbian mayor or, so far as I know, a mayor of color.  Houston has had both since I've lived here.)  It' s pet peeve of mine, but then, political Twitter is amazingly dim, so I can't really hold it against them.

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Oh, Shut Up, Fool!

Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott (R-Dumbass) has roiled the international waters by warning members of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe who have been invited here by the U.S. Government to monitor the upcoming federal elections that:

The Texas Election Code governs anyone who participates in Texas elections—including representatives of the OSCE. The OSCE’s representatives are not authorized by Texas law to enter a polling place. It may be a criminal offense for OSCE’s representatives to maintain a presence within 100 feet of a polling place’s entrance. Failure to comply with these requirements could subject the OSCE’s representatives to criminal prosecution for violating state law.
One minor problem:  the Texas AG won't be prosecuting anybody.  That's not what they do:

Under Texas law, the county or district attorney has primary jurisdiction to prosecute most criminal offenses. The Office of the Attorney General assists local prosecutors at their request. The law also authorizes this agency to proffer assistance to local prosecutors. Most OAG prosecutions are undertaken on referrals.
Chapter 1, section 1.09, of the Penal Code provides that, “with the consent of the appropriate local county or district attorney, the Attorney General has concurrent jurisdiction with that consenting local prosecutor” to prosecute certain offenses, including:
  • Misuse of state property or funds
  • Abuse of office
  • Offenses against juvenile offenders in state correctional facilities
And as for the Texas Penal Code:

 With the consent of the appropriate local county or district attorney, the attorney general has concurrent jurisdiction with that consenting local prosecutor to prosecute under this code any offense an element of which occurs on state property or any offense that involves the use, unlawful appropriation, or misapplication of state property, including state funds.
So aside from the violation of international treaties that this threat represents, Mr. Abbott literally has no authority to issue such threats; not unless a Texas District Attorney asks the AG's office to help in the prosecution of a violation of the Texas Election Code.  Provided, I take it, that the offense takes place on state property; and most Texas polling places I've ever been in are not state property.

For all the authority Abbott wields in this matter, this letter might as well come from a private citizen.  So please, Mr. Abbott, just shut up.  You're embarrassing the rest of us in Texas.

Update:  he really is stupider than you think:

Ambassador Janez Lenarčič, the Director of the OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR), expressed his grave concern today over the threat of criminal prosecution of OSCE/ODIHR election observers.

This threat, contained in an open letter from the Attorney General of Texas, is at odds with the established good co-operation between OSCE/ODIHR observers and state authorities across the United States, including in Texas, Lenarčič said, adding that it is also contrary to the country’s obligations as an OSCE participating State.
....

The ODIHR limited election observation mission for the 2012 general elections in the United States consists of a core team of 13 experts, from 10 OSCE participating States, based in Washington D.C., and 44 long-term observers deployed throughout the country. These are the sixth United States elections the Office has observed, without incident, since 2002.
 
Final update:  there's a whole lot of stupid around here:

 Harris County Clerk Stan Stanart said if the observers showed up at a poll location, "I'd kick them out of there. It's as plain as that. Right now, my understanding is you can't be in there unless you are a poll worker or a voter or a legitimate poll watcher. It's illegal for them to be a poll watcher unless they're a citizen of Texas."

Contrary to Clerk Stanart's belief, Texas is not a sovereign nation with its own standards for "citizenship."  This, however, is about right:

Mark P. Jones, chairman of the political science department at Rice University, said observers are "pretty normal" in elections. He said it is reasonable for Abbott to weigh in because the decision to send observers suggests "there's at least the potential implication the state's electoral rules are flawed."

Raising the prospect of criminal sanctions "is probably going over the top a little bit," Jones suggested, "but Abbott's become very good at this. Greg Abbott now does not miss an opportunity to appeal to the Republican base. … This is just showing his bona fides as a conservative, someone who will help resist … U.N. meddling in Texas politics."

We do have cooler heads in Texas:

Texas Secretary of State Hope Andrade also wrote to Everts on Tuesday to express concern that, based on media reports, it appeared that "this valuable information sharing program" was being politicized. She wrote that it was "critical" that Texans understand the organization is in Texas only to learn about the state's election processes.

And as for the threats of criminal prosecution, nothing's gonna happen:

 Keith Ingram, director of the elections division in Andrade's office, said in an email to county election officials Tuesday that any characterization of the OSCE observers as monitors was false. Ingram said he had met with the two-person team last week and told them the Election Code would not allow them into actual polling places, and that they understood.

Here's where I point out Texas has 254 counties.  I can't easily find the total number of polling precincts in Texas, but Bexar county alone has 661.  OSCE has two people coming to observe our elections.

The amount of interference they can do is absolutely incalculable.  Especially if they never get within 100 feet of a polling place.  It's a pity Abbott is getting more attention than Andrade.