Couple Qs for @nate_cohn on new poll of Latinos
— Greg Sargent (@GregTSargent) October 13, 2024
How relevant is Harris' 64% Latino support in the west to Nevada and Arizona?
Given this 64%, is it possible that some of the movement way from Ds is being driven by already-reddish Latino constituencies getting redder? pic.twitter.com/Xozz8bff0C
No, what we don’t know is whether there is an actual loss of Latino votes to Democrats. Although here we have two non-statisticians discussing statistical analysis.🧐Well sure, but if this is true, it's also true that we *simply don't know* whether the loss of Latino support is actually relevant for the EC.
— Greg Sargent (@GregTSargent) October 13, 2024
And a sample size of 900 is reliable because that’s all pollsters can get. Sure, that’s how “science” works. 🙄
Only if the narrative allows that possibility after the election. Won’t make it true, Also won’t happen. I mean, Democrats have been “over performing” since 2018. And yet the narrative persists.How wild the possible irony of a reverse “Clinton in 2016” issue for Trump.
— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) October 13, 2024
He could very well improve on his margins with certain demographics and in certain states, bumping up his national vote tally, while still losing the battlegrounds and the Electoral College because the… https://t.co/MyPTWeOFDK
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