Yeah, About That…

Re: latest NYT/Siena poll. Nothing new or surprising. Right now, the election is referendum on Biden. Can he make this a ‘choice’ election & win back ‘20 voters who are defecting to Trump or ‘don’t know’? That is the $100B question to which we won’t have an answer for months.

— Amy Walter (@amyewalter) March 2, 2024

I am getting tired of these tiny sample size polls that involve fewer than 1,000 registered voters. https://t.co/Vvpt3ozsrS

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) March 2, 2024

I’ve had more views of this blog today. And NOBODY reads this blog. (No offense, I just know I’m less significant than a raindrop in the ocean. Thanks for coming, anyway.)

To get this 5 point lead, Trump needs a historic reversal of fortune with minorities.

I mean, that would be earth shattering.

And I find it unlikely.

8 months to go. https://t.co/Vvpt3ozsrS

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) March 2, 2024

This is where I recall that 538 predicted Trump would win by 57 points in South Carolina. Trump himself said he’d win by 80 points. One prediction was about as accurate as the other. We might as well examine chicken entrails.

Or, you know, wait for election results.

And what Presidential election with an incumbent is NOT a referendum on the incumbent?

The election is tight. Trump can absolutely win. Biden has work to do. No one knows how Trump’s support will hold up if convicted in one or more of his criminal cases.

There, headline writers. I saved you 8 months of headlines.

— Bradley P. Moss (@BradMossEsq) March 2, 2024

Just copy and paste from the last 20, 30, 40 years. Only the names have to change.