Sunday, October 25, 2020

Trump's Voters Are NOT Voting Early

Even Trump knows it (or should).

If this list is correct, Biden's voters are voting early.  If Trump's voters don't start showing up soon, it's all over.  Even if they do vote, this list doesn't indicate their numbers; just that a majority of his supporters in three crucial states can't be bothered to vote; yet. The caption to the picture overplays the article's hand:

Democrats have continued to dominate the initial balloting, but Republicans are narrowing the gap. GOP voters have begun to show up as early in-person voting, a sign that many heeded President Donald Trump’s unfounded warnings about mail-voting fraud.

On Oct. 15, Democrats registrants cast 51% of all ballots reported, compared with 25% from Republicans. On Sunday, Democrats had a slightly smaller lead, 51% to 31%. (emphasis added)

And again, Trump is his own worst enemy.  A 20 point gap is not a 26 point gap, but it's still a sizeable gap, and actually supports that CBS poll.

I really wonder how bad their internals are, that they're passing out a CBS/You Gov online poll on AF1.  Maybe this is a clue:
The trends are certainly not in their favor: Even the White House says that many people aren't that anxious to re-elect the President.

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