But it is as obtuse as ever. (Well, that’s how it works, innit?)Republican Rep. Chris Stewart: "You have to give Nancy Pelosi credit. One way or another, she kept her caucus in line. And I don't know how she did it." pic.twitter.com/EldSrpCG8m
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) January 6, 2023
I should also say the likelihood of McCarthy being Speaker is much higher than I anticipated. Of course, I also expected enough Republicans would be “sensible” and reach a compromise with the Democrats. I was expecting Republicans to act like Democrats.
What was I thinking?
The fighting was going to happen whoever is Speaker, and whatever concessions McCarthy would make to get there. It became pretty obvious only a damned fool would want the job, as it will make Boehner’s tenure look like a Sunday school picnic. Nancy Pelosi taught the Democrats the importance of party unity, a lesson they have clearly absorbed as the minority in the House. The Republicans are now going to pretend they are united. We’ll see how that works for them.
Unless McCarthy has to go on through the weekend trying to win the job. I won’t say he has won until he does; but it seems more likely he will than I would have thought.
Yup. Gonna be a lot of fights.curious which of the other GOPs are going to look at the rules the Freedom Caucus has squeezed from McCarthy. https://t.co/VQayWh95GY
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) January 7, 2023
Won’t that depend on the rules changes going through? People who voted for McCarthy might more defensibly not vote for that. And there won’t be multiple ballots until it passes.The next question will be how many Scaramuccis or lettuces the new Speaker will last
— George Conwayπ» (@gtconway3d) January 6, 2023
I suspect McCarthy will get elected tonight or tomorrow. The hold outs will wring a few more compromises (they already got holding the debt ceiling hostage, that is a disaster in waiting), and then will either vote present or not at all, allowing McCarthy to get the majority of votes cast. That way they never vote for him but McCarthy gets elected anyway. The rules vote will be interesting, given the radical drift of the party I think it passes, I hope I'm wrong.
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