Monday, July 22, 2019

Go Figure

I trust Five Thirty Eight for this kind of information, if only because their results don't rest on any one single poll.  When Trump, for example, trumpets a Rasmussen poll that shows him with 50% approval (the only poll to do so), Nate Silver shows me that poll in context, and gives a running history of the trend lines for Trump.

For the record, his high point was 45.5% approval on January 23, 2017.  His low was 36.5% on December 15 of that same year.  "Approval" is a misnomer, though, because his disapproval number has consistently been higher than his approval number since Feb. 3, 2017.  His approval number is currently 9 points below his disapproval number, and that's including a recent Rasmussen poll that shows approval/disapproval evenly divided at 49% each.

Which is why no one poll indicates anything about how the President is favored or disfavored.

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