“This Guy Is A Disaster”

'This guy is a disaster': Trump allies fear the return of his rallies will destroy their election chances https://t.co/9s5DLadY6X

— Raw Story (@RawStory) May 27, 2021

The GOP doesn't like Trump returning to rallies:

The problem: Since when has Trump ever stuck to policy? Most Republicans are expecting a rerun of the oldies: false claims of voter fraud, witch hunts and the like — only to be hounded by reporters for their comment on the outrage of the moment.

I, not surprisingly really, find myself agreeing with Adam Kinzinger:

“I do think that’s going to be fatiguing with people, and eventually folks besides the most hardcore are going to say, ‘Okay, it’s time to move on,’” he said. “My hope is that actually in those rallies, people realize this is starting to get nuts.”

Politico says:  "Yeah, well, maybe."

Yet for close to six years, Trump’s naysayers have predicted the GOP would finally say “enough already, this is nuts,” and move on. And he’s done nothing but prove them wrong. 

But 4 of those 6 years Trump was POTUS.  2 of those 6 years he was the newest freak in the national sideshow.  Four years exposure as the resident of the White House was enough for 81 million people, and 2/3rds of America has had enough of him.   Even Trump's rallies were beginning to fizzle by the fourth year (anybody else remeber the debacle that cost Trump's campaign chairman his job, and ended with him being hauled off by the cops?).

Trump will return to the stage with NEWT GINGRICH!  Not so much a blast from the past as another old white guy nobody wants to hear from.  Gingrich is also not a familiar figure to anybody under the age of 35 (probably under 40, to be honest*).  Trump's rallies are probably going to prove he's only popular with the shrinking cohort who was following him from city to city like the old Deadheads.  And even then I think the entertainment value is going to fall off sharply.  Trump is a one-trick pony, and that trick is about played out.

Besides, his campaign stiffed a lot of cities for those rallies; and he no longer has the office of the President behind him to coerce the arenas.  He's gonna have to pony up for that shit and charge admission.  And I think his sell-by date has just about passed.

I mean, where’s the upside?

NEW Republicans support Arizona Senate Republicans election review, Democrats & Indies don't, per @azhighground poll. https://t.co/pzlVQpBdEr
✅ 76.9% GOP
❌ 90.5% Dem
❌ 67.7% Ind
Overall:
✅ 40.8%
❌ 55.2%

— Brahm Resnik (@brahmresnik) May 27, 2021

Republicans are fighting the last election, and nobody’s with them.

Highground President and CEO Chuck Coughlin offered his analysis of the data.

Republicans are on an island when it comes to this audit," Coughlin explained. "Dwelling on the past is a dangerous proposition for the GOP's electoral future," Coughlin said. "Continued focus on this audit or the fraud narrative will only serve to undermine their electoral success in 2022."

"While it is to be expected that they would receive significant opposition from Democrats, this audit makes them face headwinds among independent and unaffiliated voters as well. As we have said before, 'never run the last election, run the election you are in now.' This issue is an electoral cul-de-sac that spells trouble for Republicans in 2022,” he argued.

And what are Trump’s upcoming rallies going to be about?  Not the bright, shiny future….

*In case you're wondering, that would be 50% of the population.  The two largest age groups in raw numbers are 26-29 and 55-59.  By 2024 both about half of members of both groups will move up a category.  The bulge in the snake may well carry over into the 30-34 group, but it may not move up as much in the 60-64 group, because despite the fact affluent whites are living longer, over all life expectancy in the U.S. has actually declined slightly.  So the "top end" where voters traditionally congregate may not swing the pendulum dominated by those under 40.