Male Pollsters Shocked -- Shocked!! -- When a Woman Pollster Discovers Women Votershttps://t.co/u3XJozyhUu
— emptywheel (blue algae) (@emptywheel) November 3, 2024
This entire election has been disproportionately viewed through the lens of polling, polling that even the Two Nates confess exhibit obvious problems.
And best as we can tell, pollsters have contorted their polls to ensure they don’t miss Trump voters (again, with no discussion of how you account for higher COVID-associated death rates among Trump supporters since 2020). But they have (apparently) done absolutely nothing to ensure they don’t miss pissed off women.
And then Ann Selzer came along.
Final Selzer poll findings (and the actual result)
— Matthew Klein (@MattKleinOnline) November 2, 2024
2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)
2020 President: R+7 (R+8)
2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)
2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)
2016 President: R+7 (R+9)
2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)
2012 President: D+5 (D+6)
About as good as any pollster gets. https://t.co/OfFO6ePDLy
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