Tuesday, May 25, 2021

Moving On



My mask collection


Derek Thompson kept saying the “liberals” in Texas (yes, his word) were still wearing masks while people in the “rural areas” never did and threw them away as soon as Abbott told them they could (the implication was severe independence on the part of the latter group, but if they were waiting for the Governor to tell them to quit doing something...?).  

His point was COVID cases were down in Texas as well as in California, and California (being “liberal”) was clearly more restrictive than Texas ever was, and what good did that do for California?  The basis for this argument was that effect (declining cases) had clearly been caused by….well, by what?

The vaccination rate in Texas is hardly higher than the rest of the country.  34% of the population is fully vaccinated. 42% have received at least one shot.  That’s hardly enough to get anywhere near herd immunity. California has 41% vaccinated, 55% have received at least one shot.  And yet both states have seen significant declines in cases.  The pandemic isn’t over, but the strain on the healthcare system that this disease represented for over a year (the death count was never the worst of the disease’s actions, bad as it was) is abating.  That is good news.

But what cause led to this effect? 

I don’t know, anymore than anyone else does.  I just have a supposition.  As I understand it, the Spanish Flu was never “cured,” and certainly no vaccine for it was ever created. It came in two waves, the second resurgence worse than the first.  But it was finally spent.  It “ran its course.”  It abated, and life returned to normal.  That seems to be happening now, with vaccinations hastening it on its way, even as experts warn us it won’t go away, not permanently. 

I think that’s what we’re seeing now.  Covid, for want of a better explanation, has “run its course.”  Those most likely to get infected, have been.  The rest of us, if we don’t have natural immunity, are either less likely to get infected (for reasons we may never understand), or are now vaccinated.

Every year a new flu shot is formulated and distributed.  Until a year ago (before the pandemic), I’d never gotten a flu shot, because I never got the flu.  But reaching my middle ‘60’s, I got the shot.  I also didn’t get the flu.  I also wore a mask, everywhere; and avoided people as much as possible (gyms, movie theaters, restaurants, etc.).  I didn’t get covid.  Other people did, however:  some got mild cases and recovered; some had severe cases and spent weeks in the hospital on respirators; some suffered permanent physical and neurological damage; some died.  Why the wide variations?   Aye, that’s the question, isn’t it?

Why are cases of covid declining now?  Because restrictive government measures were no more useful than lax ones?  Actually, Texas was not as lax as some states, and people in cities (like Houston) are around far more strangers in a day than people in small towns and rural areas.  I went to a restaurant over the weekend, where nobody was wearing a mask, not even the staff.  But in my grocery store, everyone is still wearing a mask. I picked up kolaches (basically donuts) this morning; everyone inside the tiny store was masked.  Well, almost everyone.  I’ve taken to following the crowd:  if customers in the store have masks, I put on one.  If I’m the only person in a store with a mask, I fell a bit conspicuous. If the store employees are comfortable without masks, I am, too.  I’m vaccinated, after all. I’m not sure the mask will protect me any more than that.

Is the pandemic over?  God willing, it is. Is it over because the vaccine has protected us all?  Not yet it hasn’t.  Is it over because of government mandates?  Actually most stores and businesses in Texas still have signs up urging masks, but no longer requiring them.  Compliance now is as voluntary as it was then.  One or two people might have thrown very noisy fits in stores or restaurants and forced the police to arrest them for criminal trespass, but no one in Texas needed a police officer at their elbow to make them protect themselves.  We still don’t.

That isn’t proof government is unnecessary.  It is proof people mostly want to protect themselves, and others, from disease.  We aren’t all selfish, childish assholes.  And just because we do want to stay safe and help others stay safe, doesn’t mean we’re “liberal” city dwellers or conservative, unconcerned rural “folk.”  We wore masks because it was the right thing to do.  We did it universally because government told us it would protect us all.  Abbott prematurely told us we didn’t need that protection anymore, and we went right on wearing the masks, anyway.  I think the lesson here is that we still work collectively through government to take care of each other and ourselves.  We certainly don’t slavishly follow government mandates; but neither do we listen to government when we think it’s being foolish, or worse, political.

The GOP party in Texas, the loudest anti-government activists in Texas, complained loud and long about Abbott’s closing of businesses and mask requirements.  But even when he lifted them, many people didn’t burn their masks, or even discard them.  That’s actually the story of “liberals” and “conservatives” here.  And part of the story is, those labels don’t really matter all that much.  We may be represented by clowns; but we don't choose to live in the clown show.

The Line Between Conspiracy Theories and Journalism Is A Thin One

As I keep saying, I'm old enough to remember the NYT covering itself in ignominy with first Whitewater and then WMD in Iraq.  So this both looks familiar, and explains precisely why people believe Donald Trump’s “Big Lie.”

When Nicholson Baker wrote a cover story for New York laying out the evidence that COVID-19 may have originated in a lab in Wuhan, China, the hypothesis was still highly controversial. In the months that have followed, and especially over the last week, it’s gained more and more credibility. A week ago, 18 prominent scientists signed a letter published in Science calling for an open investigation into the virus’s origins. This weekend, the Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. intelligence believes three researchers at the Wuhan Institute of Virology became sick enough in November 2019 to require hospitalization, lending even more credence to the possibility of a lab leak.

First, the WSJ article is mostly baseless bullshit.  I’m not sure it’s founded on intelligence as strong as the Steele dossier.  Because versions of this story have been around for awhile:

That was May of last year. It came back again in April of this year: That's the Google maps story that the BBC also picked up: Credibility? Only if you think that, because WSJ published it, it's credible. It's like we didn't learn anything in the '90's or the pre-war Bush Administration.  Who are we kidding?  We didn’t. Well, that's an internet source, right? No credibility at all, amirite?

Look, I usually admire Jonathan Chait, but this is is just bullshit.  This is why Donald Trump persuades people; because we are willing to believe sources we trust, even when we shouldn’t.  And even professional “skeptics” are not really skeptical, and accept the appeal to authority as willingly as any 1st grader. Or Trump supporter; though I think the average 1st grader is less gullible.

In an age of Trump and MTG the only responsible course is to make this kind of crap go away by ignoring it and discounting it.
I'm open to a thorough investigation. What I'm not open to is assuming the WSJ is credible on this story when the same story, or a version of it, has alread been circulating for a year and has been debunked after it was reported by NBC, BBC, and a number of other outlets. Honestly, the fact that WSJ published it just means they didn’t do their due diligence.  I mean, when a simple Twitter thread undoes it, there really isn’t much there, there.

550 Versions Of What The Elephant Looks Like

 George Will said on ABC's "This Week" roundtable that the Capitol riot on January 6 deserves to be "burned into the American mind as firmly as 9/11, because it was that scale of a shock to the system." 

GEORGE WILL:

Well, it's controversial for one reason. We have something new in American history. We have a political party defined by the terror it feels for its own voters. That's the Republican Party right now. 

Every elected official is frightened of his voters, therefore doesn't respect his voters and doesn't like his voters and is afraid that a vote for this would be seen as an insult to the 45th president.

There's no reason -- I mean, McConnell has a point. There are going to be lots of investigations. Journalists are going to go through this. There are 450-some criminal charges being brought with 100 more to come, and there's going to be lots of information about this. 

I would like to see January 6th burned into the American mind as firmly as 9/11 because it was that scale of a shock to the system. I think there will be a commission, but it is controversial for that reason. (emphasis added)

The nation needs one overall view of the elephant, not 550 stories of what 550 parts of the elephant look like.

You Can’t Fix…

The best thing about "Bad Legal Takes" is knowing none of these ignorami are ever going to get anywhere near a lawyer’s office, much less a courtroom. (There’s a whole slew of these over there, people insisting HIPAA does things it doesn’t come close to doing. The funniest part is, the Feds have a HIPAA website which lays out in fairly simple terms what the law does, and doesn’t, do. You know, the kind of information the Internet is supposed to provide. Some people just don’t want their ignorance disturbed.)

And they prove you can’t fix stupid.  Not sure you even need to.  It’s pretty much harmless, in this form.

Why Does The NYT Hate White People And America?

First "1619" and now this. Gov. Absent is going to have to call a special session to get the Lege to ban the teaching of this article in Texas public schools, too. We can’t teach kids about the bad things white people used to do; why, that’s unAmerican!

Monday, May 24, 2021

If I Was On Twitter, I’d Waste Even More Time Than I Already Do

Because the stupid, it burns.* 

* 1) There is no "space force doctrine." There is probably a Space Ghost doctrine, but that's another matter entirely.

2) The 1st Amendment has applied to the states since the passage of the 14th Amendment and court rulings based on it extending the “Bill of Rights” to the states.

3) If there is no Space Ghost doctrine, there should be.

4) Like I say, the good news is, these ideas have absolutely no chance of even influence in a court of law.

Submitted For Your Approval

I saw this tweet and thought "Huh. So the "Wuhan lab" story has some basis in fact after all? I really don't want those conspiracy loonies to be right about any of that." But it was the WSJ, so it had to be more reliable than MTG, right? 

Nope. Read the thread at Pwn All Things. It's worth it. This is the NYT looking for WMD before W invaded Iraq. This is the NYT speculating darkly on what was going on in deepest, darkest Arkansas (might as well be, to the editors in NYC) during the Clinton Administration. This is, in other words, crap. As the summing up goes: And along the way there's a similar version of this story the BBC had to retract; and another similar version that was based, not on intelligence gathered by the U.S., but was actually photographs from Google maps. And most of this information seems to go back to the previous Administration: Overflowing crocks of shit, IOW.  The references to Whitewater and WMD are a reminder we did this long before social media seemingly made fools of us all.  Ironically, as this report supposedly rests on "U.S. intelligence reports," it actually sounds more than anything like the kind of information contained in the "Steele dossier," which we were all supposed to discredit because it was never fully verified.  As Pwn All Things points out, nothing in the WSJ article is verified, either.  But, you know, journamalism:  it's far superior to anything on the internet not written by a "journalist."  Except that was the excuse for Whitewater, and Iraq's WMD, too.

 

Sledge Hammer Thrown At Wall Gets Mosquito (Maybe)

But it does concern a case from 2014:

Federal prosecutors say a 47-year-old man provided cocaine to secure votes for school board candidates in South Texas.

A federal judge in McAllen on Monday scheduled the arraignment of Francisco "Frankie" Garcia of Donna for next month. He's facing voter fraud and other charges.

The Monitor newspaper reports that an indictment alleges Garcia paid voters by giving them a "dime bag" of cocaine. Others were paid $10 for their votes in the 2012 Donna school board elections.

FBI agents arrested Garcia last week in Illinois.

He's the latest to be implicated in a conspiracy to buy votes for the school board elections. Three women pleaded guilty earlier this year to voter fraud.

That's the one Gov. Absent actually cites to Bartiromo:

"They were using cocaine to buy votes," he said. "We're just trying to make sure we crack down on voter fraud like that." 

Except, of course, the Federal government did crack down on that kind of voter fraud.  Although I suspect it was a federal matter because he was arrested in Illinois, and there was the cocaine possession.  But it was last March, when Abbott railed against H.B. 1, that he really got ridiculous:

"And when you look at some of the things that they are talking about with regard to H.R. 1, they are trying to institutionalize voter fraud in the United States of America," he continued. "They want to make mail-in ballots permanent. Everyone knows -- including Democrats in Texas -- have said that one of the easiest ways to cheat in elections is through these mail-in ballots."

For people over 65 in Texas, mail-in ballots are "permanent."  Unless this bill in Texas changes that, but I don't think it does. The last time I filled out a mail in ballot I instructed the county clerk to send me such ballots for every election.  I guess since "old people=GOP voters," that's okay, though.

And who complained about the falsity of mail-in ballots, even as he used one in Florida?  And how many cases of voter fraud via mail-in ballots have occurred in Texas?  But yeah, this has nothing to do with the 2020 Presidential election. 

As Jonathan Swan asked Liz Cheney:

"What was the big problem in Georgia that needed to be solved by a new law? What was the big problem in Texas? What was the big problem in Florida?" Swan continued. "These laws are coming all around the states and, like, what are they solving for?"

The best the Governor can come up with is a school board election in 2014 where some votes were apparently purchased with cocaine.  No word on whether this actually swayed the expected outcome or changed the make up of the school board.   And having brought that up:

"I will never understand the resistance, for example, to voter ID," Cheney said. "There's a big difference between that and a president of the United States who loses an election after he tried to steal the election and refuses to concede."

She claimed that Americans needed efforts to ensure people who aren't supposed to vote don't vote. 

Which, again, doesn't seem to be a problem for mail-in ballots in Texas, as I'll never show any kind of ID again when I vote.  But then I'm old, and reliably 'conservative,' or something.  Whatever.  Foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of small minds, and apparently asking for coherence on this subject is to insist on foolish consistency, or something.

I'll retire to Bedlam.  Things make more sense there.

Commies! Under My Bed!

Funny, he didn’t get this upset when Trump insulted his wife and said his father was involved in JFK’s assassination.

“Communist,” of course, is a scare word only aging Boomers can hear.  
All "left-wing dictators” are “Communists”? Cruz knows his audience, anyway. Like I said...(i.e., feature, not bug. It's what the "culture wars" are all about. It's all they were ever about.)

Was Michael Flynn Always Crazy?

Or did he become crazy? Because this guy shouldn’t be allowed anything sharper than a rubber ball.

Still Don’t Understand Why GOP Is Afraid Of Trump

It is a mystery.

Sunday, May 23, 2021

70% Stupid, 20% Trolling, 10% Crazy

YMMV. 

Maybe 90% crazy, and 10% stupid, which creates the trolling.

Discuss.

As Precise A Summation As I've Ever Seen

🤣🤣🤣 

"Say 'Hello!' To My Little Friend!"


The perfect Republican Senate candidate from Missouri.


For an answer, let’s review the lineup for the Republican nomination to Missouri’s soon-to-be-open Senate seat:

• Eric Greitens was elected Missouri governor after making national news for a campaign ad in which he fires a machine gun into a field for no apparent reason. He made national news again, two years later, with his crash-and-burn exit from office under allegations of political corruption and personal depravity. Greitens thinks this qualifies him for the Senate. Donald Trump’s inner circle agrees.

• Eric Schmitt’s brief tenure as Missouri’s attorney general has been notable for his filing of silly, doomed lawsuits, including one against China, in pathetic pursuit of headlines. (Suggested campaign slogan: A vote for Schmitt will make Beijing … nervous.)

• Mark McCloskey waved a gun around at protesters who were walking peacefully past his house, and then — well, actually, that’s it, that’s his entire political résumé. He’s the quintessential MAGA candidate. Meaning, a lying blowhard who’s facing felony charges.

And it all comes down to this:

All of the above notwithstanding, in today’s polarized environment, a red state like Missouri simply won’t elect a Democrat next year, no matter the alternative. That same environment makes it unlikely that one of the increasingly rare grownups in the Missouri GOP can wrench the nomination from the Trumpier-than-thou crowd. Which means one of these three circus barkers is very likely going to the Senate. This is how the GOP got like this.

Rick Wilson keeps saying (as this column does) that this is all due to Trump.  Well, yeah, but Missouri won't elect a Democrat next year, anymore than Texas was going to elect Beto in 2018 or M.J. Hegar in 2020.  Rick Wilson insists the Democrats in Congress ignore this reality and squash the GOP like bugs in D.C.

Sure, that's how it works.  Do Trump, but do him on our side.

When the Lincoln Project manages to get Florida to elect just one Democrat to the Senate, I can start to take them seriously.  Until then....

(the answer to the question that started this is:  diligent work by people like Rick Wilson.  Sorry, but the enemy of my enemy doesn't remain my friend forever.)

Pretty Much What Happens To Former Presidents

Because they are former Presidents. Yeah, being off Twitter hastens it; but this decline into "Who?" was inevitable. It would only have been more pitiful if he was still on Twitter and still tweeting like he was the POTUS.  He’d keep screaming for attention, and attention would be steadily falling.

Not that I mind it falling faster because he’s not on Twitter.  But the inevitable cannot be avoided, even by a once powerful media force like Trump.  He was only a force because he sat in the White House.  That platform is gone, never to return.  His control of politicians continues because politicians lock the world into place on they day of their election.  Even the news that Trump is falling won’t really reach them until the next election, and then they will take new lessons from their wins and others losses.

'Round and 'round it goes.

Lies, Damned Lies, And…

"Spiking" is one of those emotionally charged terms politicians love to use to scare people about crime levels they probably aren’t aware of.  So we’re off to a bad start already (not that any rise in crime levels isn’t bad).  Bur “rising crime” and “spikes in crime” have been weapons of politics for as far back as I can remember.  Worse is the loose employment of “largest single year increase since….”  It’s the baseline that matters, not the percentage increase comparable to increases over prior years.  Sometimes twice nothing is still nothing.  If, for example, homicides have been low for some time, a 25-40% increase might be 10 more than 2019.  But put this way, as a greater increase than has been since in 60 years, it sounds like the world is coming to an end.  Which, of course, is Klein’s purpose. But context matters, especially historical context: I'm assuming, arguendo, that these statements are correct. It can certainly be easily researched. But it's telling that Klein rushes breathlessly past his opening “scary statement” to offer his solution to the problem he proposes looms for “liberals.”  The most important part of a problem/solution argument is defining the problem so it is solved by your solution.  Klein can’t offer salvation to “liberals” unless he can first threaten them with damnation.

I suspect as the world rushes back to “normal” crime statistics may take on some resonance among voters. Klein’s examples all focus on mayoral races, where the issue of crime is a perennial one.  Whether it rises above city races to a state, or even national level, is dubious.  The ‘90’s were, as I recall, the era of “wilding” and fears of gangs ravaging white enclaves.  Joe Biden had a problem with that history in the campaign, IIRC.  But the 80’s were preceded by the ‘60’s, with plenty of violence prompted by the civil rights and anti war efforts, which led into the political violence of the ‘70’s, violence we have mostly pushed down the memory hole (Patty Hearst is all we remember now, but she was the least of it).  That led to the violence of the ‘80’s (where it peaked for the most part)  which carried over into the panic of the ‘90’s.

So it took almost three decades for violence to become such a problem it became a key part of national politics.  I don’t think we’re going to return to that situation within 12 months after the pandemic is fully in the rear-view mirror.  But if we don’t have that problem, of what use is Klein’s solution?

The Jr. Senator From Texas Beclowns Himself

Sure ya do, Ace. He really needs to stay off Twitter.

“Kremlin Cruz.” I like it.

Gotta Fight For Your Right…

...to eat raw cookie dough. It’s part of our heritage as free Americans!

Foolatum

"Better'n Socialism!"

I haven't read it yet, but my explanation for all this is:

1) Legislators don't give a shit.

2) We the people shrug and say "Well, better'n socialism!"  Which is what we seem to think all government action is, unless its encouraging business to do business here.

3) No, I don't know how long this lasts before businesses and employees moving here decide it's not such a paradise after all.  I'm always amazed at the shit people will put up with.