Saturday, March 26, 2022

And What Did Congress Do This Week?

Just don’t ask. Greatest deliberative body in the world, y’all. Yeah, our Senate planted that on themselves. There wasn’t a contest. Because the other GOP Senators would take him out behind the gym and pull his underwear over his head.

It’s Still The Same Old Story

Xian nationalism is deeply rooted in liminal exclusion (“Jesus loves me but he can’t stand you.”). Racism is rooted in the same thing, and it’s almost an academic argument which came first, though I give the nod to XN on chronology alone. The damned/saved dichotomy of Xian soteriology was married to government authority long before racism came along. The latter walked pretty much hand in hand with nationalism ab initio, all of it built on who’s in, who’s out.

Structural, not incidental. Feature, not bug. Baked in, not an optional topping. Never forget the Puritans landed on Plymouth Rock with the express purpose of escaping, and staying apart from, everyone Not Their Kind.
Dr. King is clearing his throat significantly offstage in history’s wings.

It’s still the same old story; just without the love and glory.

Another Threat To Democracy?

Or are these people just idiots? It reads like English is their third, or maybe fourth, language. 

And that they just learned how to write. 

And that they know less about the world than a 12 year old.

(Turns out this was taking place at the “home base” of the convoy in D.C./Hagerstown. Figures.)

Friday, March 25, 2022

Don’t Go Fishin’ Where You Don’t Know The Waters

1 and 3 I completely agree with. But 2? No: not even close.

RBG’s opinions were “intellectually rigorous.” Scalia’s opinions were what non-lawyers thought were “intellectually rigorous.” No one who knows anything about the law has ever accused Thomas of knowing enough to be qualified to sit on the highest court in the land. For years he was just Scalia’s lap dog. He hasn’t improved since Scalia passed. His opinions are distinguishable from his wife’s Q-Anon fantasies only in that he’s never made reference to “QFS-BLOCKCHAIN.”
That doesn’t mean he doesn’t know what his wife is texting about.

And while we’re on the subject:
There is a “flag code” in the U.S.Code (federal statutes). But if you hang a raggedy U.S. flag at your house; or leave it out overnight, or drop it in the dirt, no one is going to arrest you.  For the simple reason that the “flag code” has no enforcement provisions.

Any statute can become a criminal statute if you add enforcement provisions (well, there are limits, but for illustrative purposes). Without them, even a law defining murder is toothless.

Would provisions added to 28 U.S.C.sec. 455 giving Congress or an executive agency (I wouldn’t trust a panel of lower court judges) powers of enforcement be found by the Supreme Court to be a violation of separation of powers?

Yeah, probably.

Then what?

The Twitter War

Vietnam was the “television war.” Every night at 5:30 pm CST Walter Cronkite would introduce the reporter narrating the day’s news from Vietnam. Except it was over 24 in the past by then. Film was shot, flown to NYC, processed, edited, and aired a day or two after being made. Every night we caught up with the past.

Now we catch up with Ukraine, mostly because of the time difference, the distance east of us.
Military expert Igor Korotchenko gave a similarly somber analysis, and concluded that it could take decades for Russia to achieve its military objectives in Ukraine.

Playing With My Legal Food

The Constitution does NOT "prohibit discrimination of any kind based on race." The Supreme Court has found that race based policies is a pernicious doctrine (well, kinda sorta; not where the Voting Rights Act is concerned, among other places). For example, government should not be in the position (through the courts) of enforcing racial covenants in deeds to real property. The Court didn't say such covenants violate the Constitution; it just refused to enforce them under the 14th Amendment equal protection clause. "Separate but equal" is unconstitutional, and the Court directed such schools could not continue to exist. Racial covenants in deeds still exist; they just can't be enforced in a court of law.  Yeah, I know, it's a fine point; but it's a critical one.

The Constitution does NOT "prohibit discrimination of any kind based on race."   Here's what the Court wrote in the Loving case about the laws in Virginia which made interracial marriage a crime:

In these cases, involving distinctions not drawn according to race, the Court has merely asked whether there is any rational foundation for the discriminations, and has deferred to the wisdom of the state legislatures. In the case at bar, however, we deal with statutes containing racial classifications, and the fact of equal application does not immunize the statute from the very heavy burden of justification which the Fourteenth Amendment has traditionally required of state statutes drawn according to race.

The decision rests on the equal protection and due process clauses of the 14th Amendment.  But it does not find that those clauses "prohibit discrimination of any kind based on race."  And BONUS!  There was an "original intent" argument (not Scalia's, but near enough for dammit): 

The State argues that statements in the Thirty-ninth Congress about the time of the passage of the Fourteenth Amendment indicate that the Framers did not intend the Amendment to make unconstitutional state miscegenation laws. Many of the statements alluded to by the State concern the debates over the Freedmen's Bureau Bill, which President Johnson vetoed, and the Civil Rights Act of 1866, 14 Stat. 27, enacted over his veto. While these statements have some relevance to the intention of Congress in submitting the Fourteenth Amendment, it must be understood that they pertained to the passage of specific statutes, and not to the broader, organic purpose of a constitutional amendment. As for the various statements directly concerning the Fourteenth Amendment, we have said in connection with a related problem that, although these historical sources "cast some light" they are not sufficient to resolve the problem;

"[a]t best, they are inconclusive. The most avid proponents of the post-War Amendments undoubtedly intended them to remove all legal distinctions among 'all persons born or naturalized in the United States.' Their opponents, just as certainly, were antagonistic to both the letter and the spirit of the Amendments, and wished them to have the most limited effect."

I'll just leave that there as illustrative of the problem of arguing from "original intent."  It's the legal equivalent of Biblical literalism, where the "literal" meaning of the scripture depends on how you interpret the words of the Scripture in question.  (I love to ask literalists if Jesus was "literally" born in Bethlehem because his parents lived there, or because the census forced them to leave Nazareth to go there.  Matthew says the former, Luke says the latter; which is "literally" true?)  So the Virginia statute fell because the law couldn't survive an encounter with an interpretation (!) of the 14th Amendment (just the idea of a "very heavy burden of justification which the Fourteenth Amendment has traditionally required" smacks of policy, n'est pas? I use the vernacular Sen. Kennedy might recognize.)

Sen. Braun, of course, wants to make this an absolute Constitutional issue with which no one could disagree; and in a sense, it is.  But there's nothing in the Constitution, in the "original" or in any of the 25 Amendments, which prohibits discrimination of any kind based on race.

AOC is right, though I don't think anybody is listening; especially the Supreme Court, which seems hell-bound to take us back at least to Lochner, if not all the way back to Plessy.

Free Legal Advice!

I know I said "facts matter," but you do have to have some law to stand on, and I'm pretty sure this suit doesn't. That would be one problem. The other would be complete failure to state a cause of action (i.e., grounds upon which the court could grant relief).  Like Bradley Moss, and for the same reasons, I haven't read the actual complaint: But this is simply gibberish:

"Under the guise of ‘opposition research,’ ‘data analytics,’ and other political stratagems, the Defendants nefariously sought to sway the public’s trust," the lawsuit states. "They worked together with a single, self-serving purpose: to vilify Donald J. Trump. Indeed, their far-reaching conspiracy was designed to cripple Trump’s bid for presidency by fabricating a scandal that would be used to trigger an unfounded federal investigation and ignite a media frenzy."

That's called "life in the big city."  Or in the public eye.  Or just in politics.  Considering what Trump did to Obama, this is simply laughable (and no, what Trump did to Obama is not a legal defense here. I just mean to point out Trump needs to put on his big boy pants.  This suit is embarrassing, and I don't even like the guy.).

This is prompting no small amount of rejoinder on factual grounds, but that's effort wasted here. I expect the defendants to respond (once they are served; this will take a while in Twitter time) with a Motion to Dismiss, mostly for failure to state a cause of action.  Which will be followed by an amended complaint, trying to come up with a cause of action; but if they finally can't (and they can't amend forever promising to come up with one), it gets tossed.  It should result in charging Trump for all defendant's attorneys fees for a frivolous lawsuit, but a) that probably won't happen (it seldom does); b) Trump would never pay it; and c), the defendants would be well off just to get rid of this farce instanter.  Or as soon as the court will, whichever comes first.

In the meantime, Trump may decide he has to join Biden in this lolsuit:

Especially since Trump is the reason Biden decided to run in 2020.  I'm sure somehow that's Hillary's fault.  In the meantime, we can be entertained: It occurs to me there are two ways to get rid of this litigation: 1) move to dismiss based on failure to state a cause of action; 2) ask to take Trump's deposition.  And this is a take: Another reason never to go to Twitter for legal advice.

The Ginni Thomas Text Message Controversy Explained

And about that controversy: But if Congress tries to impose and, more importantly enforce, a code of ethics, that would endanger the independence of the judiciary. Or do the judiciary would insist, and then declare the law unconstitutional. Which, yes, would set up a constitutional crisis. The only oversight allowed is impeachment, and that’s just because it’s already baked into the pie.

And apparently Q-Anon is not a symptom of economic anxiety:
It’s just a symptom of insanity. Seriously. Completely off the planet. And there’s the other problem: However, opinions differ: Which brings back to who watches the watchers? Or more accurately, who watches the unwatchable? Impeachment is the bluntest of blunt instruments. It will never support even an investigation, much less a removal.  Whatever it is, there’s bugger all we can do about it. Yes, we’ll always have that. And Paris. We’ll always have Paris, too.

Russia Isn't Just Running Low On Fuel

Maybe advertising is not such a good idea?

Matt Yglesias Is Out Of His Depth

Yeah, it gets worse from there: A) this is not a "philosophy of language" issue. Not even close. B) it's not even a "dictionary definition" issue. And, as even the Governor of Utah recently noted, it really has bugger all to do with sports: collegiate, public school, or otherwise. Unlike Mr. Yglesias, I'm not willing to give this "argument" any credibility at all. I think, actually, the solution is to dissolve the distinction between "men's sports" and "women's sports." It's a pretty silly dichotomy.  You may cry "But football!"  Well, I'm 6' and well over 200 lbs., but I was never big enough to be a football player (or athletic enough, either).  I know some girls who are.  Size is an issue in all sports; and some of us bow out because of it, and some of us don't.  Jockeys are usually very small, very light people.  Takes all kinds; let it take all kinds. This isn't about "language changing over time," like the transition of "awful" from "Full of awe" (where it began) to its current common meaning. And the "argument" Yglesias quotes in that last tweet is too stupid to respond to. It's not even an argument, it's just gabble. But yeah, being mad about words is juvenile.  Arguing with juvenile people, however, is not necessarily wise and mature.

Now Do Roe/Casey

Or Griswold. Lawrence v. Texas. Obergefell. Mapp v. Ohio. Brown v. Board.  Or even NLRB v Jones: One begins to wonder which "sort of plebiscite" is the one prevailing on the current bench of the highest court in the land.  And which one will they understand prevails from this hearing?

Thursday, March 24, 2022

"Bad" Is When I Don't Like It; "Good" Is When I Do

Because I listened to Sen. Kennedy talk to Judge Jackson about "non-enumerated rights" in the Constitution, by which he plainly meant "abortion” doesn't appear in the Constitution,  and it made me think of a topic Sen. Kennedy didn't touch on (he kept it rather vague altogether).  So let's turn back to the "plain language" of the 4th Amendment:

The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

"Probable cause" is mentioned there; but what is "probable cause"?  As Churchy LaFemme once asked in an aside to his friend Howland Owl:  "What's a "lb."?  How you pronounce it?"  The pronunciation has nothing to do with the spelling; and the definition of "probable cause" has very little to do with its bare mention there in the amendment.  I'll go out on a limb and say, in fact, this is the only time that phrase appears in the Constitution.  So we get no help from the "founding fathers."

And is the way the courts have defined that term over the centuries a matter of policy, or of law?  I ask because part of the conversation (it really was conducted in a rather seemly manner, maybe because "prime time" had come and gone and nobody was gonna play any more clips of this stuff tomorrow) was about whether or not "substantive due process," another phrase that doesn't appear in the Constitution, is policy, or not.

Policy, for the unitiated (into the legal mysteries, I mean), being a field the courts are supposed to leave to Congress.  Just as Congress is supposed to leave the courts to decide how to run themselves (rules of procedure) and how to determine who is guilty of a crime, or should pay up in a civil suit.  Strictly speaking the tradition of British law which prevails in all 50 states (save, somewhat, in Louisiana) allowed courts to make policy through common law, so it's not a bright line distinction.  "Thinkers" (I use the world loosely) like Sen. Kennedy like to pretend it is, but that's part of our discussion now.

Back to the 4th amendment: leave aside the definition/application of "probable cause" for a moment, and focus on the "substantive right" expressed by the Amendment.  It's a right "to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects" against "unreasonable searches and seizures."  This is, in part, where the concept of corporate "personhood" comes in, because you can't seize the papers of a business or a corporation, any more than you can an individuals; not without a properly issued search warrant, anyway.  I want, however, to focus on the enumerated categories there:  persons, houses, papers, and effects.  The first three are fairly identifiable concrete things; the last is a catch-all, so the police can't arbitrarily go through the drawers and cubbies of the roll-top desk I'm sitting at right now, and mess with my pens and watch bands and other non-paper stuff (photographs!) on/in my desk.  But what about telephones?  Can the police tap my phones and listen to my phone conversations?  Why not?  A phone is not my house, my person, or my papers.  Arguably it's an "effects," but how?

That's the point, isn't it?  The court has held that we have a "reasonable expectation of privacy" in our phone conversations.  We also have it in our mail, partly because mail is protected by federal law (stealing mail is a crime, even if it's just a party invitation).  When we send letters (yes, some of us still do!  Some of us still write with fountain pens, too!  Get offa mah lawn!  Damned punks!), we put them in envelopes, address them to a certain person, and expect the mail carrier to take it from us to them.  We also expect no one else to read it along the way, or even when it arrives.  That's the basic idea of "reasonable expectation of privacy" which extended the language of the 4th Amendment to private mail.  The same reasoning easily extends to phone conversations.  Unless the police have a search warrant they shouldn't be reading my mail; unless they have a search warrant, they shouldn't be listening to my phone conversations, either.

This is so expected as a right, a privilege, a protection of our privacy, that we probably think it's a government policy passed by Congress and enforced by criminal sanctions.  Some of it is; some of it isn't. The restraint on government is almost entirely court-created.  Laws may have followed, but the "policy" came from the courts; and their decisions came from interpretation of that language in the 4th Amendment, and the "expectation of privacy" that amendment created.

Now, what about "meta data"?  Everytime you make a phone call, the phone company makes a record.  Sort of like the record of key strokes I'm making on this computer right now:  the data is created in the act of making the phone useful as a phone.  A record is made of what number my phone number called, what time of day the call originated, what time it terminated, and how long the numbers were connected.  This is the data the House committee is seeking from many people right now, regarding Jan. 6th.  Is there a "reasonable expectation of privacy" in that data?

No, says the court.  First, and clearly, it's not your person, house, papers, or effects.  If somebody didn't ask for it, you wouldn't even know it existed.  It's related to your commercial activity (using the phone line you pay for), but it's not your record:  it's the phone company's record.  You don't control it, and you can't control it.  EOD.  

Is that also a "policy" decided by the courts?  Not strictly, no.  But what would be the difference if it were set by Congress as a matter of "public policy"?  None, really; to you or to the law.  So when is the court "setting policy" and when is it simply "applying the law"?  What would it mean to "apply the plain language" of the 4th Amendment to cell phones?  For one thing, it would mean the government could listen to your phone conversations with impunity.  And Congress might decide that's a pretty good thing because, you know:  law enforcement.  If you aren't discussing a crime, what'ya got to hide, right?  And if the government hears somebody discussing a crime, they should stop it, right?  So where's the harm if they listen in?  Or read all your text messages?  Or your e-mails sent from your phone? What, is your phone made of paper?

Tug the thread, the whole tapesty unravels.  And the arguments about "policy" and "legislating from the bench" are pretty much not about those topics at all (did Sen. Kennedy raise these concerns with any of Trump's appointments?).  What the court does is "bad" if I don't like it, "good" if I do.  There's nothing more to it than that.  Even being more polite to her than when he said Judge Jackson was "eloquent," Sen. Kennedy is not making a better argument than he ever has.  But then, most politicians don't make arguments; but judges do.  Judges have to.

What's broken now is Justices who think they don't have to make arguments, they just have to rule.  That is literally power without any accountability.  Because if a Justice doesn't explain their reasoning, they aren't judging, and they aren't living up to their official title.  They're just being the boss.  And that's one step beyond concerns about "making policy" or even being a super-legislature.


Sour 🍇

There’s a definition of crime that I call the “Perry Mason” level. I like "Perry Mason".  I watch the re-runs almost every morning. Yesterday Hamilton Burger stood up in court for the preliminary hearing Perry always wins, and said:”As to motive, your Honor…” That’s a Perry Mason moment. Aficionados of murder mysteries obsess over the motive. Most murder mysteries are built around it. But at law? The law doesn’t give a wet snap for motive.

Which is my way of saying “crime” in the popular parlance (or the court of public opinion) is not the same thing in legal parlance (or the real court, of law).

I’ve known prosecutors. They tend to be very convinced of the righteousness of their prosecutions and the wrongness of the defendants. You may think that is a strength, but I saw it/see it as a weakness.

When I worked for a law firm (I practiced law as a lawyer three years later, for about the same amount of time I worked for the law firm before law school), I quickly learned that while we had to mount a vigorous defense for our clients, we also had to be objective and honest about the facts, as well as the law.  The law as applied in courts is grounded on the facts.  Just as a doctor needs to make the correct diagnosis (consider all the facts) to prescribe the right treatment, a lawyer needs to consider all the facts to provide a proper defense; or to bring a civil action for the plaintiff.  Either way, you may need to convince the court your client is wronged/guiltless, but you never swallow the kool-aid (as the kids say) and convince yourself your client is beyond reproach and would never tell a lie.

Clients lie.  It's a truism of legal practice.  I don't mean they intend to lie.  I mean they just leave certain uncomfortable facts out.  Perry Mason encounters this constantly.  In Act 3, when things look darkest for Perry's client, they reveal some fact that's just come out in court nad weepingly apologize for not being "completely honest."  Perry always expects his clients to be completely honest.  A real trial lawyer knows better.  You never take your client's claims at face value,  You always expect some fact will appear that you were unaware of.  You do your best (discovery in civil cases; Perry relies on Paul Drake) to uncover all the facts you can.  You also know you haven't.  The best civil defense lawyers I knew defended the case against their clients.  They never defended their clients.  It's a fine, but necessary, distinction.  Prosecuting attorneys I knew always prosecuted the suspect.  They didn't just prosecute their case.

Which is not to say I knew all prosecuting attorneys.  But I was stunned how prone the ones I met were to believing with the fervor of a religious convert that they were on the side of God and righteousness, and anyone who came within their ambit was guilty and deserved all the punishment the law allowed, without quarter or qualm.  I worked for lawyers who tried civil cases on the basis that damages were clearly allowed, the only question was:  how much?  Criminal prosecutors seemed to work on the principle that the suspect was guilty, the only question was:  how soon would justice be levied upon them?

The one criminal case I tried was a case where the suspect truly had no defense to the crime.  He was a convicted felon, he'd been stopped for a traffic violation with a shotgun (IIRC) in the package tray (this was in the days before SUV's were ubiquitous).  He was the sole occupant of the car.  That situtation constituted "possession" under the law, even though he swore the gun was not his.  It wasn't, but it didn't matter.  The AUSA trying the case was professional; the other lawyer (who soon became my employer) and I were assigned because we had licenses in Federal District Court.  We were not criminal lawyers, by any stretch.  The AUSA almost gleefully, I thought, presented the evidence to the judge, in a way gauranteed to present our client as a vile transgressor of the law protecting decent citizens from people like him.  It was a bit over the top, in other words.  He knew we had no defense, and we did, too.  But he enjoyed his five minutes of total domination in the courtroom.  He was right, our client was guilty of the crime.  I've known other prosecuting attorneys who couldn't see how the people they charged were not guilty, wouldn't admit for a nanosecond that some other explanation could be given, some defense soundly raised.   You may think that was sheer professionalism, but I knew a lot of civil lawyers who readily admitted their case/defense was imperfect, but still felt it was worth presenting in court because judges and juries and who knows, right?  Those people I was comfortable with.  Criminal prosecutors were always too zealous by half.

Pomerantz, whose legal career ping-ponged between prosecution and defense, mostly for organized crime and “white collar” defense, and who was law partners with Ron Fischetti, another major player in that sphere, who now represents the target of Pomerantz’s certainty, calls the failure to indict Trump a “failure of justice.” And so many want so much to believe he’s right.

Mr. Pomerantz’s Feb. 23 letter, obtained by The New York Times, offers a personal account of his decision to resign and for the first time states explicitly his belief that the office could have convicted the former president. Mr. Bragg’s decision was “contrary to the public interest,” he wrote.

Newly-elected New York County District Attorney Alvin Bragg is certainly no friend of Trumps, but he’s also no friend of being the first and only district attorney to prosecute a former president, particularly one as nefariously venal as Trump, and he doesn’t want to lose. Something about “killing the king,” perhaps, but more likely about the efficacy of his office and legacy. Being the prosecutor who took down Trump would be one thing. Being the prosecutor who lost to Trump would be another. Either way, you make the history books.

“The team that has been investigating Mr. Trump harbors no doubt about whether he committed crimes — he did,” Mr. Pomerantz wrote.

This is a cheap thing to say. Who cares that the team harbors no doubt? They aren’t the jury. They can believe with all their heart and all their soul and all their might, but that doesn’t mean the jury will do the same, particularly since their beliefs are grounded in their view of the evidence before Ron Fischetti shreds their witnesses on cross.

And then there’s the problem of the team having lost its non-believers. It’s akin to people who say “everybody I know agrees with me,” which reflects more about who they know than about what they believe.

As of late December, the team investigating Mr. Trump was mostly united around Mr. Vance’s decision to pursue charges — but that had not always been the case, The Times reported this month. Last year, three career prosecutors in the district attorney’s office opted to leave the team, uncomfortable with the speed at which it was proceeding and with what they believed were gaps in the evidence.
There are two ways to make the prosecutorial team unified in their position on the evidence. Get good evidence or get rid of prosecutors who question whether the evidence is sufficient. Here, the disbelievers bailed. So while Pomerantz may well be right that the current team is all on board, it’s not because the team didn’t once include doubters, but because the doubters have since left the team.

For many, the notion that Trump is dirty is beyond question, and he may well be. It would surprise no one familiar with Trump and his business shenanigans from before his pulling off the wildest election stunt imaginable to learn that the shameless miscreant was also a criminal. But that requires evidence that proves each element of a crime beyond a reasonable doubt. Did the district attorney’s team have the goods? Pomerantz says so. So what?

The court of public opinion will say what it wants to say, and will whine again that "justice" is not being done because....well, because "LOCK HIM UP!"  Remember when that was an appalling thing to say?  Now former Harvard Law professors are saying it and we're supposed to say "THAT'S RIGHT!" Well, no, it's not right, and you don't have to be Alan Dershowitz-sympathetic to say so.  Actually, to me all of this comes down to a disgruntled employee making a lot of noise on his way out the door.  As Greenfield says in response to a comment on his blog, Pomerantz wrote this letter for publication (and probably made sure it reached NYT and other news outlets).  Frankly, that borders on unethical, to me.  No really a violation of legal ethics, but pretty sleazy practice to claim you coulda won the case if your hands hadn't been tied.  Sour grapes, if you ask me.

We don't need any more of that injected into the public discussion.  Becoming ever more like Trump is not the way to repudiate Trump. I mean, Trump himself could have written this caption, just by changing the reference to "Crooked Hillary":

And claiming "Democracy is under threat" doesn't sanctify it, or even sanitize it.  We can do better than this.

"Let Them Fight"

Also, too, as well: Now back to our thesis: First: Schumer and that activity? Seriously?   Schumer?  Chuck Schumer?  He couldn't strike a spark in a match factory.

Second: stop them? 

a) how? Ball gags? Removal instanter from the hearing room? Tar and feathers for those who don't go of their own volition? 

b) given nobody except Twitter obsessives is even paying attention, who cares? 

c) why would you want to stop someone who is hitting themselves in the face? This is the GOP Presidential bench. Let them fight. Hell, it's entertainment (again, for those of us actually paying attention) that they think this is a winning issue.
Except when you're down to trying to get a Supreme Court Nominee to define "woman" in a way that won't offend the delicate shell-likes of the "good Americans" in Peoria.  Then it's just sad; for them, I mean.

When Russia Fails

Or this is why: Or even this:
“Their equipment sucked,” says Milton Bearden, CIA station chief in Pakistan during the most vigorous chapters of the agency’s proxy war against Soviet forces in Afghanistan in the mid-to-late 1980s.

The Red Army’s medical kits included glass bottles that might have been holdovers from World War Two, Bearden told SpyTalk, instead of the plastic vials in use by American and other contemporary military services. Kits captured by the Afghan guerrillas “were bags of broken glass and liquid,” he said. “They could get a rocket going, but they couldn't make a ballpoint pen. That little ball bearing at the end of the pen? They couldn’t make those.”

Bearden, a highly decorated officer who retired in 1994 after 30 years and heading the Soviet/East European Division, says his cables back to headquarters increasingly describing Russian forces as a “third world army” were met with disbelief.

“The Soviet analysis people just went up in the air,” he recalled in an interview. “They said, ‘This is bullshit. You guys are making this shit up. It can't be.’” The war ended with the Red Army’s retreat from Afghanistan in 1989.

Sound familiar?  Even now analysts and pundits can't quite imagine Russia will not prevail in Ukraine.  But we couldn't prevail in Iraq, much less Afghanistan.  Why?  Because we refused to bomb cities into rubble?  We did it in WWII.  Because we weren't as brutal as Putin? Or, more likely, because controlling people who don't want to be controlled by you is harder now than it was 100 years or so ago.  Afghanistan has resisted colonization for centuries, but Iraq?  Russia cannot simply occupy Ukraine; the Ukrainians won't allow it.  Russia could no more do that than NATO could.  But Russia has the added infirmity of having a "third-world army."

“Basically, it’s a shitshow here, I’ll put it that way,” an unnamed soldier near Mykolaiv in southern Ukraine can be heard telling a colleague in a recording released by Ukraine’s Security Service late Tuesday.

After telling his friend that Ukrainian forces “tore apart” a column of Russian forces sent along with his own unit, he described complete disarray among the Russian military, with 50 percent of the unit suffering from frostbite on their feet.

“But they don’t plan to treat them in the [field] hospital,” he said.

On the fourth day of their deployment, he said, the general commanding the unit, General-Lieutenant Yakov Rezantsev, told them it’d be over quickly.

“Do you know what he told us? ‘It’s no secret to anyone that there are only a few hours until this special operation is over.’ And now those hours are still going.”

He said soldiers are complaining about having Kevlar vests that lack the hard-armor panel, but they are ignored.

“‘Comrade General, damn it, I have this situation,’” he recalled troops telling their leader. “And he just says, ‘Son, be strong,’ and then he fucks off. It’s such trash here… our own plane dropped a bomb on us,” he said.

“They couldn’t even send off the 200s here,” he said, using a Russian military term for dead bodies. “They rode with us for five days.”

“Even in Chechnya, there was nothing like this,” he said, describing the situation as a “madhouse.”

“This ‘special operation,’ damnit… with respect to homes not meant to be destroyed… it’s bullshit.” 

Belarus wants to help Russia; at least the leader of Belarus does.  The people of Belarus have other plans: 

Yeah, somewhere between 4000: And over 15000. I understand the "fog of war" when it comes to numbers; but I also think some analysts can't yet believe the Russian army is this bad.  So I tend to go with the over, rather than the under.  Either way, it's a disaster for Russia; one they entirely brought upon themselves.  The problem for Putin after this is not whether he maintains power in Russia; it's how he maintains any power outside of Russia.  There are entire countries, not just pundits and poohbahs on Twitter, paying attention to this.  They are not seeing the Russian bear, or even the Russian bear cub.  They are seeing a pathetic old man, clinging to his memories of glory.  This war is going to have far more serious repercussions than whether or not Putin reaches for the nukes (spoiler:  he won't).  And that's where the real problems begin.

Coming in late last night:
And early this morning: How 'bout that.

"The First Shall Be Last, And The Last First"

Again, Ukraine at the moment is illustrative of true madness, v. the manufactured kind ginned up by Donald Trump & Co.

That should be the lesson for all of us.

Wednesday, March 23, 2022

Either "Good Faith" Prevails

Or we all descend into children throwing fits for the benefit of our "supporters". What Durbin did is not this: What Sen. Leahy did is the right response (too, also, as well): Again, the situation in Ukraine has changed the context of the discussion. The President of Ukraine is acting like a leader representing the best interests of the people of his country. Those people are fighting, valiantly, for their lives, liberties, and the right of self-determination. Hissy fits by sitting Senators does not elevate them to heroes on the international stage, or even on the national stage. Let them pout like spoiled children. Let them storm out the room because they don't get their way.  It's a represntative government, and some of our fellow citizens are petulant children, too.  Move on.  Sens. Durbin and Leahy aren't trying to have "dialogue" with the antics of Graham or Hawley or Cruz.  But we don't have to mimic the behavior of children either.  That doesn't defeat them; that let's them win.

Absolutely Nothing At All

We all inevitably become who we are, whether we deserve it or not. Pretty much the only lesson here.

About "Legislating From The Bench"

(And please don't compare this to Bush v. Gore. That was a per curiam opinion of the Court interpreting the Electoral Vote Count Act as establishing a deadline the Florida recount would necessarily roll past.  The Court found the deadline wouldn't allow that breach.  This is a sotto voce decision changing substantive law without attribution or even a published opinion, based solely on "We're the Supreme Court, Bitches!" Which is the entire problem with the Court now. Being a "third branch" of government, it has decided it is accountable to no one, not even posterity, and it need leave no mark. My biggest complaint with Bush v. Gore was that it was per curiam and tried to remove itself from the line of precedential cases (i.e., stare decisis). Without even a published opinion in this redistricting case there is no explanation, no justification, no possible interpretation to guide future cases. Just: "We're the Supreme Court, and we say so!" This is so, so much worse.) We don' need no steenken' 15th Amendment!

In A Grain Of Sand

Except Scalia, as usual, is not saying what his supporters think he's saying. He's not even saying what Scalia seems to think he's saying.

The emptiness of the argument starts with the canard of the Senate being "the world's greatest deliberative body."  "World's Greatest" is a particularly American presumption.  I used to read a Batman/Superman joint adventures comic called "World's Finest."  Sure.  I think Marvel used to call it's Fantastic Four "The World's Greatest Comic Magazine."  Baseball, of course, has the "World Series," even though nobody is elgible for it outside America except Canada, and the title precedes Canadian baseball.

But I digress.

So Scalia writes:

If, indeed, the "liberties" protected by the Constitution are, as the Court says, undefined and unbounded, then the people should demonstrate, to protest that we do not implement their values instead of our's. Not only that, but confirmation hearings for new Justices should deteriorate into question-and-answer sessions in which Senators go through a list of their constituents' most favored and most disfavored alleged constitutional rights, and seek the nominee's commitment to support or oppose them. Value judgments, after all, should be voted on, not dictated; and if our Constitution has somehow accidently committed them to the Supreme Court, at least we can have a sort of plebiscite each time a new nominee to that body is put forward.

I love the idea of a "sort of plebiscite."  Here's how that "sort of plebiscite" is going:

Oh, no, that one is very important to the "plebiscite." Sen. Cotton was asking about criminal sentences, something that is established by statute, not court rulings. But, back to the "plebiscite": It works: I'm sure this is what Justice Scalia had in mind, no? Precisely what "disfavored alleged constitutional right" Sen. Kennedy's constitutents are seeing raised here is an open question. Or maybe it isn't.

As for the people demonstrating so that the Court implements "their" values instead of the Justices', where then stands abortion?  Is there a clamor in the country to undo Casey and Wade, Griswold and Brown, to roll the clock back entire to Lochner? Or is this how the "plebiscite" works?
Is this the "plebiscite" Justice Scalia imagined? He liked that so much he did it again. Or maybe this is that "instructive" "plebiscite":


"You said, 'the obvious increased risk of harm that the COVID-19 pandemic poses to individuals who have been detained in the districts congressional facilities reasonably suggests that each and every — and I think that means everyone — every defendant who is currently in the D.C. Department of Corrections custody and who thus cannot take independent measures to control their own hygiene and distance themselves from others should be released,'" said Tillis. "I voted and supported the FIRST STEP Act. I ... did the Justice Reinvestment Act, early release of nonviolent prisoners. But how can I not read this to say that perhaps they should be released irrespective of the crime for which they have been charged?"

"Senator, if you read two more sentences down, that is precisely what I focus on," said Jackson. "This is a case, United States v. Wiggins, where I was setting up high analysis as to why I would not be releasing Mr. Wiggins in this case. He was arguing essentially what I said in that statement. He was arguing that the circumstances of COVID-19, which at that point, was rampant in the prisons. We had not had a vaccine, there were very difficult circumstances for prisoners who could not be separated from each other in the context of our jail. And as I say at the beginning of that opinion, at that point, COVID was ravaging the jail. The question for courts under the statute that Congress has enacted for compassionate release was whether COVID-19, a pandemic in the jail, was an extraordinary and exceptional circumstance or extraordinary and compelling circumstances that should warrant release."

"What I said in that statement that you read was, it would seem as though something like a deadly pandemic rampant in the jails would justify releasing everyone, but, I go on to say in that very opinion, Congress has indicated that we have to take each case individually. We have to look at the harm to the community that might be caused by the release of individual people. We cannot just release everybody, I said in that opinion."

Quite a plebiscite, indeed.

But if Supreme Court Justices should be political actors:

Not only that, but confirmation hearings for new Justices should deteriorate into question-and-answer sessions in which Senators go through a list of their constituents' most favored and most disfavored alleged constitutional rights, and seek the nominee's commitment to support or oppose them. 

(I don't know how else to interpret that statement), then this is okay, I guess?
Justice Scalia was free to play with vague and glittering generalities in the ivory tower of employment for life with no possibility of being fired or even forced to retire. The rest of us have to deal with the world as it is, not as our political theories imagine it will be.