Thursday, November 07, 2019

Uh...no.


I expected this with today's news that Bloomberg was filing to run in Alabama.  But we're still months away from Iowa, and this still means nothing.

Steyer has poured his own money into four states, and raised awareness of his name. Can he do the same in all 50 states? Texas, one of the most expensive states around for ad buys?  (It's a big state with several media markets.  California is the best comparison; no other state has so many large cities, or so much rural area.)  Most politicians come to Texas for money. Steyer would be coming to spend it.  And Texas is part of Super Tuesday.  He has to survive that, and then it's on to California.

Bloomberg faces the same hurdle, and he wants to leap-frog New Hampshire and Iowa.  How popular to you think Mike Bloomberg is in Alabama?

The leading candidates are the ones you hear about.  The correlation between state polls outside Iowa and New Hampshire, according to Nate Silver, is nearly exact.  There's little distinction between them.  Steyer isn't on the radar by that count, and Bloomberg?

It is to laugh.  Aside from the fact we get to test the popularity of billionaires with the Democratic primary voters:


I wanna see Bloomberg and Steyer go Bill Gates on Elizabeth Warren.  That should win them a state or two!

Yeah, right.
That's more like it.

Memory serves, from a time when Rick Wilson was still in short pants (!), that John Connolly had a shit-ton of money from donors and was sure to win the GOP nomination.  He arrived at the convention with all that money and 1 delegate.  1.  Connolly was not that popular outside of Texas, and probably tainted from his association with JFK (not the assassination, just from being associated with JFK.  The GOP crazy started much earlier than Newt Gingrich.).  Money can't buy you love; or a major party nomination.  Steyer and Bloomberg are going to learn that.

And, of course, the narrative is all:
Besides, I have to ask:
What GOP party leadership stopped Trump?  Eh?

Inquiring minds want to know.

Adding:  This certainly makes more sense than running for a nomination:

 


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