Tuesday, June 02, 2026

I Know NOTHING About Senate Reconciliation Rules

A few updates just now from Thune:

—When asked if they’d be risking a Trump veto if they address the weaponization fund in the bill itself, Thune says yes

—“To be determined” whether reconciliation could still move forward this week. “We’ll know by tomorrow.”

—“Still sorting through” whether DOJ statement is enough to satisfy enough R’s, but “the message we’re getting” is that more clarity is needed from WH.

—When he said he wanted to return to “original intent” of reconciliation (ICE/CBP), Thune said that includes scrapping the pot of DOJ funding in the bill.
So I’m dubious any language about the slush fund or the IRS amnesty will make it through reconciliation. And as it would take 60 votes to pass without reconciliation, that would only require a handful of GOP Senators to put their money where their mouth is.
 
Or maybe there aren’t 14 GOP senators who would vote for it (I’m discounting Fetterman), in which case we should find out who they are.

The courts can’t end this, but they can slow it down. I don’t expect the courts cases 
to be resolved before January. The almost inevitable new Congress can deal with it decisively in 2027. The way things are going, I’m beginning to believe Trump could be the first President removed from office by impeachment, and this slush fund could be one if many reasons why.

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