I don’t think that many of the vaccinated are that political (or, clearly, don’t spend their time in Facebook or FoxNews). I also still don’t see any real evidence of a sea change in GOP opinion on vaccinations.I know WaPo said it; but I think they’re way out over their skis on this one. And Silver assumes most people are as rational as he is. You would expect that when it comes to health matters, but it clearly ain’t so. But the whole analysis rests on WaPo and the number of vaccinated in America.I don't think this is that complicated.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 21, 2021
The vaccinated are a supermajority of voters, they have every reason to be highly annoyed with the unvaccinated and the people who abet them, and the Delta variant makes it more likely this will still be a salient issue by November 2022. https://t.co/sZBeblCzSO
For as much as we're a hopelessly polarized country, ~70% of adults (and I'd guess more like ~75% of likely voters) are already at least partly vaccinated. It's hard to get 70-75% of the country to agree on anything!
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 21, 2021
Highest number I’ve heard repeated over and over is circa 52%. I don’t know where his numbers are coming from, but only about 50% of Texans have at least one shot, and Texas is the most populous state in the south. Almost all the other southern states are barely at 50%, if that. I don’t see how you get to 70% nationwide with so many states well below that number (and Texas second most populous).
Somebody has reliable data; but I’m not sure it’s us.
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