As Biden said:Sick with Covid and abandoned by allies, Biden is fuming at his beach house, resentful of what he sees as an orchestrated campaign to drive him out and bitter toward some he once considered close, including Obama. @shearm @katierogers https://t.co/BTFCA47hYk
— Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) July 19, 2024
“Don’t believe everything you see in the press.”For all the talk about Donald Trump’s “new tone” last night, I thought it served as a good reminder: Don’t believe everything you see in the press. pic.twitter.com/jw5tMxA7oS
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) July 19, 2024
And that wouldn’t be a “coronation”? It sure wouldn’t be an open convention.If Biden drops out, Lofgren says "I don't think we can do a coronation" and says she supports "a mini-primary" including possibly "a vetting hosted by former presidents, including Obama and Clinton." pic.twitter.com/We4ikbHu1j
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) July 19, 2024
Dems in D.C.: “So let’s make it worse!”"I think Biden's chances are bad, and here is why" is completely reasonable. "Polls say Biden can't win" is just not true.
— Noah Berlatsky (@nberlat) July 19, 2024
You can blindly trust polls! Polls are sciencey!”)The problem is that this makes Biden's situation appear more perilous. Why are his approval ratings so much lower than Bush and Obama's were with better fundamentals?
— Stephen Robinson (@SER1897) July 19, 2024
And if approval ratings don't matter or polls don't matter, then we are just moving forward on blind faith.
I think one of the problems here is the misidentification of "data" with reliable information. The quality of data in opinion polling is anything but reliable information because of the number of ways everyone from those collecting the data and those who give it make it unreliable to those who are analyzing it. The faith that even supposedly sophisticated people have in anything that gets called "data" is just one of the latest proofs that secularism in an age of scientism generates even less sophisticated concepts about the validity of anything posing as science.
ReplyDeleteI have no idea what's going to happen in November or January and I don't think anyone relying on polls has any better idea. If they were playing up the danger that we can be certain Trump is to Women, Black People, Latinos, every other group except rich, white neo-fascist males, Democrats would have the election sewn up. If I were Biden and Harris, I'd be flooding the media with that message, Democrats should spend a month doing that and see what happens to donations and poll numbers. As it is the "dump Biden" idiots are the ones recapitulating a sure loser because they can be sure that the mass media will play the same role in getting Trump back in office as the media did in 1968.