Showing posts sorted by date for query goldwater. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query goldwater. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Wednesday, May 27, 2026

It’s Not The System …

It's the voters. Well, you could argue a primary vote in March, with a runoff 2 months later, is a system problem. But Talarico won the Democratic nomination with 1.2 million votes. Neither Paxton nor Cornyn cracked 1 million in the primaries or the runoff. GOP voters just didn’t turn out; and primaries are always about the most motivated voters. In Texas, though nobody outside Texas has noticed, that included lots of ads (even Cornyn did it) about how the candidate would never allow elephants ๐Ÿ˜  Sharia law to plague Texas. A lot of those candidates won nominations for state offices last night.

Honestly, I’m starting to be nostalgic for the smoke filled rooms. A lot of the “reformer” energy that led to 50 primaries/caucuses, came from the left starting in the ‘60’s. Mostly because the “old men” were running everything, keeping the war alive and blocking the Civil Rights movement. (LBJ died aged 65. He was an “old man” in 1973. What a difference 53 years makes.)  The simple fact is, we’d have never had Trump under the party system that gave us LBJ or Nixon. (It was the GOP that pushed Nixon out two years after the greatest landslide victory in American history.) But the pressure for reform from the GOP side, angry with the trouncing of Goldwater, worked hard to get us precisely here.

Plenty of blame about the “system” to go around.

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

And There Our Troubles Began…Anew….

 Speaking of history….

I stumbled across a Netflix documentary on the “debates” between William F. Buckley and Gore Vidal in 1968.  I remember this as an historical matter, not because I was keenly watching third-rated ABC News coverage of the 1968 conventions when I was 13. The background is, ABC needed to generate a reason for people to watch their coverage of the conventions, and Buckley had established himself as a TeeVee presence on PBS with “Firing Line.” ABC needed someone for Buckley to respond to, and asked him for suggestions. Buckley responded, basically: anybody but Gore Vidal. So ABC responded, quite appropriately: “Let’s get Gore Vidal.” And they did.

And invented the television we now all know and… love?

The advocates of Buckley insist he was the greatest debater of his time. Which makes me more and more dismissive of the concept of debate. James Talarico and Pete Buttigieg are excellent champions of their point of view, because they are very persuasive. Debate is not about persuasion, it’s about scoring points and appealing to the mob, usually via ad hominem. It’s about clever retort, not reasoning; and it’s about having about half the audience on your side before you start. It can work, in limited circumstances, but it usually doesn’t. It just sets everything in quick drying cement. Talarico or Buttigieg leave you thinking. Buckley just left you annoyed or, if you already agreed with him, impressed with his arrogance.

Buckley basically had a position, and insisted against the world and all comers, that his was the correct position. He hated the civil rights movement, (the documentary is about 1968, and I’m no Buckley scholar), probably hated the women’s liberation movement, certainly hated the gay rights movement (in anger at being called a “crypto-Nazi” by Vidal on camera, Buckley calls Vidal a “queer.” And there our media troubles began.), and generally had little regard for anyone who wasn’t an ultramontane Catholic. (I’m sure Leo has Buckley rolling in his grave.)  He actually said once that his purpose was to stand athwart history and yell “STOP!” If that isn’t fascistic, I honestly don’t know what is.

He was not a persuader, in other words. Talarico’s opponents fear him precisely because he is so persuasive. Reason actually is persuasion, when wielded correctly. Buckley never sought to persuade. Buckley merely insisted. His reasoning was, his opinions were right, and that was the end of it.

Vidal, in his own words (in the documentary), was an analyst of power. He thought people weren’t driven by sexual appetite or desire, but by the desire for power. It’s how he explained his thesis in Myra Breckenridge. A book, by the way, Buckley wrote about reading, but dismissed it out of hand. Not after a careful analysis, but just as a matter of personal distaste and a personal refusal to accept that such ideas could even exist in the world.* (There are noxious ideas that shouldn’t exist, but they do. Racism, for example. But if you think you can banish it, you actually just make it harder to recognize. Ideas can’t be killed, or banished.) For Buckley the personal was not just political, it was the only reality. As he thought, so should we all think; and if we didn’t, well, more fool us. In Buckley’s view, as is apparent from his “review” of Vidal’s most famous book, all ideas Buckley rejected should be expunged from the world, as evil. Not just bad or disappointing; actually evil. It is, ironically, a very Manichean vision. (His brother appears in the do, and argues, bizarrely, that more overt racist contemporaries of Bill were “gnostic” in their conservatism.) Vidal’s arguments about the nature, and importance, of power, make a great deal more sense. I don’t mean they are ultimately persuasive, or that Vidal is impressive as a thinker. But Vidal has ideas: Buckley just has a position.

Buckley is largely forgotten these days. His show has been resurrected by Margaret Hoover, who does a much better job being reasonable and seeking insight, than Buckley ever did. He has, like Barry Goldwater, vanished into history; which is ironic because, as the documentary notes, the fall of Goldwater spurred the reactionary movement in American politics which is always present, if sometimes moribund, and has produced the present moment (which is prompting the counter-counterrevolution; but, ‘twas ever thus.). His debates with Vidal really did create the modern media culture Twitter knows and loves to hate (what would we do without CNN’s panel “discussions” to complain about?). Especially because they weren’t debates. But then, we don’t really want those. Exchanges of ideas aimed at achieving some kind of consensus are… dull television. ๐Ÿ“บ  And, according to Twitter, shouldn’t even be a part of our politics.

But then, unsocial media is a product of the Buckley-Vidal debates, too.


*Buckley could have been insightful and countered the ideas he disliked in the book. Instead, he just discards it. It was, at the time, a very popular book. Telling people they shouldn’t accept its existence, is hardly an argument, much less a debating strategy, for why they should reject it. But Buckley’s “method” was:,if he couldn’t accept it, it was rejected, no further explanation necessary. This is what passed for intelligent debate. Buckley’s supporters didn’t want to listen to Vidal. They didn’t see any reason to bother. This, too, is as American as cherry pie.

Sunday, April 12, 2026

Now They’re Just Fucking With Us

We can’t even win the propaganda wars. We left town. The nearest historical analog I can come up with are the Paris Peace Talks.  And those lasted five years, even though they ended with the U.S. just walking away after 5 more years of useless war. This fiasco is the cherry on the shitcake of this entire effort. Trump said recently that NATO is a paper tiger. The paper tiger is us. The “superpowers” are not super. Ukraine is turning the tide on Russia. Iran stood us down, and now we’ve pissed ourselves and gone home rather than just change our pants. And what’s our alternative? More useless bombing? More Tomahawks fired, at the cost of $1 million apiece? More depletion of our stockpile that made us Master of the Universe? A naval blockade of the naval blockade?

Trump is not the cause of our national failures, Trump is the culmination. He is not destroying our democracy single-handedly; this is what we’ve been working on since LBJ defeated Goldwater. 

and what i
want to know is
how do you like your blue-eyed boy
Mister Death

Saturday, October 04, 2025

It’s Even Plain To NBC News …

 …why “bi-partisanship” in D.C. isn’t alive and well:

House Republicans have undermined the bipartisan path for years by slamming the resulting deals as “swamp” creations by a “uniparty” that is addicted to spending. Now, GOP lawmakers in both chambers are going it alone, suggesting they’ll bring more rescissions packages to undo past bipartisan spending agreements because the existing process is failing.
The arsonists are trying to claim the benefits of burning it all down.
The appropriations process has to be less bipartisan,” Vought told reporters at a Christian Science Monitor breakfast Thursday. “It’s not going to keep me up at night, and I think will lead to better results, by having the appropriations process be a little bit partisan.”

He added that more rescission packages would be coming.

The backlash was fierce. Senate Republicans responsible for crafting the government funding bills were taken aback by his candor.
Taken aback at Vought saying the quiet part out loud, that is. I mean, when the fundamental work of Congress needs to be “less bipartisan,” that’s damning the very concept of a democratic republic. And when even Mitch McConnell thinks there’s a problem:
“The one thing we all agree on is the appropriations process is broken,” former Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., lamented, describing how during his 18 years leading the GOP conference he helped oversee a shift away from government funding levels being decided by committees and instead being negotiated by only the highest levels of leadership and the White House.

“I concluded our failure to pass our bills empower every president, regardless of party, because I’ve been in those discussions at the end, the big four and the guy with the pen, and that makes all of our requests irrelevant,” McConnell said.
One has to wonder why the Democrats are so intransigent. ๐Ÿคจ
Rising partisanship has weakened committees broadly and placed more power in the hands of leadership. In the context of government funding, that led to “omnibus” spending bills and continuing resolutions — or CRs — negotiated by party leaders and jammed through Congress, often with an impending deadline to pressure holdouts to fall in line quickly.

But House Republicans raised hell, torching the massive bills negotiated behind closed doors as a betrayal to their constituents. In recent years, they have successfully steered their leadership away from that approach. And it leaves few options going forward.
This goes back to the Gingrich era, when he decided government shutdowns were a valid GOP tool. They’ve never proven to be, but the GOP keeps swinging that hammer and hitting themselves in the head. The logical conclusion of that analogy explains why they keep doing it without learning from the experience.

It also illustrates that the problem of “partisanship” (which is not a problem in a democratic society. Intransigence is.) in D.C. all flows from one side. And I continue to insist this latest iteration predates Gingrich’s speakership by 3 decades. It springs from the failure of Goldwater against LBJ in ‘64, and the refusal of Goldwater supporters (the ideological ancestors of Vought and Miller and Kirk) to accept that electoral landslide result. The serious partisanship has come from one side, opposing the Civil Rights Act and the Great Society legislation and everything that sprang from that. The GOP wants to rollback everything government has done since at least FDR, if not back to the 19th century.

But, you know, Democrats really should be less intractable… ๐Ÿคฆ‍♂️

Thursday, September 11, 2025

“A Complete Alternate Universe”

Well, of course:
"Before we begin, let me express the horror and grief so many Americans at the heinous assassination of Charlie Kirk have felt," Trump said at a Pentagon event on Thursday. "Charlie was a giant of his generation, a champion of liberty, and an inspiration to millions and millions of people."

"We miss him greatly, yet I have no doubt that Charlie's voice and the courage he put into the hearts of countless people, especially young people, will live on," he continued. "I'm pleased to announce that I will soon be awarding Charlie Kirk posthumously the Presidential Medal of Freedom."
"Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice.”—Barry Goldwater 
ETTD. And no, I don’t mean Charlie Kirk.

Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Jules Verne Was Less Of A Fantasist

 Speaking of the latest concern about erasing history:

Polarization is Trump's super power. It is how he has accrued power since 2017. It is what he has built undying loyalty on.

Anyone who ignores that is not proposing solutions.

Hell, the notion we should retain two poles is part of the problem.
First, Trump doesn’t have a superpower. He’s the temporally local product of 60 years of unstinting effort to resurrect and put back in place a pre-war (WWII, which did more than change just the political culture of Europe) American political model.

Trump, IOW, is as American as racism and xenophobia. He’s the regression to the mean, in both senses of that word. And polarization is as American as America itself.
“They serve to organize faction, to give it an artificial and extraordinary force; to put, in the place of the delegated will of the nation the will of a party, often a small but artful and enterprising minority of the community,” he said in his Farewell Address. “They are likely, in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterward the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion.”
Washington’s famous Farewell Address, in 1796. In the campaign of 1796:
On October 1796, a mysterious editorial from a writer named Phocion appeared in the Gazette of the United States, a popular Federalist newspaper in Philadelphia. Phocion said, in terms understood by most readers, that presidential candidate Jefferson was having an affair with one of his female slaves. Phocion also accused Jefferson of running away from British troops during the Revolution, unlike his brave friend Alexander Hamilton. Phocion also paid compliment after compliment to Adams and claimed Jefferson would emancipate all slaves if he were elected president.

Jefferson’s folks had been using their own strong campaign tactics in the fight against Adams. Adams was accused of wanting to be a king and starting a dynasty by having his son succeed him as President. He was also accused of being overweight and given the nickname “His Rotundity.”

...

The bitterness and rivalries seen in the partisan 1796 campaign got worse in the 1800 rematch between Adams and Jefferson. At one point in that race, Jefferson’s supporter, notorious pamphleteer James Calendar, claimed that Adams was a hermaphrodite, while Adams’ people said Jefferson would openly promote prostitution, incest, and adultery. That 1800 race ended in a tie fueled by deeply partisan tactics and more plotting by Adams, Hamilton, Jefferson, and Burr. Jefferson was chosen over Burr in the House runoff election after Hamilton decided to support the man he once railed against as Phocion.
70 years later Verne’s fictional world traveler would cross the American West and find himself in the middle of a riot in a small town there. Except it wasn’t a riot, it was an election campaign, for the town dogcatcher. Verne’s traveler was a Frenchman’s idea of an Englishman. I’ve often wondered how much of that scene was based on Verne’s experience, and whether he just read Dickens’s American Notes.

Walt Kelly, who chronicled the polarizing era of Tailgunner Joe, reported an earlier time when his side won a Presidential election. As he and his friends rejoiced at a bar, a partisan old woman cursed them out. Her parting shot was: “You bastards are bastards!”

Don’t get me started on the ‘60’s and Vietnam and civil rights. Contrary to the canonization of MLK, Jr., he was not universally revered in life. He was actually a very polarizing figure.

FDR polarized the supporters of Goldwater so strongly they gave us the GOP of today. (In his impact on government and daily life, LBJ mirrored FDR. FDR gave us Social Security and the Pentagon. LBJ gave us Medicare, Medicaid, the Civil Rights and Voting Rights Acts, PBS, HEW, rural electrification, and on and on.)

Polarization is pretty much how American politics operates. Will Rogers famously noted he didn’t belong to an organized political party, because he was a Democrat. The Democratic Party traces its history back to Jefferson. The GOP traces back to Lincoln.

There’s something of a lesson there, too.

Sunday, August 10, 2025

It’s Not A Mystery ๐ŸงŸ‍♂️

What happened to the GOP is that Goldwater lost to LBJ; and the arch-conservatives who saw Goldwater as their avatar started working on Project 2025. Not literally, but their own version of how things ought to be. Their next avatar was Newt Gingrich, and the wholly Astro-turfed “grassroots” Tea Party, which they treated as useful idiots and discarded as soon as the Tea Party became useless.

Not at all unlike MAGA.

Trump didn’t do a damned thing to the GOP. He’s not that smart, ambitious, cunning (feral or otherwise), or strategic. The GOP was hollowed out after the Tea Party and W and Cheney/Rumsfeld got through with it. That and decades of Chicago school of economics bullshit about the cause of inflation (Reagan didn’t lower government spending, as Friedman preached; Volcker raised interest rates to over 20% and strangled inflation out of the economy) and how government should be “run like a business.” Like Trump’s businesses? Or Elmo’s?

That argument, of course, is why NWS is rehiring 450 employees laid off by DOGE, and why Pantex had to rehire everyone to keep watch on nuclear fuel and processed nuclear waste in America. Because businesses don’t do that shit; governments do.

Trump and Project 2025 are nothing more than where the GOP has been driving the country since at least 1964. Some in the GOP don’t like that reality, because the party finally caught the car they were chasing. And it’s a bus full of zombies hungry to destroy brains.

Some of us can’t but say we told you so. And welcome to the resistance.

Friday, November 01, 2024

Signs And Portents And Voting Trends

"Early vote records have been shattered not only in Georgia and other presidential battlegrounds such as North Carolina but even in states without major contests on the ballot like New Jersey and Louisiana," said the report. Part of the reason for the shift is that "During the pandemic in 2020, then-President Donald Trump railed against early voting and mail voting, claiming they were part of a plot to steal the election from him. In 2022, after falsely blaming his 2020 loss on early voting, he kept at it" — but this time, Trump and the GOP have made an aggressive push for people to vote early.
Or, considering Trump’s push to early voting came after early voting had started, perhaps there are other factors at play. One is the rise of voter turnout, which has continued this year and it can be now argued to be a trend, not an aberration. It could be turnout has peaked; or it could be turnout will set new records. Either way, it’s still too early to tell this is a new the era in voting, or if the norm will reassert itself. So far, the signs point to a change in history far more than the impact of one campaign shift at the end of the race.

There’s also the matter of the extended campaign of Trump, something noted even by the Special Counsel in the D.C. case:
"He appears to take the position that he cannot be investigated by anyone for anything once he has announced his candidacy.”

Nice work, if you can get it. And the reason Trump has been running for two years. Also the reason the nation has been subjected to his campaign for two years. Which has to be considered a factor in voter turnout so far: a pent-up desire to finally vote, either because the two year drumbeat has driven them to the polls; or they are anxious to see it end. Wouldn’t it be ironic if what Trump hungrily sought for his salvation, becomes the seal on his doom? History is full of such ironies. This wouldn’t be the first time hubris and greed led to an unintended end.

“Somethin’s happenin’ here/what it is ain’t exactly clear…”. But it could well be a good thing; a very good thing, if only because it signals increased participation in our democracy. Because when more of us engage in our governance, the few of us can’t be in charge. That only happens as the rest of us don’t act. That would be the very good thing to come out if this chapter in American history, this goal that has been sought at least since Goldwater was defeated, which vengeance may finally be defeated itself.

By this time next week, we’ll have a much better idea whether that’s happened. History tends to shift gradually, until it seems it’s changed all at once.

Or will it be a surprise? ๐Ÿค”

Monday, October 14, 2024

Dems In Disarray

JFK was the last “great” Democratic president, because he was lionized and his presidency turned into “Camelot.”  And all that happened because he was killed on the streets of Dallas.

LBJ was the greatest Democratic president in the 20th century. He did more for the country in 5 years than FDR did in four terms. But Vietnam buried him and he gave the White House away to Nixon. Vietnam buried his legacy, too. No Democrat to this day has really championed what LBJ did, except in defense against Republicans trying to undo it.

Nixon, four years later, defeated McGovern in the greatest rout in Presidential history. McGovern carried Massachusetts; and no other state. The power of that political trauma cannot be overstated.

Jimmy Carter defeated Ford, and negotiated the Camp David Accord, which stands to this day. Carter was swept away by a hostage crisis and Reagan’s 8 years of superior PR. (Somebody please tell me what Reagan accomplished. Volcker defeated inflation that started under Nixon (against Reagan’s wishes (double digit interest rates) and proving Friedman a fool (Reagan didn’t cut federal spending). Iran-Contra and Reykjavik were the hallmarks of Reagan’s presidency.)  Carter accomplished far more than Reagan (Gorbachev eventually tore down the wall; not Reagan nor Poppy Bush). But, as I say, Reagan had better PR. 

Bill Clinton balanced the budget and oversaw a booming economy (as he later said: the economy thrives under Democrats). But he couldn’t keep his pants zipped. The presidency of Shrub is notable only because Trump eclipsed it for incompetence and abuse of power. Obama did what no president since LBJ could do: gave more Americans access to healthcare. But he was black, and Hillary was Bill’s wife, so…

And Biden proved anybody was preferable to Trump. And then went on to place himself in the pantheon with LBJ and FDR. But Democrats are incapable of acknowledging victory. LBJ was too Texan. McGovern left electoral trauma the Democrats have never recovered from, even with Watergate. Obama was historic just by being African American (he was more than that, and burdened by it himself, in some ways), but Trump wiped that victory away.  Or Democrats let him do so.

Republicans (well, ultra-rich Republicans) thought Goldwater was robbed, and have lived in their belief in their divine right to rule ever since (if not long before). MAGA is going to “take America back!” Back from whom?, is the obvious question. The answer is equally obvious. Democrats want a large tent, in keeping with a pluralistic democracy. Republicans want a rule by minority: the white male landowners of the unamended Constitution. Just the way their white God intended it to be.

So the Democrats have always been the party Will Rogers described: not an organized one. In American history, the alternative seems to be a party organized around a narrowing principle. Today that’s MAGA.

I’ll take Dems in disarray, thanks. ๐Ÿ˜Š 

Sunday, October 13, 2024

The Pursuit Of Happiness And Me

Trump didn’t start it. Trump is the apotheosis. This started in the Cold War, quite literally , with a “young” JFK taking the White House away from Nixon the Commie Hunter (who was tight with Roy Cohen). And also the demise of Joe McCarthy (Eisenhower was a weak sister, probably because of all the Commies in his State Department). But the real catalyst was the failure of Goldwater.  

Trump is just Goldwater who believes the bullshit the mossbacks with money have sold him. The fall of Goldwater spurred the grassroots, closed doors movement of Viguerrie and Norquist (somebody had to fund them), which finally made Newt the Speaker of the House, and Clinton a vilified President (and if you think the NYT is bad now, find a copy of Gene Lyons’ Fools For Scandal. Everything new is old again.)

From Gingrich comes the Tea Party (a completely Astro-turfed group the political press accepted as “grassroots” like the gullible rubes they are) which led directly to Trump.

The only mistake that’s been consistently made is that America would wake up and shake off these “fleas” and return to the liberal vision that started with Kennedy (LBJ passed the Civil Rights Act as Kennedy’s (Johnson beefed it up), and as a tribute to the murdered President).  The situation now is the rule; Kennedy-LBJ was the aberration.

This is where I remind you the Warren Court dismantled the “rule of law” with more decisions than I have time to catalogue. It was pretty much received that way by the people who started working to overturn Roe a decade before that decision was handed down. Because they’ve been working to reverse the Warren Court since Brown v Board, a landmark decision today more honored in the breach than in the keeping.

And gutting campaign finance regulations? The VRA? Warren Court church-state separation jurisprudence? All done in accordance with the “rule of law.”

In fact, Trump talked a lot about ruling like a dictator in his one term. He did it in D.C. so he could hold a Bible upside down in front of a church. But he never managed it nationwide. Not that he won’t keep trying. But the rule of law set by legislation, thwarted him. (There are two rules: the law written into statutes, easily altered when the courts grossly misread legislative intent; and constitutional interpretation, which under the Roberts Court is almost wholly unrestrained. Trump v US is as wholly invented ruling with no basis in anything except the votes of 6 people. One rule has more constitutional validity than the other.)

The problem is not Trump. The problem is the electorate. American grievance is not about “economic anxiety.” It’s about having everything “my way,” because that’s what “the pursuit of happiness” means. Maybe not to Jefferson; but certainly to us.

Sunday, September 01, 2024

History Is Not Just What You Live Through

October, 1962, Cuba.

Early '60's: "Duck 'n' cover" practice in school.  CONELRAD.  Air raid siren testings.  Early in the '60's/in my childhood (I developed an awareness of public events in elementary school, about mid-way through.  Everyone in my generation did.)

November 22, 1963, death of JFK, Dallas.

November 24, 1964: assassination of Oswald, also Dallas.

November, 1964: landslide defeat of Barry Goldwater (the "Daisy ad" was barely an exaggeration of the stakes).

March 7, 1965:  Bloody Sunday

March 31, 1968: LBJ withdraws nomination for Presidency.

April 4, 1968: Assassination of Dr. King

June 5, 1968:  Assassination of RFK.

I was eligible for the draft in the last year of the lottery.  I had a high number that year, and was not even subject to being called up.  (I would have had a college deferment anyway, but I was paying close attention in those days to those numbers.) That would have been the year George became "aware of public events."  My awareness includes the height of the Cold War, two public assasinations of national leaders in 1 year, the murder of Kennedy and Oswald, the Civil Rights Movement and the violence attendant upon it.   Not to mention the various "liberation" movements spawned by the Civil Rights Movement (women's lib, gay rights, even AIM).

And I lived through repeated scandals involving GOP Presidents:  Watergate, Iran-Contra, Poppy pardoning himself for the latter, "extraordinary rendition" and "enhanced interrogation," Abu Ghraib and the continuing stain on US justice of Guantanamo Bay under W. No slight on George, but I don't think the current presidential election is more momentous or historically important than any one of those events.  And I think the record is clear that we don't need another GOP President in my lifetime; or in George's.  Besides, Bill was right:

Since January 1989, the U.S. has added 51.5 million jobs, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows. During Democratic administrations, the nation has added nearly 50 million of those jobs. By contrast, Republican presidents have overseen the creation of some 1.5 million jobs over that period, according to BLS data.

The country deserves far, far better than another Republican in the White House.  Ever again.

Thursday, August 22, 2024

Lion of Judah?

I don't know what the lion is supposed to represent, here. In heraldry it represents the Royal Family of England, anymore. Or maybe the reference is to the lions at the public library in NYC. Otherwise, it just looks like that lion is thinking: "Dude, I don't know you that well!" Oh, he is claiming connections to royalty. Is that it? Pretty sure the last guy to run on the genius of his policies was Adlai Stevenson. Campaigns used to release position papers nobody read or even paid attention to, except it pleased the political press to think they had forced the candidates to do due diligence. JFK was elected because he was young and photogenic (not unlike Kamala today).  LBJ ran on what a scary person Goldwater was.  Nixon ran on a "secret plan to end the war," which he didn't have.  Need I go on? 

I still remember the outrage when Joe McGinnis told us all how Nixon was packaged and sold like soap powder in 1968. The only shock was saying the quiet part out loud. But pundits all clutched their pearls in despair. Then came The Boys on the Bus and we found out everything Hunter Thompson had said was true. Face it, David, you're half-a-century too late to be tut-tutting about this now. "America's Mayor" hasn't changed a bit. Not in all this long time we've known him. He just got a pass, back in the day.


Could the lion be Aslan?

That would explain the look of discomfort.

Monday, August 19, 2024

Predictions

Contrary to popular opinion, the prophets of the Hebrew Scriptures didn't predict future events (that kind of prediction was considered blasphemy and anathema, and practiced by godless Gentiles who were just fooling somebody). They told the truth about the times and situations they lived in. Quite often they fulfilled Harry Truman's aphorism: "I didn't give 'em hell. I just told the truth, and they thought it was hell." It was Matthew's gospel that turned the writings of Isaiah, words of hope for a people suffering the Exile, into predictions about Jesus of Nazareth. Not really an abuse of scripture, but not necessarily the only purpose Isaiah had in mind. Julie Green wants to be Isaiah. She's the kind of charlatan Ezekiel decried. As I've said before, the problem with the future is that no one lives there. The Hebrew prophets spoke of the future only to indicate God was already there, and hope was already present; in a very grim present for their audience. They offered succor for the present, not focus on the future and ignore the injustices of the present. It was injustice, they argued, that put Israel behind the 8 ball. Fight that in the present, and you will create a better future. Always up to you, not some cosmic Daddy who cleans up after you.

Not too unlike what Harris and Walz are offering.
"The Radical Left protesters in Chicago are going after the Democrat Party because the know they are weak and ready to break into a full blown party of Socialism or, if they really do their job, and with a little bit of luck, the Communist Party of the United States of America," Trump wrote. "They are already very close and, having a Marxist trained and believing President whose father is a Marxist professor, Comrade Kamala Harris, stranger things have happened!"

Last time I heard talk like this from the top of the GOP ticket, it was Barry Goldwater going down in a landslide defeat to LBJ, a landslide exceeded only by Nixon's re-election over McGovern eight years later. 

I remember a Michael Jackson video on MTV (yes, I'm old!), where Jackson was "morphed" (such was the term of art then) into a black panther; and back again. It was all the rage because it hadn't been seen before. Pretty sure nobody even then thought Jackson was actually transformed into a panther; or today, that dragons are real, or people in costume are actually changing into other people and they are all rock musicians. I mean, if this is all you've got, Elmo, maybe you need to read some more books. (And no, I don't really worry about the nefarious impact of AI. Lindell and Trump are stupid without it, and their powers of persuasion have worn off. "A man hears what he wants to hear, and disregards the rest." AI won't improve that, or make it any worse. Even television finally lost its power to mesmerize. Every new tool eventually becomes dull and commonplace. Onward, thru the fog.) Behold the power of prediction.

Thursday, May 30, 2024

Sometimes I Think The Narrative Is A Great Green God

Let’s start here (this’ll take a minute). The misinformation didn’t start with McKay or FixNews or Elmo buying Twitter, or even Newt Gingrich.

The roots lie in the Chicago School of Economics (not necessarily a real school, but how they were popularly identified) and the sacralization of Milton Friedman, who peddled the absolutely bullshit notion that government spending creates inflation. A notion Republicans have run with since Goldwater in order to impugn the Democrats and their Presidents.

Q: who was the only President to balance the federal budget in the 20th century?
A: Bill Clinton 

And did Democrats get credit for that? No. Because Republicans insist Democrats in the White House lead to deficit spending and runaway inflation, when the economic record of GOP Presidents starting in the 20th century is uniformly dismal for the economy; especially for the working class.

Republicans have pounded this drum for over half a century. Republicans are uniformly seen as better for the economy, even though the record shows the opposite is true.

I’d still rather have Biden’s focus on the working and middle class, than Trump promising billionaires and corporations a raid on the Treasury if they’ll just pay his legal bills.

So Biden doesn’t get credit for the economy? What else is new? Meanwhile:
“Compared to last month, confidence improved among consumers of all age groups. In terms of income, those making over $100K expressed the largest rise in confidence. On a six-month moving average basis, confidence continued to be highest among the youngest (under 35) and wealthiest (making over $100K) consumers.”
It ain’t all gloom and despair and what the latest rando said on Twitter.

Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Let’s Get Radical

I agree with Abigail Disney, but Reagan was a product if Goldwater’s epic loss and the right-wing resentment over that and LBJ. Reagan was their correcting of that “error,” and Trump is clearly a feature, not a bug. "When elephants fight, the grass gets trampled.” Elephants don’t actually fight that much. But human beings sure as hell do. The market is a great, green god. We are all just children of a lesser god. O market, O market! I heard people in a focus group this morning talking about how they liked Trump’s “policies.” I doubt they could name one. But, you know, free markets! No, it’s Biden’s fault! Everybody knows that!

Alternatively, we could race to the bottom, making the last first, and the first last. Basiliea tou theou! Who’s with me! Let’s go! Last one to the bottom is a Pharisee!

Wait. Paul was a Pharisee… ๐Ÿค”   Last one to the bottom…is last of all and servant of all!  No, wait…this is trickier than I thought….๐Ÿ’ญ 

Thursday, October 12, 2023

JMM Is So Close To Figuring It Out

JMM sez:
I had a conversation this evening that allowed me to clarify some of my own thinking about these developments. After Scalise won the caucus Speakership vote you had a slow trickle of members saying ‘I’m still for Jim Jordan.’ Then later you had news reports asking, ‘Can Steve Scalise get to 217?’ 
There’s a category, conceptual breakdown here that is kind of hiding in plain view. What do these members mean they’re still for Jim Jordan? He lost. It’s over. Scalise is the Republican Speaker candidate. End of story.
Yes, but the category breakdown isn’t in the analysis or the caucus. It’s more fundamental than that. It’s in the definition.
Hopefully it’s clear that I’m not making a case for Steve Scalise. I’m certainly not making a case for Jim Jordan. But there’s an elemental breakdown here that transcends the individuals involved. Participating in a majority organizational vote means, if sometimes only implicitly, abiding by its results. The caucus vote wasn’t a straw poll or an advisory opinion. It’s binding. It’s over. And yet it was treated as basically a given, in the GOP caucus and in the press coverage, that Scalise, having won the vote, then had to build from the 113 he got in the caucus vote to 217. 
You’re probably saying: We know this Josh. They’re a mess. But we know this.
What “we” don’t seem to know is that the “category error” is in not in the sub-category of “caucus.”
But I think that’s only a measure of how much this has been normalized when it’s actually completely abnormal. The literal definition of a caucus in American political usage is a defined group that collectively decides on actions by majority vote and then acts in unison in a parliamentary context.
But what if it is a “parliamentary context” in name only?
From one perspective this is no more than a replay of what happened in January. A group of holdouts refused to vote for the caucus’s candidate. But there’s something a bit different. That was the rump of the ‘Freedom Caucus’, an at least somewhat ideologically coherent trouble-making group that, as I’ve explained in a few posts, has been playing this game going back more than a decade. But the holdouts for Scalise were more various – right, left, a heavy load of attention-seekers who didn’t bother to put forward any kind of reason that made any sense. It’s like the virus had escaped the lab. It wasn’t just Freedom Caucus weirdos anymore. It’s now treated as a given that caucus elections are purely advisory or essentially meaningless. 
Couldn’t happen to a nicer caucus of course. But we should note that there’s a clear thread connecting this to 2020 rigged electionism and, perhaps more tightly, the dramas of debt ceiling hostage taking and government shutdowns. The premise of all those dramas is that they’re what you do when you don’t have the votes to do what you want. If you’ve got the votes in the Congress and a President who will sign your bills, you just do it. Threatening to shut down the government is what you do when you don’t. Do what I say even though I don’t have the votes or I start breaking things. That’s the bottom line behind every one of these gambits. 
It’s all cut from the same cloth. 
The best and perhaps only path for Scalise was to force the matter. What do you mean: Do I have the votes? The election already happened. I won. It’s over. If you weren’t going to honor the results you shouldn’t have shown up to vote. If people don’t want to honor the commitment they made then lets put everyone on the record. That is kind of what McCarthy did. Of course, he also negotiated. Clearly Scalise didn’t think that was possible. As I said, couldn’t happen to a nicer caucus. The pathogen they developed to break the republic ended up infecting them too. It’s of a piece with election denialism and parliamentary terrorism. All fruit of the same poison tree.
The poison tree is actually a dead tree. Which, in turn, is a metaphor for the Republican Party, which is no longer a political party. JMM is right about what a caucus is; his category error is in thinking that because the meeting and vote of the GOP  was labeled a “caucus,” it functioned like one. It functioned in the context of a political party, but that context no longer exists. A political party is a group of generally like-minded people who accept a set of usually parliamentary rules and abides by them and the results they produce.

That agreement began to unravel when LBJ beat Barry Goldwater like a rented mule. The wealthy backers of Goldwater couldn’t accept the Great Society LBJ ushered in, or the electoral failure of their effort to stop it. Their descendants even today want to (and almost do) control the Supreme Court, and are behind the effort to destroy public schools nationwide. They despair of Trump, but persist in their desire to control government at every level.

What need have you of a party, when the goal is control? But as is now crystal clear (apparently it wasn’t before?), whose control is the “right” control?

But that’s moving ahead of the game. The point here is: the GOP is neither. Neither grand, nor old, nor a political party. Consider the example of a church, v. a corporation.

The latter exists to function as a business . It has employees, shareholders, recognized ownership. A church is owned by the members; but who are they? I’ve been in churches where the membership rolls included people who hadn’t been there in decades, and often didn’t live in the state anymore. Membership was largely who was acknowledged to be a “member,” but the records of membership barely existed, and hadn’t been kept up for years. The members kept the church open, but were they the owners? And if what? A building? I know a church that dwindled to a rump contingent, and then turned the place over, lock, stock, and name, to a congregation paying rent to worship there. I’ve often wondered how “officially” that was done, and who asserted authority to do it. Who owns the building now? Who has authority convey it? Because the building stands and the name outside is the same it’s ever been, but that’s the only connection that “family church” has to the families who built it, and claimed it, for over 150 years.

The Republican Party owns ballot access in all 50 states for Presidential candidates and state and local candidates. But who owns the Republican Party?  And what other function does it serve, other than that ballot access?

Ask RFK, Jr. after he tries to get his “independent candidacy” onto the ballot in all 50 states. Joe Biden won’t have that problem; and it’s not because he’s the POTUS.

The GOP organizes “debates” for candidates for its nomination; but those are a sad joke, a reflection of of the condition of a political party that isn’t. It holds a convention that didn’t even produce a platform for the past 8 years. Conventions and platforms both became empty gestures soon after primaries replaced the smoke-filled rooms of conventions. But we regard them as at least vestigial evidence of political party activity. In that we are wrong.
 
The GOP is not a political party because it no longer functions as a political party. After all, is a political party a name? Or is it a function of:
a defined group that collectively decides on actions by majority vote and then acts in unison in a parliamentary context[?]

Friday, September 01, 2023

Child Analogy Alert! ๐Ÿšจ



Since I can’t quote the xweets (“Waaahhh!”), I’ll do the next best thing.
In a 10-part thread on X, the social media platform once known as Twitter, former U.S. Naval War College professor [Tom] Nichols dropped the hammer on seemingly intelligent adults who have thrown their lot in with Donald Trump and, like him, have turned into "angry, irrational toddlers" living in a constant state of rage. 
Coming a day after two of the Proud Boy leaders, Joseph Biggs and Zachary Rehl, sobbed in front of U.S. District Judge Timothy Kelly before being handed 17 and 15-year sentences respectively for their part in the Jan. 6 insurrection, Nichols asserted they are prime examples of Trump voters who "are mired in eternal petulant childhood." 
As he wrote, "Yes, MAGA world is about resentment and ignorance and displaced anger and all that. But it's also a time that seems to me incredibly...juvenile.," before adding, "Trump hawking t-shirts with his mug shot is like some hair band selling posters of their guy getting busted for drugs or waggling his junk onstage or something. 
"It's beyond unserious. It's child-like, the political version of Oppositional Defiance Disorder. And yet it'll sell."
I can walk into a dozen stores near where I now sit and be amazed at the crap on the shelves, and the people there buying it. And have you ever heard of this shit? Does it show up on your TeeVee? Do you see these brand names on billboards? Do people seek it out on Amazon?

No; but it sells. But just because it sells, doesn’t mean a lot of people are buying it. Sure, someone is; but as P.T. Barnum said: “There’s a sucker born every minute.”

But he didn’t say we were all suckers.

ADDING:

 On his Xitter feed, Mr. Nichols responds to a post that wonders where the kindly adults of Disney movies went. Mr. Nichols opines the decline of adulthood came about because “the Greatest Generation” lived through the Depression and WWII and most served military service (the man with the hammer sees nothing but nails).

Bollocks.

They are both remembering American men from fiction: movies and TV.  WWII didn’t make John Waynes of our fathers. From what I saw, it mostly convinced them war is hell, and over-convinced them it was an American duty (Korea; Vietnam). It broke no small number of them; the rest just came back to a post-war country not ravaged by war, and able to be the economic engine that restored the fortunes of Europe and Japan by making our own. Hard work, yes, but very fortunate circumstances.

The men I knew that my father knew were good people, by and large. but some were superannuated adolescents, and some were not even closet racists. And some were just fools. Like the people I know now, they were largely just trying to get in with their lives. But they liked Goldwater and considered King a troublemaker, and some I think many of them would have pulled the trigger on Malcolm X and slept soundly that night.

And they hated LBJ clean through. I don’t doubt some went to their graves convinced he cheated to defeat Goldwater. The same ones convinced Nixon was railroaded.

Is it worse now? I honestly don’t know. I saw the fierce hatred and anger of the civil rights movement’s opposition on TeeVee and in the faces of people I knew. I did not see a lot of my father’s generation acting like “the Greatest Generation.” I saw that in the Boomers pushing for equal justice under law, and racial equality, the struggle that opened the doors to the other equalities we see and still seek today.

So I’m not so sure there was a time when men were men and women were women. It’s always been like this. And it’s always been up to we, the living, to make it better for everyone. The “good old days,” simply were not.

The Past Isn’t Over

 


So I’m reading (on Xitter, so I can’t link it) general chatter (i.e., opinion the opinionattie agree with) that revising American history is a GOP thing now.

And it is.

But everything old is new again.

I’ve mentioned this statue before. It’s on the grounds of the Texas Capitol, prominently placed at the Congress Avenue entrance to the grounds (the Capitol building faces down Congress). It’s not a 19th century homage to the Civil War; it was erected in 1903. And it is huge. The figures are life-sized, or near enough for dammit. The central figure there is Jefferson Davis.

There are 11 monuments on the Capitol grounds honoring the Confederacy. The last time I was there, this giant monument to failure and racism was being ignored by visitors, in favor of one nearby that reflected the slave history and struggles for freedom and equality of African Americans. That statue was immensely popular.

The Lost Cause didn’t explain away the explicit racism of the Confederacy until a new generation came after the war. The daughters of confederate soldiers built the monstrosity, not the veterans. 

I was taught in public school that the war was due to the meanness of the North, not the evil of owning human beings. I didn’t learn about the Tulsa massacre, the Tuskegee experiment, or Emmit Till, to name three, until long, long after. But even then I could read books like Dick Gregory’s Nigger, or Black Like Me, and know I wasn’t getting the whole story.

But whitewashing American history isn’t finding the purchase it once did. It’s a rear guard action, old people desperately fighting to preserve a past younger people have already abandoned. I don’t even think you can blame it on boomers, the youngest of whom are 59 this year. This is moms with kids, not grandparents who worry about their grandkids getting shot at school. It’s a reactionary force energized (I’d argue) by the mortgage securities crisis 16 years ago (it took Hitler about that long to bubble Weimar Germany into Nazi Germany, and I don’t mean he didn’t take advantage of circumstances), with Covid tossing kerosene on those coals.

But I don’t mean Nazi Germany is coming to America. Already I’m seeing random tweets from formerly rabid Trump supporters sticking their rhetorical heads up to say “We gotta do better than this!” Hell, even Trump realizes his ass is grass and the justice system is the lawnmower. There’s a long way to go between now and November ‘24, and a lot is gonna happen.

The people driving Trump are Millennials more than Boomers, and not enough of those for him to win in ‘24. Not enough to keep spreading the whitewash, either. All the money in Texas that was trying to defund public schools is now being spent frantically to save Ken Paxton; but I don’t think the Texas Senate is listening, and I’m still convinced the FBI is waiting for him in the wings.

I think that speeding car of ideological mania is about to run into an immovable brick wall. The same one Goldwater ran into in ‘64.

I mean, does anybody really want to be like DeSantis’ Florida?


Thursday, August 17, 2023

Guilty Verdicts Will Just Help Him Even More

This is what Republicans have quietly been panicking about," Scarborough said. "You look at these numbers -- 64 percent in the [Associated Press] poll, 64 percent say they're not going to support Trump next year. I actually saw people connected with Mitch McConnell and other Republicans tweeting that out, that this is devastating. That's who the Republicans are moving towards putting up. He has a 33-percent approval rating, a favorable rating in that poll. The majority believe what he did was illegal, and there are so many other polls that came out yesterday that are showing the same thing. Independents breaking dramatically away from Donald Trump. Independents saying he should have been indicted, independents saying overwhelmingly that what he did was illegal."
Or, you know, not.
"Only 15 percent of Americans, let's underline this, agree with Donald Trump that he did nothing wrong," Scarborough said. "Only 15 percent of Americans agree with Donald Trump that he did nothing wrong in the classified documents case. Only 14 percent of Americans say he did nothing wrong in the hush-money case. Of course, that is by far, for good reason, the weakest case, but these numbers, it sure seems like they're moving in one direction and the bad news for him is, the more people find out about these cases, the worse news it is for Donald Trump."
I agree that Trump threatens democracy; but at 15% support, is he really a threat to democracy? I think George Wallace had that much support for his run for POTUS in’68, where he hoped to force a 12th Amendment decision in the House. He’s not remembered for threatening democracy.

Anyway, it looks like Trump’s chances of being elected are greatly exaggerated. It’s good to keep in mind the GOP is a distinctly minority party.
TL;dr: the fire in the coal seam that started in the GOP when Goldwater lost, and burst above ground with Gingrich in the House, has finally fully consumed the GOP and is leaving nothing standing, not one brick upon another.

And I’m fine with that. ๐Ÿ˜Ž

Friday, August 04, 2023

Objective!

Fair and balanced! Which observation (about jobs reports as reported by the media) actually feeds into this: As long as we're talking about Trump and his lawyers making damning admissions, what about this one?

Resources that would have gone into Ads and Rallies, will now have to be spent fighting these Radical Left Thugs in numerous courts throughout the Country.

This from the self-proclaimed billionaire? Who now admits his campaign fund is his legal slush fund? (And does this mean we'll have fewer Trump rallies?  Or at least an excuse for fewer of them, since the last one played to a half-full small arena?  Don't threaten me with a good time.)

Yeah, I'm not gonna hold my breath, because this passes for political punditry:

(And no, Chait's not that stupid:

That this theory is totally deranged hardly requires saying. There is no evidence any, let alone all, of the prosecutors investigating Trump have coordinated with the Biden administration or have any interest in affecting the Republican nomination. Trump’s legal woes are easily and parsimoniously explained by the fact he has habitually flouted the law throughout his career, beginning at least 50 years ago, when he and his father refused to allow Black people to rent apartments, and continuing through decades of assorted schemes and swindles.

And it's really kind of an interesting analysis of anti-anti-Trumpers (his term) trying to stick with their conservative beliefs within the GOP, while rejecting Trump as Not Our Kind.  "Cognitive dissonance" is the nice term for the logical outcome of what they espoused within the GOP practically since Goldwater lost to LBJ.  Chickens coming home to roost, and all that.

Chickens always manage to do that.)