A) The courts were never going to save us from Donald Trump. All indications are the NY conviction didn’t move the needle (my argument is, it’s too far from November to care, so wait for it).Judge Cannon’s ruling, which would invalidate the appointment of any special counsel, is unlikely to get five votes in the Supreme Court.
— Renato Mariotti (@renato_mariotti) July 15, 2024
But the delay will push any resolution of this case well past this year’s presidential election. https://t.co/bL4pmTawwP
B) This is bad news for Trump, not good. His odds of electoral victory have not increased, and may even decline with this ruling (among other things). If, for example, he truly tries to pivot, whither MAGA? And will non-MAGA truly believe the leopard has changed his spots and suddenly find Trump desirable? That’s his only hope for avoiding this case because, unless he wins, it doesn’t go away.
C) If he doesn’t win, who’s gonna pay the lawyers? Trump’s campaign/legal defense fund dries up. He still owes half a billion dollars he’s fighting over in court. Who pays the lawyers for all of that, and D.C., and Georgia?
Cannon’s decision won’t stand, and I doubt the Supremes want to touch it, especially since they won’t get cert until sometime in 2025 at the earliest. If Trump has lost again, why would they care? Unless they just really want to give Congress a reason to fuck with ‘em?
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