Saturday, July 20, 2024

“Complexity Is The Job”, Or: Why I Admire AOC

I’ll reiterate my earlier point: there’s neither the time nor the apparatus for having anything but a fake, illegitimate and parodic process. And you have no electorate to make a choice. The delegates are just a mix of Biden friends, allies, elected officials and party activists chosen for the purely symbolic purposes of ratifying his nomination at the national convention. There’s no basis or logic for them to be choosing between Gretchen Whitmer and Gavin Newsom or whoever those guys are imagining. The whole idea that you’re going to have a three week barnstorm of townhalls with the all half dozen rising governor hot shots hosted by Barack Obama and Bill Clinton is just a fantasy of politics influencers. I doubt that could happen even if James Carville organized it to appear on Pod Save America with Barack Obama as host because I don’t think anyone will throw their hat in the ring.
As good a place to start as any. So, how do you make the work of a gang of wannabe king makers look like a grassroots effort to save the party…from a gang of wannabe king makers?

First, ya gotta kill the king. And how’s that working out?
As JMM points out, a lot of this talk is from third-tier people who want to sound like they know something. Reports about Bill and Hillary run counter to the narrative, which gives those reports credibility. It also aligns with this: No sign Biden is going anywhere; and some signs he does have support from people who know a thing or two about Presidential campaigns. But some people say all you need are swing voters: Focus groups are not large enough to swing an election; and there’s the reality of the vote impending: I have no choice but to give you the gory details: Let me intrude here to ask: What politician is dumb enough to want to replace Biden in hopes of winning the race in 8 weeks? Much less in 10 weeks? This is McGovern replacing Eagleton, redux. McGovern did two things wrong: he made a bad decision worse (showing he wasn’t a decision maker); and he bowed to pressure (not a good look for the chief executive). So, polling: Delphic oracle? Or chicken guts? And money. And a handful of residents of the BosWash. So let’s just abandon all hope and give Trump the victory by default because some donors and anonymous sources started a narrative that’s filling the days before Labor Day with lots of smoke and no sign of fire?

Or, you know, not. My money’s still on “not.”
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