Tuesday, February 09, 2016
So in the last 24 years, New Hampshire hasn't picked the winner.
New Hampshire is supposed to be all about "retail" politics. I heard it again today, in a news story on the radio, as the "reason" why New Hampshire has the first primary, and why that is so important. Because you can't do that kind of politicking in Texas, and that kind of politicking matters. Except Donald Trump held big rallies, the kind he could have held in Texas. And tonight he won New Hampshire decisively.
As I go to sleep, Bernie Sander has a 20 point lead on Hillary Clinton, and so he is the "winner" in New Hampshire. And yet the AP tells me Sanders gets 13 delegates tonight, and Clinton gets 15? And people were complaining about the outcome of the Iowa caucus?
So what does "winning" in New Hampshire mean? Big Mo? Last guy who claimed that was George H.W. Bush. In 1980.
In this age of super pacs, the early votes don't even winnow candidates. What imperative is there for Jeb! to drop out anytime soon? He's got plenty of money to spend. So does Cruz, who was bested by Kasich.
Tell me again why we care about Dixville Notch? Or Iowa, for that matter?
Posted by Rmj at 10:45 PM