I'm not going to keep updating the original. Let's continue. One problem with Amash's analysis is that the justices themselves are acting like legislators, and not in the sense usually used to criticize Supreme Court decisions:Leaking a draft opinion of the Supreme Court destroys trust among the justices and undermines justice. The justices must be able to share their thoughts candidly—and vulnerably—with one another. They are judges deciding cases, not legislators writing laws that need public input.
— Justin Amash (@justinamash) May 3, 2022
That's not the detached observation from an Olympian height. That's the language of a partisan. Suitable perhaps for a concurring (or better, dissenting) opinion; but not at all suitable for the opinion of the Court. Which is one reason to expect it to be blunted seriously if Alito finally publishes the Court's opinion. But the value of Alito leaking this in order to make the final official opinion more palatable is lost on me. People paying attention to the language will come it for the "bones" of this leaked document. The rest won't care: taking away a constitutional right will be the equivalent of gutting the Voting Rights Act; except this will affect middle-class and upper-class whites, and create two Americas: one run by Republicans, and one run by Democrats. And that's going to be a seriously ugly place to be.*Yeah...the division to come will be far greater. (Also a majority of Americans believe in abortion rights) pic.twitter.com/5ljG3lWLiJ
— Clara Jeffery (@ClaraJeffery) May 3, 2022
It's really not too early. This will clear the board. The only issue that will matter is abortion, and that will probably break down by states: New York will allow abortions, Texas won't, and on and on. Polarization? Buddy, you ain't seen polarization yet! Which makes Alito's argument about the "deepend division" of Roe sound like what it is: a fool's argument because he doesn't have another one. He wants to overrule Roe because that's his raison d'etre. Now he can die in peace and sanctimony.Will that be enough to protect them politically from a public that strongly backs abortion rights? It depends on whether we see newly-mobilized single-issue voters. Even if we don’t, taking away a constitutional right for the first time will come with political costs for the GOP.
— Jonathan Alter (@jonathanalter) May 3, 2022
Interestingly, that problem doesn't disturb Alito's sanctimony and concerns for the state of the nation, at all. The view from Olympus is always from too far above to see what's really going on.It has always been striking that the states most committed to ending abortion tend to invest the least in caring for expectant mothers and children after they are born.https://t.co/Vu84IiCYlg
— Heidi Przybyla (@HeidiNBC) May 3, 2022
Yup.I’m just not able to see the violation of court norms here as the primary issue or even one of the top five issues.
— JDMandelHat (@Popehat) May 3, 2022
Which may be true, but a peek into the raw id of Alito is not something one can unsee.This is just Alito's draft & in the process of getting 5 votes, opinions can change. Nonetheless, that he's contemplating fully overruling Roe & returning women to 2nd class citizenship is absolutely appalling. No less devastating for knowing it was possibly coming. https://t.co/XnOm0iDZzQ
— Joyce Alene (@JoyceWhiteVance) May 3, 2022
I don't care about the article (I've posted already). I just wanted the picture of Alito. After this leak, it's the way he deserves to be remembered.Legal experts: Alito's leaked decision also calls into question laws on birth control, privacy and same-sex marriage https://t.co/xvfMmXSWQJ
— Raw Story (@RawStory) May 3, 2022
"If it does go forward with it, I believe that the court will have returned to its historic baseline, of being a reactionary conservative institution to the far-right of everything else at the federal level in the government," Raskin continued. "You know, it's still got this lingering fake halo around it from the rulings Brown vs. Board, and Roe v. Wade, Miranda vs. Arizona. But for most of our history —take it all the way up to the Civil War — the Supreme Court never did anything for enslaved Americans, other than to cement constitutionally the system of slavery in the Dred Scott decision, and declare that African Americans have no rights at [sic] the white man is bound to respect, and to declare that the constitution is indeed a white man's compacts."He went on to say that the most important thing in 2022 will be that people come out and vote in such significant numbers that the House and Senate majorities hold so that Democrats can pass laws reaffirming the right for all Americans to have medical privacy.
This is not an argument, it's a statement of preference. The "clear answer" is the one Alito prefers, and has already decided on. Ironically, the same reasoning that led to Lochner (per the published opinion) is guiding Alito in this case. I don't know where in the 14th Amendment the word "Contract" appears, but the Lochner court held that Amendment guaranteed the individual right to freedom of contract.He's right. https://t.co/KINBb7wpnV
— George Conway🇺🇦 (@gtconway3d) May 3, 2022
With all due respect to lawyer Conway, that ship sailed out of harbor sometime during the 14th amendment cases (like Lochner) in the 19th and early 20th centuries.That's actually the way the document is supposed to work. https://t.co/RuOLaQVTcn
— George Conway🇺🇦 (@gtconway3d) May 3, 2022
A reminder that the Chief Justice is like the Majority Leader of the Senate: in charge in title only. Will Roberts emulated Burger? If he does, will the other justices care?In 1973, the result in Roe leaked to Time magazine. Justice Burger wanted all clerks to undergo lie detector tests, but Rehnquist and Brennan objected: pic.twitter.com/UkmOVzYYEL
— JP Schnapper-Casteras (@jpscasteras) May 3, 2022
Most of them didn't think Trump would be POTUS, either. Life is full of unpleasant consequences.Sometimes the dog does catch the car, and it turns out not to be what he expected. https://t.co/vREzmaXR8K
— George Conway🇺🇦 (@gtconway3d) May 3, 2022
Again, because it's late and I'm tired and I'll stop soon: not really the most important issue; tonight, or tomorrow, or the day after that.True, this. https://t.co/E6eBQtiLLF
— George Conway🇺🇦 (@gtconway3d) May 3, 2022
Hadn't heard that one; but now that it's said, you know it must be out there. It's too true to be good.Saying “the leak is the issue” is one dumb thing. Saying “this is worse than January 6” is stupendously dumb on a quantum level.
— JDMandelHat (@Popehat) May 3, 2022
Sort of like this one had to be out there, too:
Oddly, this conclusion doesn't bother me at all (in the quote, not in the tweet frame):JFC pic.twitter.com/VLcsclVfcr
— JDMandelHat (@Popehat) May 3, 2022
The reasons for that should be obvious by now.If anyone needs to shut the absolute fuck up about anything having to do with legitimacy, it would be this treason-loving shitstain pic.twitter.com/I1xLCqoXhF
— Marc Channick (@Sorry_What_Now) May 3, 2022
Popehat is right; the leak is not the main issue here. I want to thank Rich Lowry for providing an object lesson in how to elevate rules above people. Let's all go to church on Sunday and hear about Jesus and the Pharisees:If you’re an institutionalist until a SC decision goes against you, you’re not an institutionalist
— Rich Lowry (@RichLowry) May 3, 2022
If you say you value norms, and are fine with this leak, you don’t believe in norms
If you piously talk of rules and never apply them yourself, you don’t have any rules
Damn you, Pharisees! You pay tithes on mint and rue and every herb, but neglect justice and the love of God. You should have attended to the last without neglecting the first.Damn you legal experts, too! You load people down with crushing burdens, but you yourselves don't life a finger to help carry them. Damn you! You erect monuments to the prophets whom your ancestors murdered. You are therefore witnesses to and approve of the deeds of your ancestors; they killed [the prophets] and you erect monuments to themYou legal experts, damn you! You have taken away the key of knowledge. You yourselves haven't entered, and you have locked the way of those trying to enter."
I wouldn't be surprised if, eventually, they upheld the fugitive womb acts, making it illegal for women to travel to states that allow abortions or people who help them to. As you point out, this is a lot more dangerous than a lot of people take it to be on the surface.
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