Monday, February 26, 2024

Appeal 1, Stay 0. πŸ”₯

I’m a bit curious about this timing. Typically (and I assume it’s true in New York), a defendant has 30 days to file an appeal from date of judgment, and the winning party can’t execute on the judgment until the 31st day. Unless (there’s always an “unless) execution is stayed by court order, or the filing of an appeal bond.

This notice of appeal doesn’t stay execution of the judgment or stop the accumulation of interest (an appeal bond would not stop the latter, either). So why file it? There’s no appeal bond in evidence. Filing the appeal just costs more money. If the bond isn’t posted by March 24 (if the back of my envelope is correct), NY can start collection proceedings, including getting liens on real property. There’s also the monitors examining every action of the defendants. They can act on the direction of the court to turnover cash as demanded, or what liens currently exist on what buildings. Speeds the collection process no end.

Notice of appeal is a fairly simple action. Preparing and filing briefs is more complicated, and so more expensive. I’m just wondering how much more money Trump is going to throw on this bonfire.

No, Really, Follow The Money!

Or to the highest bidder?

Please make this an element of your Florida defense!

Follow The Numbers

The Very Strict Rules and Regulations of the Department of Injustice STATE CLEARLY that you can’t prosecute a Political Opponent, or anyone, RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF HIS/HER CAMPAIGN," Trump posted Monday morning on Truth Social. "Why didn’t they bring these FAKE Charges THREE YEARS AGO? That would have solved all of their problems." 
"The answer is that they AIMED for the various trials to come up during my campaign for President, 2024!" Trump posted. "This includes DOJ subservient “subsidiaries” like local D.A. & A.G. Offices. In other words, all of these FAKE POLITICAL PROSECUTIONS (PERSECUTIONS!) OF CROOKED JOE BIDEN’S POLITICAL OPPONENT MUST BE IMMEDIATELY HALTED!"
Now why would he yell about that?
“A couple weeks ago, [in] New Hampshire, 'Donald Trump routs,' you know, we're hearing Trump will win by 30 to 35 points in South Carolina. How long did we hear that? Heard he was going to win by 30 points for forever again. He always underperforms as far as margin of victory in the polls, always does. Yet, this was supposed to be a 30-point win. It ended up being a 20-point win," he began. 
"That's not the issue here for Donald Trump. If you're inside his campaign, what you're concerned about are what I would be concerned about," he continued. "I don't want to speak for them but what I'd be concerned about is, she won 40 percent of the vote. Here we go. Fox News voter analysis found that 59 percent of her voters, 59 percent, said they would not vote for Donald Trump if he's the GOP nominee. 36 percent of all South Carolina Republican voters said a conviction in just one of his criminal trials would make him unfit to be president." 
"That is something the Trump campaign is going to have to focus on between here and the end of the year," he added.
But don’t take Joe’s word for it: And you should follow the money: Trump does. Yeah, the royal road to the RNC coffers is not proving to be wide and easy. But more importantly, the 2nd Carroll judgment is three days away from becoming enforceable. Put up or shut up, and the judge is not seemingly interested in giving Trump more time. Then there’s the fraud case, accumulating interest at the rate of $100,000 per day. 

And people don’t want to elect a convicted felon.

If Trump can’t fund two appeals bonds, the judicial liens start arriving. If he loses the March criminal case, the primaries stop meaning anything. And the small money donors he’s relied on for so long are starting to dry up. Presidential campaigns cost money, and Biden has a lot more to spend than Trump does. Biden also doesn’t have to pay for four criminal trials. Or over half a billion dollars in damages.
No wonder Trump wants Haley to stop wasting donors’ money.

Sunday, February 25, 2024

I Really Wish…

...Biden would just go after Trump head-on. You know, really call him out!

Well, maybe some day…

Turley’s Turkey πŸ¦ƒ

Like this post, Turley now says he was using humor to make a point. Here, let me make that easier to read: What upsets him seems to be the Twitter Community Note. Did he not notice the universal opprobrium?

And the first rule of humor is: when the joke fails, don’t blame the audience. Or the rake you stepped on. And what the hell does this mean?
The column was obviously drawing ironic, not genetic, comparisons to the current allegations.
Hell, man, if you’re going to make your argument in writing, LEARN HOW TO WRITE! ✍️ 

🚨🚨🚨

What I know of this is part of a tweeted article from AJC (Atlanta paper), where they quoted this guy (I assume; who else?) that he used the “gold standard” of some program/app law enforcement uses to make this kind of analysis. Well, okay, I thought; if that’s true….

Maybe it isn’t. 

You can say what you want to reporters or on Twitter or in columns for The Hill (which really should have pulled Turley’s turd down by now); but you can’t say anything you want in an evidentiary hearing. 

As Trump is going to find out.

If this guy can’t be qualified as an expert (and Trump says he can’t), he can’t testify to the results of his analysis. That’s opinion testimony, and only experts can offer that. He can’t even opine on the qualities of the program/whatever he used. And if he can’t testify about this evidence, it can’t be evidence. His credentials and expertise would make it admissible. No credentials, no grounds to treat him as an expert: no testimony.

EOD.

I’m only this certain because I don’t understand why you argue your witness can give expert testimony (i.e., opinion) without being an expert. If you have an expert, you just show up. If you don’t, and have to argue it doesn’t matter; you’ve already lost.😞 

EOD.

(Why don’t they get somebody else? Dunno 🀷🏻‍♂️. Time crunch; nobody else is willing; these results are only seen by this non-expert expert (BINGO! IMHO).

Anyway, I think the breathless expectation that Willis and Wade were stupid enough to perjure themselves over a non-issue is proven, once again, stupid. 

If really is amazing the dumb things people will think. And Trump’s lawyers suck. Put money in your purse.

Time For Some Perspective

Gee, why haven’t they ever tried that before? I’m perfectly serious: this is straight up eugenics. “Three generations of imbeciles is enough.”  That’s exactly what Ollie meant in the good old days when it was American law, before the Nazis and the woke crowd took all of that away.

That Moment When… πŸ€ 🐍

The rat πŸ€ realizes the snake 🐍 has eaten him, and πŸ€” maybe he can chew his way out.

The "Open Border"...


Is not open. This time of year, it's a very serious river.

 “It’s an unprecedented crisis,” said Eagle Pass Fire Chief Manuel Mello. “It’s nothing close to what I experienced while I was on the line. It’s a whole different monster.”

Firefighters say the first calls for help usually blare through the three stations in Eagle Pass while crews are still sipping their morning coffee, bracing themselves for what the day will bring.

Parents with young children might be near drowning or trapped on islands somewhere between the United States and Mexico, surrounded by the fierce currents of the Rio Grande.

On some shifts, firefighters with the Eagle Pass Fire Department can spend three to five hours in the water, helping rescue migrants crossing the river or recovering their drowned bodies.

“It’s something we’ve never gone through,” said Eagle Pass native Marcos Kypuros, who has been a firefighter and EMT for two decades. “It’s been hard having to keep up with that on top of everything else we take care of.”

Eagle Pass has become ground zero in recent months for an unrelenting border crisis that is equal parts political and humanitarian.

With hundreds of thousands of people attempting to cross the border illegally each year near Eagle Pass, city emergency personnel have increasingly been called upon to perform difficult and often dangerous rescues or to retrieve dead bodies, they said. They do this while juggling other emergencies in the city of 28,000 and throughout sparsely populated Maverick County.

“They see decomposing bodies, they see children that have drowned. Babies 2-months-old, with their eyes half-open, their mouths full of mud,” Mello said. “I know that when I signed up, they told me that I would see all of that, but not in the number that these guys are seeing now.”

Call volumes to the fire department surged last summer after Title 42, which set limits on asylum-seekers hoping to enter the United States, was lifted. On a typical day, the department might receive 30 calls, but the number has doubled in recent months, Mello said.

The added strain prompted one of his firefighters, who was still working through the required probationary period, to turn in his gear and switch careers entirely, he added.

After a record-breaking number of illegal crossings in December, federal authorities say the figure dropped by half in January. The most significant decrease was in the U.S. Border Patrol’s Del Rio sector, which includes Eagle Pass.

But the steady rise in crossings last year has taken a toll on first responders who did not sign up for this kind of work, Kypuros said.

“Those times where we recover four or five, six, up to seven bodies a day — it was just rough,” he said.

As the number of calls for emergencies on the border grew last fall, so did the number of sick days firefighters requested, according to the fire chief.

“I try and leave all this at work, not take it home with me, but it’s so hard,” Kypuros said. “Sometimes it’s hard to cope.”

The House took a two week recess, and still wants to find excuses to appease Trump.

Argle Bargle

Oh, is that what he did? Seems like the same old frame to me.

πŸ—‘️

Chairman Jordan, I find it really stunning that Smirnov gets indicted, and they say that it's because he got information from Russians, and it was not true," Bartiromo said. "You all have been unable to pin anybody down about what we know to be true now, that the Russia collusion story was a lie and that Steele dossier was made up." 
"How come Christopher Steele was never indicted?" she asked. 
"Yeah, no kidding, he continued to get paid after they found out what he told the FBI wasn't true," Jordan opined. "And of course, now we have this Smirnov guy, and he gets indicted and arrested not once but twice." 
"Here's the interesting thing about Smirnov, David Weiss, the guy who's been investigating Hunter Biden for now almost five years, David Weiss had this information, the [FBI 1023 form] back in 2020," he continued. "What did he do for the last three years? What did he do for the last three and a half years? Why didn't he look into it before?" 
But Jordan admitted he did not know if Smirnov was telling the truth about Biden's business dealings. 
"And now, maybe the guy did lie, I don't know," the Ohio lawmaker said. "The other thing is, as you point out, in 2016, it was Trump-Russia collusion. We found out that was garbage." 
"In 2020, it was, oh, the laptops of Russian information operation," he added. "We knew that was garbage. And now here we go the third time, one more time, they're bringing out this story." 
"Again, maybe this Smirnov guy did lie to him. We'll have to see."

OK, let’s see:

A) Christopher Steele passed on information he freely admitted was raw intelligence. He didn’t lie to FBI agents, which is the crime (or one of them) Smirnov has been charged with.

B) Nobody used Steele’s report as the basis for an impeachment investigation.

C) The interesting thing about David Weiss is: why is he prosecuting Smirnov? The FBI has experienced prosecutors to handle precisely these kinds of cases. He should have given it to them. Otherwise, Smirnov fooled him, the FBI, and Gym Jordan. That’s not win for Jordan.

D) Claiming “their” story was garbage doesn’t make your story any less garbage. You see that, right?

E) Smirnov has admitted the stories he told about Biden came from Russian intelligence. That’s not the crime he’s charged with, so whether or not he lied to the FBI, or is lying about getting his lies from Russia, his credibility is shot. You can quit trying to play wait-and-see. He’s useless now, and nothing he said is reliable in the court of public opinion. You touted him as a critical and unimpeachable source. You’re done here.

 

When Judges Pretend To Be Theologians

In his opinion, Parker wrote: “Human life cannot be wrongfully destroyed without incurring the wrath of a holy God, who views the destruction of His image as an affront to Himself. [Alabama’s Sanctity of Life statute] recognizes that this is true of unborn human life no less than it is of all other human life—that even before birth, all human beings bear the image of God, and their lives cannot be destroyed without effacing his glory.”
I agree this is crackpot language which has no place in a judicial opinion. But at the seminary I attended, this would practically get you tossed out as utter bafflegab. I don’t mean the archaic ignorance about “the wrath of God,” I mean the first phrase: “wrongfully destroyed.”

You could drive a Mack truck through that gaping loophole. Especially if  “all human beings bear the image of God, and their lives cannot be destroyed without effacing his [sic] glory.” When does that not apply? And who are you to assert you know the mind of God to determine when those circumstances are?

This is not, despite what Mystal says, “Christian orthodoxy.” 

The legal questions are more interesting because they are, frankly, quite real:
Meanwhile, the legal questions raised by embryonic anthropomorphization are legion, and illustrate the moronic logic of the Alabama court. Do the icicle babies get a Social Security number? Can their mothers count them as dependents on their taxes? Do their fathers have to pay child support? Are we all nine months older than we think and, if so, do 17-year-olds get to vote in the upcoming election? Is Frosty the Cellular Snowman entitled to a public education, like all the other kids, before he melts away?
The biological problem is, of course, that a single cell does not a human being make. A fertilized egg is still just a human egg. It is as potentially life as it was before fertilization. It’s now a zygote, but until cell division, it’s still a single cell. That’s why it survives freezing, which would kill a blastocyst. That’s also why the many fertilized eggs used in IVF don’t produce human litters. It’s because they are only potentially human. It’s not because they are essentially human.

But here’s the real problem:
It would be entirely appropriate to focus solely on the nonsensical legal argument put forward by the Alabama Supreme Court, but it’s important to point out that this argument is not actually a legal one. It is a religious argument: The court is saying the law cannot be interpreted absent the justices’ exclusive interpretation of God’s will. 
This is clearly unconstitutional. The Alabama ruling, on its face, violates the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment. The court is privileging one religious sect—dominionist Christians—over all others, and it is doing this to extract legal payments from others, namely hospitals and clinics, that don’t share the justices’ religious viewpoint. Using the power of the state to force others to live in accordance with a particular religious belief is the very definition of state-sponsored religion. 
The US Supreme Court could intervene to stop Alabama… but have you met the people on the Supreme Court? For the court to overturn Alabama’s ruling for violating the First Amendment, the conservatives would have to admit that their entire anti-abortion argument—as manifested in the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization ruling—was also motivated by Christian theological arguments over when “life” begins. That will never happen. The conservatives who are in charge of the Supreme Court have committed themselves to using Bible stories to take away the rights of women and pregnant people, and they’re not going to let a pesky thing like the Constitution stand in their way. 
What’s troubling to me is the extent to which the rest of the country has just accepted that we live under the rule of theocrats in robes and there’s nothing we can do about it. Establishment politicians, media figures, and even non-theocratic judges just kind of shrug and pretend that scripture is a reasonable basis for judicial pronouncements in a free society. If these judges and justices were establishing any religion other than fundamentalist Christianity, people would lose their minds. If an Alabama court ruled that Trump had to be kicked off the ballot because he lies so much he lacks satya, and rested their opinion in quotes from the Vedas, there would be riots. The ruling would be overturned and the judges, probably, impeached. 
But because it’s Christianity being shoved down our collective throats against our wills, because it is the majoritarian religion that is riding triumphantly into our courts, people accept these rulings as legitimate, if unfortunate, statements of law.
It’s not really Xianity that’s being promoted in this court opinion. It’s power and dominance in a culturally acceptable wrapper. It is, dare we say, ChINO: Christian In Name Only. If that.

Mystal and I agree more than we disagree.

But my favorite legal argument is: if zygotes are now children, what are the legal implications, and how does the Alabama Supreme Court avoid them? God wants us to deport pregnant immigrants? God wants us to ignore birthright citizenship enshrined in the 14th amendment? God doesn’t want men to pay child support?

There’s a lot more here than IVF to worry about, including the free and unhinged use of “God” in legal opinions and government edicts. I don’t think this ends the way a few religious cranks imagine it does.

Trump now has a $450,000,000 judgment accumulating interest at the rate of $100,000 a day, which will become executable (as of today), in exactly four weeks.

The second Carroll judgment will be executable in 5  days (or three, if last Friday was the 5th day.) Why hasn’t Trump filed a bond to freeze it? Why is he suddenly concerned about execution now? Why, after losing this fight in n New York state court, is he making the same Pyrrhic attempt in New York federal court, at the last possible moment? The clock has not stopped ticking. The sands are still running through the hourglass. What’s going on?

C’mon. This ain’t rocket science. πŸš€

“Maxwell Must Go Free!”

This is not further evidence of criminal activity (there is enough of that already). But Assange has always had an agenda that wasn’t about “setting information free.” He just couched it in the naive notion that “they” are corrupt and when “we” expose them, everything will change.

We’ve heard that from Trump for four years now. Unfortunately for Assange, because now it’s impossible to slip a piece of paper between their positions. Well, that and Assange, like Trump, is just another toddler with a shotgun.

I’ll Probably Skip The Democratic Primary This Year

It took me awhile to come to that conclusion. But the Lovely Wife is recuperating from ankle surgery and can’t get around easily, and for the first time in decades the Democratic Party in Texas is showing signs of life. Which means more races than ever are contested in the primaries. And I honestly don’t know the difference between the candidates, except for unreliable campaign literature filling my mailbox. πŸ“¬ 

Mostly I ponder whether the candidates for statewide office can get enough Repubon support to have a chance, and would that make them a candidate I can’t support?

Two different levels of judges and multiple courts; county officials, state officials, federal offices; it’s too much to evaluate. I’m a yellow dog Democrat in November, even if a GOP candidate might make a better county court at law judge (not to be confused with the County Commissioners Court, which is not a law court). That sometimes worries me a bit; but not often.

Anyway, I’m sure my non-voting in early March will mean something significant to someone. The wrong thing, because they’ll draw the wrong conclusions.

Or nobody will notice, for other reasons.

So it goes.

Saturday, February 24, 2024

Trump Knows His Primary Voters

Not that he should be worried about winning the nomination.

Now He Thinks He’s The Sitting Prime Minister

In a country that’s never had a parliamentary system of government.

And in no country in the world does the challenger to the incumbent get to set the date of the election.

He’s also thinking about all the money he doesn’t have, and how much money it takes to campaign in the general. And how much money it takes to defend four trials and three appeals and interlocutory appeals and how if he was just President right now he could make it all go away.

He’s wishing there was a way out, much the same way a small child hides under the covers and wishes the monsters back under the bed. πŸ›Œ 

The monsters aren’t real. The criminal trials are. Aye, there’s the rub.

Yeah, About All Those South Carolina Exit Polls

QED

I Don’t Mean To Beat On Tom Nichols…

... but he really needs to spend a bit more time among people who don’t agree with him. Maybe take a job in a law firm, family law, say, and find out how easily people shift their opinions based on what they want to be true. Or parish ministry and find out people can actually hate you just because of your job. Even as they tell you to your face how much they admire you. Oh, I’m sorry, that’s law, again. Or ministry.

Or any job that requires you to spend your time among people instead of ideas, so reality won’t surprise and upset you so easily.

And no, it’s not cognitive dissonance we’re seeing there. People cling to their ideas (and you ARE “people”) and don’t usually see the contradictions. As Orwell said: “To see what is in front of one's nose needs a constant struggle.” And take it from a failed minister: people never want to engage in that struggle.

If you don’t see that, you’re avoiding the struggle, too. It’s not a judgment. Just a welcome into the human condition.

We Used To Call This Eugenics

Under the right circumstances, it’s considered a blood libel. But restraining it to a family only just evades that calumny.

I wonder how Turley goes from being a law professor to being a geneticist and a psychiatrist and so knowledgeable about 14th century ideas of “blood.”

“Blood will out,” eh, Jonathan? You really are desperate for attention, aren’t you? So desperate you are willing to be beneath contempt? 

Not too thrilled with your editors, either.