Wednesday, October 12, 2022

"Now We See The Violence Inherent In The System!"

"They don’t realize that they’ve woken a grizzly bear," said Walker, whose girlfriend also said she had to repeatedly ask him for the money for the abortion he urged to to get. 

 "Now they got a fight on their hand. Before I was just going to beat them by a little bit. Now I’m going to beat them by a lot," he told Fox News.

That grizzly bear better wake up fast:

The poll, conducted largely before the latest bombshell allegations stirred new turmoil for Walker’s campaign, found Warnock with 46.4% of the vote to Walker’s 43.4, which is far from foreshadowing an easy landslide, but represents a gain of 4.2% for Warnock and a loss of 2.4% for Walker over a September poll also conducted by UGA.

In contrast, the poll showed Democrat Stacey Abrams with 42.2% of the vote compared with 50.2% for Republican Gov. Brian Kemp.

The poll’s margin of error is 3.1 percentage points.

“There are a certain subset of people who are just not voting the straight party ticket,” said Trey Hood, a political science professor and head of UGA’s School of Public and International Affairs Survey Research Center, which conducted the poll. “So they may be withholding their vote in a particular race, actually voting for the other partisan outside of their partisanship in that race, or may be voting for the Libertarian.”

Walker’s overall 2.4% decline included a gain of 3.2 points among men, but he dropped 6.3% among women since the prior poll. His support among white voters dipped from 64.5% to 63.9%, but his support among Black voters cratered from 9.2% to just 2%.

At the same time, Warnock saw his share of the vote grow 4.2%, and while his support among men dropped by 5.6%, women made up for the loss, growing in support by 8.6%. Warnock similarly dropped among white voters, by 2.3%, from 27.7% to 25.4%, but he gained 11.8% among Black voters, and he could still pick up more Black votes by Election Day.

“Warnock, he’s at 89% Black votes, so you would expect 90% at least, up to probably 95% sometimes,” Hood said. “So Warnock is doing much better at consolidating the Black vote. Abrams is at 81%. So about 10% of Black voters are undecided in the governor’s race. I would still look for that number to consolidate around Abrams, the Black vote, that is, at least 90%.”

“Walker doesn’t even have the Black support that Kemp does, so that’s certainly not helping him,” Hood added.

The number of undecided voters is shrinking as calendar dates leading to Nov. 8 dwindle. Overall, 6.1% of the 1,030 voters surveyed said they are undecided in the poll, down from 6.8% in September. More women and Black voters have yet to come to a final decision than men and white Georgians – 7.2% of women say they are undecided compared with 4.8% of men, and 7% of Black voters have yet to come to a decision compared with 5.8% of white voters. Those undecideds could provide a bump to Warnock and Abrams if they follow the trend of other Black and female voters and lean Democratic. 

"Help!  Help!  I'm being oppressed!"

Or something. 

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