If Brett Kavanaugh is confirmed by Friday, or even early next week, whither the outrage in the GOP base that is supposedly driving their "enthusiasm"? If they win, what do they care what happens in November? Are they really going to turn out to defeat the specter of a Supreme Court Justice being impeached (as some Dems have promised to do) in 200 years? By Hallowe'en will they even know who Brett Kavanaugh is?
Besides, the GOP "base" is "awakened"? The GOP base won in 2016 because the Democratic base (and the rest of its voters) weren't inspired enough by Clinton to turn out, and were convinced Trump couldn't win, so why bother, let somebody else do it. The GOP base is small and shrinking, and if they all "get woke," will it really be enough to swamp the votes of outraged Democrats? It's possible, especially in some very local races; but is it likely? If that's what Ted Cruz is counting on (and what else could he be counting on at this point), it's a pretty weak reed to lean on. Democrats in Texas have raised $6 million dollars simply to fund a GOTV effort, which is starting now (early voting starts the last week of October here). If that works, what effect will it have? Likely not the one predicted by the last 30 years of voting history in Texas.
And is this the GOP base?
100s of vigils tonight. Minot, ND, Portland ME, Anchorage, Charleston WV, more, on 48 hours notice - along with huge wave of grassroots calls. This movement is electric; we will prevail - and for damn sure we'll march to the polls. (Photos via @NARAL) #StopKavanaugh #believewomen pic.twitter.com/OkfVcqGYOc— Anna Galland (@annagalland) October 4, 2018